Chen Hongbin

As the Japanese media was overwhelmed before the election, the villain of Yiyi was elected as the new president of the Liberal Democratic Party, and continued to have a term of approximately the prime minister left by Abe's resignation for his resignation.On September 15th, he decided that the chief of the Liberal Democratic Party and other Liberal Democratic Party's main positions will announce the general resignation on the morning of the 16th. In the afternoon of the Prime Minister's Prime Minister's name election, Sugi Yiwei will become the new Prime Minister.

This situation is unimaginable even two months ago.Since Abe returned in 2012, Tan Yiwei has been the secretary -general of the cabinet.This position is the general manager of the Japanese government, and the status of the cabinet is second only to the Prime Minister.

While Abe set the longest record of Prime Minister's term, Sugi Yiwei also set a record with the longest term of the secretary -general of the cabinet.Although the status of Yiyi Weiwei is second only to Abe, he has repeatedly expressed unintentionally to the position of Prime Minister.This is obviously not his true thoughts, because since he is in politics, no one does not want to obtain the highest power, let alone one step away from this position. It is impossible for this position to be rare.

However, Abe has previously hoped to give this position Zen to Kishida Wento, President of the Liberal Democratic Party ’s Government Investigation.On the occasion of the Hiroshima constituency in Kishida last year, Abe also endorsed Kishida: Ling and Time were Kishida era.Earlier, the Japanese political center also reported that Abe had a bad relationship with Tan Yiwei from time to time.Kishida was also eager to try this position.In addition, Shi Po Mao, the former chief of the Liberal Democratic Party, has also been struggling, and has been running for the President of the Liberal Democratic Party four times.

Against this background, the prematurely bright cards of Supreme Yiyi are obviously more disadvantaged. They will only hit grass and shock, causing political opponents to prevent the psychology of prevention.Rather than, it is not as calm on the surface. At the same time, the time is always glimpsed to accumulate strength. It is obviously the best strategy when it is confident.This trick is very effective. The Liberal Democratic Party's second -order Junbo was clearly expressed when asked who could become the new president at the end of August: the person who said he had no intention of serving as the Prime Minister.

When the relevant countermeasures to cope with the crown disease epidemic this year, Kishida Wenxiong's idea obviously did not meet the considerations of Abe and Deputy Prime Minister Aso Morimoto. They believed that Kishida took over as the Prime Minister's post.After taking over the great momentum, the relevant seniors of the Prime Minister's residence visited the Cabinet Secretary General's Office from time to time.Therefore, after Abe announced his resignation, both Japanese politics and the media immediately optiminated the market of Toyo Yowei, and the exposure of Sugi Yiwei also increased sharply in the media.

Some people think that the pick -up will only fully inherit the Abe route, and I am afraid that it may not be the case.After taking office, it is likely that the time is likely to be aimed at the time, and he chose to dissolve the Congress in advance to hold the general election in the most scattered machine in the opposition party.Once he won the election, he was tantamount to laying the country by his own strength.Next, it is taken for granted, and he may reflect his own characteristics in the administration, not just the continuing Abe route.

Two days before the election, on September 12, at the debate held at the Japanese Journalists Club, the three candidates explained their views on issues such as future economic development policies.In the opinion of Tan Yowei, the economy that supports the impact of the epidemic is urgent; but Kishida Wenxiong and Shi Panmao believe that while maintaining financial improvement, it is introduced to the relevant fiscal policies.At the same time, they all pointed out that Abe's economics has led to the disparity of the rich and the poor, but Yiyi Wei has denied it.

Quan Yiwei was born in Akita County in 1948. When he was born, his family was very poor, so after graduating from high school, he worked in a cardboard box factory in Tokyo after graduating from high school. Later, he entered the Political Science majors in Law and Government.The Secretary -General of the Council has been on the road of politics for 11 years.In 1996, Quan Yiwei was elected as a member of the members for the first time, and has been re -elected for seven consecutive times since then.

In 2006, Tan Yiwei supported Abe to run for the President of the Liberal Democratic Party. After Abe was elected, he was appointed Minister of General Affairs.After that, Abe intends to let him serve as the secretary -general of the cabinet, and later exposed his office's expenses.In 2012, Tan Yiwei supported Abe to re -leave the mountain. After Abe returned, he appointed him as the Secretary -General of the Cabinet until he was running for the President of the Liberal Democratic Party.

Although Yayi Yiyi does not belong to any faction, this time, he can get the support of the five major factions of the seven factions of the Liberal Democratic Party this time, which is completely unexpected to Kishida Wenxiong and Shi Panmao.The support of Abe and the second -order Junbo is the key to the successful counterattack.

Facing two major problems

After taking office immediately, the two major problems, namely, fully overcome the epidemic and make every effort to support the significant decline in the economy.The two are closely related.Whether Japan and the world can effectively suppress the epidemic before the spring of next year are related to a major issue that will be held for one year.If you can successfully host the Olympic Games, this will undoubtedly be a golden signboard of Yiyi Wei, which is very beneficial to his president of the Liberal Democratic Party next year.

In addition, Yoshi's wanting to show a dazzling transcript is obviously very difficult.Japan's economic desire is weak and structural reasons. The launch of Abe's economics has almost no effect in the past eight years, which is enough to explain the problem.

However, Tan Yiwei should be familiar with the internal affairs issue and Chengzhu.In the past eight years as the Secretary -General of the Cabinet, a press conference in the morning and afternoon of each working day and afternoon is almost a domestic issue.More than 3,000 journalists will be opened, and he can be said to be familiar with Japan's domestic problems.

Earlier, the Japanese media agreed that the prominent shortcomings of Toyi Yiwei were diplomacy because he was never responsible for the work of this field. In the past, he encountered diplomatic problems at a press conference.Kick the ball back to the reporter to interview the relevant departments.During the Cabinet Secretary -General, he only used his vacation to visit the United States once, and also went to the United Nations to give a speech, which is obviously to improve his international presence.

At the candidate's debate on September 12, Qi Yiwei was explicitly opposed when asked about the Asian version of NATO, because this move will inevitably form a encirclement in China.Regarding the issue of Japan -China relations, Tan Yiwei believes that the problem should be solved through the opportunity of high -level communication, and the proposal should be proposed at the same time.

It can be seen that Tan Yiwei does not agree with the formation of enclosure to China, which is very different from Abe.After taking office, Tan Yiwei will face foreign issues directly. It is estimated that he will not establish a very close personal relationship with US President Trump like Abe, and it is not like Abe, as well as Tsai Ing -wen and other Taiwan independence elements.relation.

The Chinese government and the people are undoubtedly very concerned about the posture of Toyo Yi's China, hoping that he can continue to improve the improvement of China's relations with Abe.On the issue of historical understanding, Tan Yiwei worshiped the Yasukuni Shrine on August 15, 2011, and never visited the Cabinet Secretary General.At the end of 2013, after the worship of Abe as the Prime Minister, Tan Yiwei stated at the press conference: as long as it was patient, the significance of worship is expected to be understood.In addition, in terms of political issues, Tan Yiwei supports constitutional amendments and supports the exercise of collective self -defense rights.

Tan Yiwei relies on the full support of the second -order Junbo, and the second -order Junbo and the Gongming Party representative Yamaguchi Nakinan is the double iron tower that supports the stable development of Sino -Japanese relations in Japan today.

In addition, Tan Yiwei himself has a deep relationship with the Society of Price. The Society of Prices is the main support group of the Gongming Party.Therefore, it is estimated that during the term of the term of Toyo, Sino -Japanese relations are expected to continue to maintain the improving momentum to a certain extent.If the Yiyi Wei can recognize and grasp the development trend of this era, it will not only help the stable development of bilateral relations between China and Japan, but also will help the peace and stability of the region.

The author is a retired scholar in Shanghai, China

After taking office, it is likely that the time is likely to be aimed at the time, and he chose to dissolve the Congress in advance to hold the general election in the most scattered machine in the opposition party.Once he won the election, he was tantamount to laying the country by his own strength.Next, it is taken for granted, and he may reflect his own characteristics in the administration, not just the continuing Abe route.