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The Russian and Ukraine War has been in the past a year. From the recent dynamic observation, both sides are in Li Bing, and prepare for the possible outbreaks of the coming of spring.Russia mobilized 300,000 new soldiers in October last year, and was put into the battlefield one after another.It is reported that Moscow intends to mobilize another 500,000 new soldiers to defeat Ukraine with the absolute strength advantage.After Kiev continued to call the West to provide heavy offensive weapons, the United States, Britain, and France have promised to provide advanced tanks and armored troops; Germany changed its position under the collective pressure of NATO allies, acquiring other countries to provide Ukraine with German Leopard 2 master 2 main ownersBattle tank.Once the climate is warm, the Ukrainian battlefield will inevitably break out a decisive battle this year.
Observing from the current situation of the battlefield, Russia is changing tactics, trying to force Ukraine to sign the city of the city.On the one hand, Russia adopted human sea tactics at the front line, and continued to lose Ukraine's troops with absolute human advantages.Taking the front line of Untonton, the front line of the front line of Bachurut, which was more than five months old, the Russian army was attacking and firing artillery shells every day as a result.machine".Theoretically, Russia can recruit more than 1.2 million in Zhuangding each year, and there are only less than 400,000 in Ukraine. The latter has a long -term consumption with Russia.
On the other hand, Russia continues to use various missiles to bombard the Ukrainian civilian facilities without differences, including power generation systems, and repeatedly allows large cities including the capital Kiev to disconnect.casualties.Doing this is to wear the will to resist the resistance of the Ukrainian people, and the second is to continuously destroy the national economy of Ukraine.If the military and fiscal assistance of Western Groups will be lost, Ukraine will inevitably collapse and surrender quickly in the short term.Based on this judgment, in addition to providing Ukraine's financial assistance, Western countries are also changing the means of military assistance and began to provide offensive heavy weapons so that the Ukraine can win the battlefield initiative.
The biggest change in Western Group recently is that Germany finally acquiesced in other NATO allies to provide Ukraine with the German Leopard 2 main battle tank.Berlin has previously rejected to authorize other countries to do so, partly because of the fact that the policy inertia for Russia before the war is still there, and Germany's resistance to military arms after World War II.There are more than 2,000 Leopard 2 main battle tank inventory of NATO countries, and Ukraine requires 300 vehicles.Among them, Russia's revenge Poland performed the most active, and even stated that it was provided to Ukraine without being authorized by Germany, and eventually forced Berlin to make concessions.Once the army is become a army, Ukraine may use this to break the strategic deadlock and put the Russian army into passive.
However, the Western Group is still under pressure from the supply of ammunition on the battlefield.Although countries have provided tens of billions of dollars in military fires so far, the Russian military consumption war means that the two armies need a large number of artillery shells daily.It is reported that the Russian army has been using the old inventory of the Soviet era; the Ukrainian army is concentrated in the eastern theater because of heavy industry, which seriously depends on the military and NATO military aid.However, the Western Group's arms dealers are still produced at a peaceful period, leading to a decline in inventory.The latest report of the Washington Think Tank Strategy and the National Research Center warned that the war exhausted some types of weapon systems and ammunition inventory in the United States, and the supplementary speed was slow.The United States has recently used military fire inventory in South Korea and Israel to support Ukraine, reflecting the severe level of the situation.
Whether it is the current position consumption or the upcoming tank movement war, the protracted conflict may be expanded and upgraded at any time.Since the beginning of the war, Russia has used the Bloss territory to threaten the security of the Ukraine capital and the big rear of the western region.The political destiny of the White Ross leader Lukashenko is deeply bound with Putin. If the Russian army defeated endangers Putin regime, Beros may be forced to participate in the war.Similarly, Poland has spared no effort to assist Ukraine, and even invites the U.S. military to enter the resident Russia.Defeating Putin is the established national policy of Warsaw, which does not rule out the involvement of troops.
NATO has trained tens of thousands of recruits for Ukraine so far. If it is equipped with the main battle tank of the Leopard 2, and the armored transport vehicle provided by the United States and Britain and France, it may be expected to offset the Russian army's number of advantages.The initiative of the battlefield.In addition to worrying about the involved in the war in Berlus and Poland, Russia's nuclear blackmail still cannot be threatened by lightness.Therefore, the blood war in spring may be enough to reverse or change the war, but I am afraid it is not enough to end the war.The Russian and Ukraine War will continue to affect global geopolitical and economy this year.
