Author: Shao Zonghai
Source: Zhongshi Electronics News
Just last month, a new noun that was surprised by October was produced. At that time, the speculation of arms conflicts between the two sides of the strait was mainly based on cross -strait.The news of the diagnosis of the infected new coronal virus revealed whether he could run for a campaign.Then it also showed the next US -China triangle relationship to show an uncertain state, and it did mess with Taiwan society psychologically.So how do you look at this series of changes and challenges?It is a problem that the people of Taiwan cannot avoid.
First of all, we tried the particularity of the CCP's military threats to Taiwan in the first few months: First, the PLA military aircraft no longer stick to the traditional practices in the past, but directly deny that the Taiwan Strait originally had one.The fact that the existence of the vague cross -strait midline is that this denial is to make the cross -strait military aircraft and ships try to cross this center line after 1958 to maintain the tacit understanding of the two sides of the strait without provoking each other.The frequency of military exercises, its frequency and scope expansion, is the most in the past, far exceeding the previous layout, and it is clear that it is targeted at Taiwan.
Beijing's policy on Taiwan has begun to change. It is not a recent discovery that before and after Cai Yingwen's 2016, because the DPP's ruling authorities did not recognize the 1992 consensus, and the outside world has seen some trajectories that have changed one after another: for example, 2015On March 4, Xi Jinping's speech on TV said: If the common political foundation of both sides of the strait is destroyed, the cross -strait trust will no longer exist. Once the foundation is not solid, the mountain will shake the mountain.At the 40th anniversary of the Taiwan compatriots on the 1st of 2019, Xi Jinping reminded that the long -term political difference between cross -strait long -term existence of cross -strait is the general root that affects the stability of cross -strait relations.It shows that solving the problem of Taiwan is always hanging in Beijing
Secondly, during the four years during his tenure, Trump's measures to Taiwan, whether they are good or substantial, but at least in terms of attitude, the Trump administration does make the DPP authorities feel warm, or think that Trump is at least the United States at least the United StatesAfter breaking diplomatic relations with Taiwan in 1978, the president of Taipei was most supported.Because of this, the DPP never hesitate to put himself on both sides of the strait position on the one side. On the other hand, in order to highlight that it is not pleased on both sides, it is also a strong anti -China, or even hatred.It is the next bet, never considering the balance of betting on both sides.
Trump's sudden diagnosis did not mean that he could go out in the US election, but his health problems had to make his supporters feel that the election would no longer be optimistic.In fact, before Trump confirmed, he had a possibility of voting in the polls and the votes of the electoral groups in various states.The problem of confirmed diagnosis has also triggered Trump's controversy that can recover a city in one month: one is the doubts of his health recovery, and the other is how strong Trump can proposeDialectics: His body after healing can be competent for the final sprint?Some people may have proposed that Trump will win more sympathy tickets, but as far as the US presidential election has always been concerned, it has not yet determined that his supporting objects should be a rational ethnic group.Trump's health and sympathy.
Therefore, when the situation on both sides of the strait is severe, the October on both sides of the strait is probably not a drama, and Trump's illness falls.Even though she used to think that there was a choice in the middle of the United States, then she could not choose to be stubborn again under the surprise of October, at least to think about it: U.S. Democratic Party came to power.powerful?If the answer is no, she also has to think about whether Beijing will easily accept her back?Basically, it will be an embarrassing moment that is difficult to move forward and back.
But in any case, the double ten speech in a few days, or Tsai Ing -wen can reveal some opportunities for good faith to the other side.She doesn't need to say something that she can't do, but reducing the words and anti -Chinese words in hatred, just want to alleviate the current severe situation on both sides of the strait. Taiwan society that has been panicked under stability should be okay?
