Source: Taiwan Industry and Commerce Times
Main Written Room Review
In the past three years, the average growth rate of Taiwan's economic growth rate has been close to 4%, and per capita income has also grown by 7,000 US dollars. Under the influence of the crown disease epidemic and the influence of the Russian and Ukraine War, there is still such a proud result, which is not easy.These excellent achievements can be attributed to people, land and time.In terms of human harmony, at the beginning of Taiwan's epidemic prevention, pre -deployment, production was hardly affected.In terms of geographical interests, because the government encourages Taiwanese businessmen to return, promote the new southbound policy, and the manufacturer's long -term deployment in the mainland, Taiwan can be said to be the only economy under the crown disease epidemic.In terms of days, the effects of semiconductor grabbing, re -order effects caused by the US -China scientific and technological war, and the enthusiastic demand for semiconductors (such as AI, 5G, automotive electronics, etc.) also brought about the great outbreak of semiconductor exports and investment.Essence
However, in the second half of 2022, people and geographicals are still there, but it is a bit not me.Due to the relief of the crown disease and the unblocking of various countries, the demand for 3C products in Taiwan has decreased.Secondly, the U.S. scientific and technological war on mainland China has been from point to line to surface. From the beginning, the export and technical output restrictions of individual manufacturers can be transformed.Some American green cards are not allowed to serve as senior executives in Chinese semiconductors, and they have also begun to directly and indirectly impact Taiwan.Furthermore, due to the tension on both sides of the strait, Taiwan has become the core of geopolitics, the call of "de -de -Taiwanization" has begun to appear.
Taiwan exports have deteriorated since the second half of last year, and the four consecutive blacks appeared, which led to -0.86%in the fourth quarter of last year.Battle.
Looking forward to the international economic situation, the growth rate of the United States this year is estimated to be less than 1%. The European Union is facing the pressure of stagnation and expansion. Japan has a flat growth. After the unblocking of China, the economic expects will start to rebound in the second half of the year. The growth rate challenges 5%.EssenceAs three -quarters of the world's GDP economies have declined, Taiwan, which is highly dependent on exports, should also be difficult to settle.The World Bank and the United Nations recently estimated that the growth rate of this year was 1.7%and 1.9%, which was almost the cut of estimates at the beginning of last year. It can be seen that the economic situation has changed.
Under the situation of the economic situation of internal and external economic situations and poor exports, how Taiwan maintains the proud economic growth of the past few years and continues to move forward. It is worth thinking about and acting for the government.
When the external demand (export) is sleepy, the government's efforts will be domestic demand (including consumption and investment).In the past, it was hot and internal temperature. It may now be cold and inside temperature, or even "add" warmth in the outside. This "plus" is a verb, which means that the government's policy must be moved to help expand domestic demand.
In terms of expanding consumption, such as the fireworks show of the 101 -year -old building 101, if you can combine the surrounding shopping malls, cinemas, and catering venues to provide discounts or to join the event and handle activities, you can create a three -day and three -night night city, driving huge hugeConsumption and shopping crowd.Speed taxes of 6,000 yuan per person. If you can design it through slogans (such as consumption, do not siny, consumption is to revitalize the economy) encourages rich people, people who do not need to swipe cards can double consumption.To achieve the effect of revitalizing the economy.
In expanding private investment and sluggish exports, private imports and investment will also shrink.But through the design of policy, some private investment can also be driven.For example, investment deduction is a good anti -prosperous cycle tool, especially when manufacturers face digital transformation, net zero emissions, and lack of work pressure, if the government can provide digital transformation, net zero emissions and commercial automation investment deductible discounts.However, in accordance with the terms of the setting sun, it is limited to three to five years. It is believed that it can take into account the dual functions of expanding domestic demand and industrial upgrading and transformation.
Furthermore, the government can also consider issuing digital vouchers to small and medium -sized enterprises to subsidize some of its digital transformation, net zero emissions, and commercial automation consultants.In this way, on the one hand, the business opportunities of information services and communication services can be driven. In addition to expanding domestic demand, it can also accelerate the upgrading and transformation of small and medium -sized enterprises.
In addition, Taiwan must not have no semiconductor, but it is not only semiconductor. It is important to solve the problem of M -type in Taiwan's industry. The development of the service industry and the improvement of competitiveness are very important.
Through the loosening and industrialization of the service industry, the excess savings of NT $ 10 trillion, more than 30 trillion yuan of insurance funds, and introduced long -term care, asset management, bilingual education, urban renewal, international medical and other fields,The introduction of talents and accelerating its business model to make it fully reborn and create high -level employment opportunities for young people. This is also an opportunity for me to develop in me and industrial development for a long time.
