Source: Zhongshi Electronic News
Author: Li Zhengxiu
The most likely 2024 presidential candidate for the Blue and Green Party has begun to secretly move. Recently, Hou Youyi and Lai Qingde's statements in US policies are noticeable.Hou Youyi said recently that "we are definitely not a chess piece of a strong country." The green camp people considered "suspicion of theory", and Lai Qingde pointed directly on the 8th that the people with the intention could not spread the "suspicion of the United States".The sparks that seem to be sparking can be regarded as the future of the Presidential Campaign Politics. It is worth observing.
Vice President Lai Qingde on the 8th in Taichung's "Report to the Party Member" party chairman's political opinion conference, mentioning that in the future, it is necessary to face the military threat of mainland China.Speaking, even making it the mainstream social consensus, "he also added that" this is very unfavorable to Taiwan. "
Earlier, Hou Youyi, mayor, may be nominated by the Kuomintang, who may be nominated by the Kuomintang, throwing a word "We are definitely not a chess piece of a strong country", which caused a lot of interpretation.In the formula, there are people from green camps that Hou is packaging "suspicion theory" in the "power theory".However, Hou Youyi did not extend this argument afterwards, only emphasizing that "Taiwan is responsible for the stability of the Taiwan Strait and the situation in East Asia, and can do a peaceful way to face the treacherous international situation."
From the perspective of the two people, the differences of their political stance can be discovered.On behalf of the Democratic Progressive Party, Lai Qingde should continue the foreign tone of Cai Yingwen's "anti -China -China -Biantai". It may even use the hatred of cross -strait hatred to intensify the energy of the election campaign and make votes greatly.Conversely, Hou Youyi should not be far from the Kuomintang's cross -strait positions, and strives to actively restore the cross -strait communication door when strengthening the preparation of national defense and replace military confrontation with political dialogue.
Faced with the aggressive mainland and its military threats, whether the United States will intervene in the Taiwan Strait conflict has always been the focus of Taiwan's attention.The DPP is good at propaganda warfare, so it often distort opponent's remarks with its plausible argument.The so -called "Kuomintang's suspicion theory" is the political operation of the malicious distortion of the green camp, and it is also a concerted word that hopes to prevent Taiwan in the United States.
In fact, the Kuomintang never doubts the determination of the United States to maintain the security of peace and Indo -Pacific regions in the United States, and also supports Taiwan and the United States to strengthen all -round cooperation.However, the Kuomintang recognized that the United States did not have a promise to send troops to Taiwan. Therefore, solving the Taiwan Strait problem still requires cross -strait on the basis of political consensus to resolve dislikes through communication dialogue.This is the 2D (dialogue and defense) that Zhu Lilun repeatedly emphasized.
On the other hand, the DPP can only rely on the United States to rely on the United States while unable to break the deadlock on both sides of the strait.Lai Qingde rarely issued talks about diplomacy and cross -strait affairs in the past, so it may only continue Tsai Ing -wen’s "four persistence" in the future, but this approach may be exposed to its own shortcomings.Face.
At this time, it was the key moment when the United States seemed to establish a guardrail with the mainland.Lai Qingde's wanting to cover the cross -strait discussion of Cai Yingwen's cross -strait discussion will face many tests.
The Cai government promoted the US warships through the Taiwan Strait high -profile, but did not dare to tell the truth to the Taiwanese.According to Bloomberg news reports, although the mainland has increased pressure on Taiwan, the United States has significantly reduced the naval ships through the Taiwan Strait to nine times in 2022, the lowest number in four years.Although the number of times does not represent the United States that does not pay attention to the security of the Taiwan Strait, it highlights the major diplomatic significance of the Bayeng government intentionally alleviating the US -China military confrontation.
The Democratic Progressive Party, which was defeated by the election campaign, was likely to hype the populist passion of "Anti -China Baozai" again in the face of the 2024 election to drive the energy of the election campaign, because the existing achievements have been difficult to convince most voters.Lai Qingde tried to soften the political colors of the green camp with the "old bottled new wine". Now the question of "suspicion theory" should be his starting style of his name.Outside of the signs, the degree of pro -beauty may be another issue of another wrestling.
The author is an associate researcher at the National Security Group of the National Policy Research Foundation
