Source: Ming Pao
Ming Pao Society Review
In the past three years, Hong Kong and the country have been fighting hard to fight against the epidemic, people's livelihood is full, and economic development has also been greatly affected.The new situation and opportunities are committed to enhancing competitiveness and recovering the loss of land. The role of the SAR government is very important. From the integration of the Greater Bay Area, the rewriting of the tourism industry to consolidating the status of the international hub, officials need to actively act and play a stronger promotion to promote stronger promotionThe character, with the dexterity of the rabbit machine, faces the challenges of geopolitical division.
"Realize the overall economic improvement"
The country quickly walks in Hong Kong Mo Luo
When the crown disease epidemic is too much, the citizens were holding their moods in the previous two Spring Festival, and the New Year under strict epidemic prevention restrictions.In the year of Guili Rabbit, Hong Kong still had no New Year's fireworks and floats, but the overall atmosphere was very different from previous years.The firm and severe barriers to prevent the citizens' New Year's reunion without worries; everywhere in the market, the catering and retail industries are optimistic about the New Year's road, benefiting from banquets such as spring crickets.As most of the anti -epidemic measures are lifted, they are often reconciled.
Hong Kong was hit by the fifth wave of epidemic in Renyin and Tiger in the year of Ren Yinhu, and the economic recession was raised at 5.4%. Strict epidemic prevention restrictions affect the status of Hong Kong international aviation hubs, and the aviation industry tourism continues to be frozen; the peripheral economy;Slowness, coupled with the failure to resume customs clearance with the mainland, also constitutes a heavy obstacle to the recovery of Hong Kong.The weakened demand for economic trapped in Europe and the United States has caused the exports of Hong Kong to change. The pace of economic growth in the mainland has been slowed down, which has also significantly affected many industries in Hong Kong.Looking back at the performance of the Hong Kong stocks of the year, the HSI fell to the 13th year and a half of the 13th year and a half of the year at 14,597. The annual fund -raising amount was reduced by nearly 70 % year -on -year, and it fell out of the global three.A number of economic indicators have been improved, and the latest unemployment rate has fallen to 3.5%. Retail catering and other industries have continued to improve employment.The fund -raising amount of new shares has also risen significantly in the past six months, and the total amount is equivalent to 80 % of the year.Hong Kong's fourth quarter of last year has not yet been announced. Analysts generally expect that economic atrophy will narrow more than -4.5%of the third quarter.
During the period of anti -epidemic in Hong Kong, the worst time of the economy has passed, as is the situation in the mainland.The National Bureau of Statistics announced last week that the mainland's economy increased by 3%throughout the year last year. Although it is far less than the original 5.5%growth target, it is better than market expectations.%.The mainland has adjusted the epidemic prevention policy in November, and the seal control measures ended last month, and the effect of re -reinventing at full speed is obvious for economic activity recovery.Although the National Bureau of Statistics mentioned that domestic demand contraction, supply impact, expected weak triple pressure are still large, and the foundation of economic recovery is still not firm.It is expected that the mainland can record nearly 5%this year.The US economy slows down, and the focus of the market has shifted from worrying about inflation to decline. If the US interest rate no longer rises this year, the strength of the US dollar will change. This will be greatly helpful for emerging markets such as China to return to China.
Chinese President Xi Jinping's Spring Festival Speaking, pointing out that 2023 is the beginning of the 2023 start of the 20th spirit of the mainland government. It is necessary to comprehensively deepen reform and "strive to achieve the overall economic improvement."After recent years of antitrust supervision and the rectification of the property market. During the post -resistance period, the mainland economic growth model is expected to be highly dependent on real estate and investment, accelerate transition to digital and green economy, and pursue effective improvement of quality and reasonable growth in quantity.Vice Premier Liu He attended the Davos World Economic Forum in Switzerland last week. It is mentioned that this year, it will continue to implement active fiscal policies and stable monetary policies, focusing on expanding domestic demand, and promoting the unblocked industry chain and supply chain cycle.The mainland of the Rabbit In the Year of the Rabbit is fully struggling with the economy and was planned from the "Fourteenth Five -Year Plan" to the integration of the Greater Bay Area. Due to the influence of the epidemic, the development plan and project slowly slowed down. This year, it is expected to be fully advanced. Of course, Hong Kong will integrate into the national development situation. Of courseCatch up quickly.
The stronger the recovery of the mainland of the Rabbit in the Year of the Rabbit, the more beneficiated from Hong Kong.Chen Maobo, director of the Finance Department, believes that Hong Kong's economic recovery in the second quarter will be more obvious.The level of 100 million yuan is expected to return to the world's top three. If there is a large large new shares listed, the annual fund -raising amount has a chance to reach 300 billion yuan.In terms of aviation and tourism, the number of passengers of Hong Kong airports last month reached 1.6 million, and the year -on -year increased by 9 times. The industry believes that the number of passengers this year depends on the recovery of long -distance routes, transit passengers transfer to Hong Kong to the mainland and Southeast Asia.There is a chance to return to more than 30 million people, but compared to 74.57 million passengers in Hong Kong before the epidemic, the gap is still large.
Topping the restoration of Hong Kong's recovery
Convert to a long -term rising power
The biggest test of the economic development of Hong Kong in the Year of the Rabbit is how to take the recovery of recovery and turn the short -term rebound into a stronger and sustainable long -term rising momentum, so that all parties of Hong Kong can return and surpass the pre -epidemic level.EssenceThe fiscal budget will be released next month, and Chen Maobo, director of the Financial Department, said that in addition to babbling for grassroots citizens, it is also necessary to recover this year to vigorously promote investment and accelerate economic development.What specific measures for the budget, wait and see, in any case, the officials must be more active in grabbing talents, grabbing enterprises, and integration into the Greater Bay Area.In recent years, the international situation has changed dramatically. Europe and the United States intend to provide tanks to Ukraine. Russia and NATO risks have ris' risks; geopolitical division, international monetary fund organization (IMF) warning, international cooperation and commercial exchanges decrease, and to combat global economic growth.For Hong Kong's political operations and attacks, more and more are expected.Rabbit impressions are fast and smart. Hong Kong also needs to use these characteristics to cope with the increasingly complex and dangerous international environment.
