Jiamao Tree
Today's international order is in a period of great change.The consensus formed by the international community in the past has been loosened on the consensus of values and interests, and the rules of game rules that jointly possessed the norms and systems such as the norms and systems are also shaking.
In international political science, there is an invisible knowledge about security guarantee research, that is, building and maintaining a good "(national) information communication" mechanism is the basis of security guarantee politics.Specifically: First, it is not easy to adjust the interest relationship between the country through negotiation.Second, there are no other options to replace the interest relationship between countries through negotiation.Third, if the "information communication" between the negotiations fails, the misunderstanding caused by it may trigger unnecessary war.Therefore, "information communication" between countries is important.For countries in the period of great international order, it is necessary to clarify the should be "information communication" between countries.
Japan -China relations are the same.The importance of people of insight in Japan and China called for "information communication", saying that close communication between Japan is important, especially the direct communication between the heads.But the urgency is to build a Japanese -China relations through a good "information communication" mechanism.
The Japanese -China relations since the normalization of diplomatic relations in 1972 should be consistent with the goal of future Japanese -China relations.Good and stable bilateral relations must contribute to the peace and prosperity of Asia and the world.However, in the next 50 years, it will not be unconditionally existed on the 50 -year extension line that has so far.
Japan -China leader refers to the current bilateral relations as "constructive and stable Japanese -China relations."However, in reality, it can be said that it is bound by "security predicament".There are differences between the two countries for the pursuit of the international order (which is conducive to the peace and prosperity of the country), and it is increasingly obvious.The differences in international order proposed by Japan, China, and China are also factor that causes regional instability.
For example, the society of the two countries' threats of security guarantees is different.
According to the "18th day of the 18th, the mainland government and public opinion survey results" published by the Japanese non -profit institution NPO and China International Publishing Group on November 30 last year, the threat sources of the two countries have different threats.79.8%of the respondents from the Japanese side answered the existence of "feeling threatened countries or regions"; the proportion of Chinese interviewees was 47.1%.Among them, the Japanese side listed China as the first place in "feeling threatened countries or regions", followed by North Korea and Russia.On the other hand, the first place in China is the United States, followed by Japan, followed by Japan.
Regarding "a reason to feel threatened", the Japanese answer is (the country or region) "Action in the East China Sea".On the contrary, China believes that "Japan cooperates with the United States and surrounds China for military."This answer is higher than the value of "the history of the war in Japan".According to the results of the survey, it can be found that the opponent has positioned each other as a threatened country.
Japan and China share economic benefits.Japan, China, and China, maintain the relationship between close economic exchanges and long -term cultural exchanges, and also guide the peace and prosperity of the two countries, Asia, and the international community.When this "bond" has deteriorated when bilateral relations deteriorate, it plays a role as a "recovery power" that restores stability and maintains a good relationship.However, after 50 years, Japan -China economic relations have undergone tremendous changes.With the rapid development of Chinese enterprises, Japan -China economic relations can no longer be positioned with complementary relationships, and competition is also increasing.The voices of seeking a more fair competitive environment in Japanese society are rising.
In addition, the Japanese and Chinese government need to make efforts to jointly seek a effective strategy of dealing with the relationship between security and guaranteeing tensions.
Russia's aggression against Ukraine has once again proved that relying on globalization and interdependence, the international community cannot maintain peace and prosperity.Of course, the current Japanese -China relations are not on this moving line, nor can it be on this moving line.In order to overcome the inconsistency of the order of order in order to overcome the inconsistency of the order of order, the "common benefit" between the two countries must be found in order to overcome the inconsistency of the order of order.
The basic ideas of Japan -China relations over the past 50 years, the speech topic held by Japanese Prime Minister Da Ping Fang on December 7, 1979 seemed to be reflected in the depth and breadth development of the new century -old relations.In that speech, Daping announced economic assistance to China.The reason proposed by Dading is that because China's "modern policy and the core of international cooperation are connected, it is expected that the appearance of a wealthy China will be better to the world."This can be regarded as a "common benefit" of China's welcome to the existing international order.It is this "common benefit" that supports Japanese -China relations that has so far.
What kind of "common interests" are currently trapped in the Japanese -China relations that are trapped in the "security predicament"?The stable relationship between Japan and the middle of Japan is maintained by the "common benefit" of the two countries and the hard work of striving for "common benefit".In the final analysis, is it not in the same international order at all?If the international order pursued by each other is different, can they seek "common benefit" in it?Exploring "common benefits" may be an important issue that Japan and China will face in the next 50 years.
The author is a professor at Qingying Yiluo University in Japan
Russia's aggression against Ukraine has once again proved that relying on globalization and interdependence, the international community cannot maintain peace and prosperity.In order to overcome the inconsistency of the order of order in order to overcome the inconsistency of the order of order, the "common benefit" between the two countries must be found in order to overcome the inconsistency of the order of order.
