Source: Zhongshi Electronic News

Wangbao Society Review

US President Biden F-22 fighter aircraft shot down in Chinese balloon floating over the United States for six days. The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs strictly criticized the United States for excessive response.The itinerary lost the opportunity to improve the relationship.This incident verified the theory of President Biden: The biggest threat of US -China relations was not from intentional war behaviors, but to cause catastrophic conflicts due to misjudgment and accidents.For Taiwan, how to prevent unexpected conflicts in the Taiwan Strait is a top priority related to surviving.

The balloon misjudgment highlights the guardrail is more important

Diplomacy misjudgment and accidents are mainly due to: overestimate their strength, underestimate the energy of the opponent; cannot accurately grasp and insight; and domestic political excessive intervention, these variables often lead to irrational behavior, and the risk of conflict risks has increased.The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China emphasized that it was an accident, and the United States determined that it was bold and light invasion. The most sensitive time in the United States and China relations. Whether it was accidents, negligence or misjudgment, it may cause a diplomatic crisis, and all parties must be guarded.

In November last year, I learned the first physical talks and reached a consensus on the strategic competition of responsible management. The coexistence of peace is the common goal of both parties, representing both of them to start the war.In addition to the principle declaration, the most important substantial achievement of the worship is to determine that Brinkens visited the mainland earlier this year. This will be the first time in the United States' highest diplomat since 2018.It is believed that US -China relations will gradually become stable.

After the worship, due to the Taiwan issue, the Ukrainian war, and the United States to strengthen the trade investment and high -tech control over the United States, although the US -China relations did not significantly cool down, the US -China capital recognizing that the visits of Borinken's visits is of great significance, it is, it is that it is of great significance.The best opportunity to improve relationships.Xi Jinping needs to stabilize the US -China relations to focus on the internal problems after focusing on the revitalization of the economy and the treatment of the zero policy of the crown disease, and decide to meet with Brinken in person;The extensive issues of concern, at the same time highlight the importance of maintaining the smooth flow of communication pipelines.

The U.S. Department of Defense originally evaluated that Chinese balloons did not constitute a threat of Guoan, and its detection ability would not exceed the spy satellite, or even the first time, but it was still ordered to shock down.Some people have questioned, because a balloon delayed that the visits of Brinken have reacted too much?And since the importance of high -level interaction is emphasized, why cancel the visit?However, from the analysis of international politics, bilateral relations between the United States and China, and domestic politics, it is known that the cancellation of Brinken's visit to the mainland does not meet the largest interests of the United States, but the Bayeng government has to do it.

The United States and China rubbing Taiwan Mo Disao from the mouth

Brinken said that China ’s obvious violations of US sovereignty and violations of international law are“ irresponsible and unacceptable ”behaviors, and also destroyed conditions that are conducive to substantial access. Second, the United States must convey firm information to Beijing and the international community.The United States is not a power to decline, and the economy has not been in trouble, and it will never allow arbitrarily provocations.But a more important reason is that the role of the United States in the United States, such as former President Trump, former Secretary of State Pompeo, and the Speaker of the House of Representatives McCarthy immediately seized a rare opportunity and asked immediately to shoot down the balloon.Only then will it boldly hit the United States.

Facing the pressure of rowing mountains, Biden could only announce the delay in the visit of Brincken, or ordered the Ministry of Defense to take action.Washington, especially Congress, originally permeated the anti -Chinese atmosphere. The balloon incident would inevitably promote the flames. US foreign decisions will be more in the vortex of domestic anti -China and China, becoming an obstacle to the US -China relations.

The

Balloon incident suddenly came. It is difficult to repair the damage caused by repairing. Fortunately, Midea and China can still maintain high -level communication, and the storm is not completely out of control.The United States only delayed, rather than canceling the visits of Brillon, and did not intend to take further retaliation operations.

Although the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China expressed strong dissatisfaction and protest against the use of military attack on the U.S. use force attacks on the civilian unmanned airship, Wang Yi still emphasized when talking with Brinken that the United States should "maintain a certain force, communicate in time, avoid misjudgment, control control, control and controlDifferential ".To prevent the incident from continuing worsening and even leading to conflict, it is still the most fundamental principle of both parties.

When countries around the world are still observing how to deal with the current crisis in the United States and China, the Taiwan Foreign Affairs Department has condemned Beijing to violate international law, infringe on the US airspace and sovereignty, and actively jump into the power dispute. In addition to expressing their statements to the United States, existing existence of existing existenceIn addition, it is just the hostileness of the two sides of the strait.You know, the more unstable relations between the United States and China, the higher the risk of the Taiwan Strait. If the balloon incident occurs in the Taiwan Strait, the consequences are really hard to imagine.The DPP government should correct the misunderstanding of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and interact with the mainland with goodwill to reduce the risk of accidental conflicts in the Taiwan Strait.