Source: Zhongshi Electronic News
Author: Niu Zexun
Former President Chen Shui -bian threw an amazing words for the election of the Presidential Election in 2024, and bluntly stated that "Lai Qingde has not been set as a respected" in the DPP. After all, Tsai Ing -wen still has a lot of expectations for Chen Jianren.Abian broke Lai Qingde's limitations within the party's expectations in the party, and also pointed out that there are still many variables that Lai Lai's relationship can not be controlled. In addition, Huo Huo wanted to get back to the Kuomintang of 2024.The lesson of the front car that is defeated and the nomination is bound to be more cautious.Therefore, if you are not careful, Lai Du may fall into the embarrassing dilemma of his abdomen.
A Bian said that Lai was not settled in one, there were several reasons.First, even if Tsai Ing -wen has only more than a year left, there is still the reality and influence of the president. Of course, after she steps down, she still wants to maintain her influence on the party and government and the development of the British department.Seeing it in the inside, letting his power marginalize.
Secondly, although Chen Jianren has a mild personality, the political charm and energy are weak, it is a solid partner who has cooperated with him in cooperation with him, and can even become a solid partner.The olive branches that are handed out with Lai Xiujia, but if Chen Cabinet really makes political achievements, it has raised its political energy and even marginalized party power. Maybe there will be room for Chen Bangzheng in the 2024 election.Can Lai ride lightly?
Third, Lai Qingde has almost no defense that can defend his power, a close -up general who is impulse and political influence. Even if he is still a new trend, Zheng Wencan, the same faction, is closer to Tsai Ing -wen and serves as Chen Jianren.Although he may not be able to resist Lai Dingting, he is not unlikely to look at Chen Jianren's head.As a "Laiying General", of course, Lai is set to have many suspenses in a party.
Fourth, many reforms in the party, especially the most questioned black gold issues, can be the party chairman.However, the next instructions of the party chairman may blow the balancing of the wrinkle of power.
Even if Lai overcomes the above problems, it is set to one within the party, but from the perspective of outside party competitors, the 2024 battle is not easy to fight, especially if the Kuomintang finally pushed Hou Youyi to fight.According to media reports, Lai has regarded Hou as the number one competitor.After all, Hou is born in the southern part of the south, which can erode the basic market that depends on the south, and Hou is the mayor of New Taipei. It is more likely to restrict the opportunity of Lai Tuo's voting in Xinbei in New Taipei. In particular, the DPP currently has no county mayor in the north.At present, it is not easy to develop the sources of the northern votes.
Not to mention, environmental factors are also unfavorable to rely on.Caused a rebound; the tax on the people issued cash and extended the cash, etc., and Lai Deng generalized the rebound of public opinion, and the election conditions were naturally struggling.
In particular, in terms of cross -strait relations policies, Lai adjusted Tsai Ing -wen's "anti -Chinese -protecting Taiwan" to "Peace -to -Bao Tai", but public opinion is more suspicious, and everyone is waiting to see Lai's more specific actions.For example, Xia Liyan, the vice chairman of the Kuomintang, will lead the group to visit the mainland on the 8th. As soon as the news came out, the green camp was a red sound of wiping, but there was no depend of the remarks to explain the main axis of "cross -strait peace".
If you can't separate the traditional path of the Green Army, you can only draw on your own. Even if you are scheduled to be in 2024, you can become a Phoenix.
The author is a full -time professor and director of the Department of Advertising at the Chinese Cultural University
