Hong Kong 01 Views
The border conflict between China and India has erupted from the beginning of May in early May, and there is still no signs of calming.On Monday (7th), a gun was even more incidental in the area where the use of firearms, and the situation was heating up again. It was evaluating whether the Sino -Indian conflict would eventually be upgraded to become a war.Although the situation of the border seemed to be unable to be well -being, the chances of war broke out between China and India are not much.In terms of the domestic situation in India, China -India's military conflict will not be easily resolved in the short term, but both sides seem to know that the upgrading of military conflicts is useless.In fact, the true conflict between China and India is not on the border, but economically.
The new crown epidemic has a great blow to India. Although there are few early diagnosis of India, the city has also been sealed in March to prevent the epidemic from spreading.Later, there was a lack of follow -up epidemic prevention control, rushing to restart the economy, and the epidemic spread quickly after the second quarter of this year.Recently, India's single -day diagnosis is still in 80,000 to 90,000, with a cumulative number of diagnosis of more than 4.2 million, surpassing Brazil to become the world's second -diagnosis country.The spread of the epidemic also hit the Indian economy. In the second quarter of India, GDP fell 23.9%even year -on -year, and more than 21.7%of Britain became the worst of the world's major economies.The Indian epidemic has not been controlled, and it is difficult to recover after the economic damage. It is estimated that GDP in the second half of the year is difficult to rebound too much.
India watching China is an economic enemy
In this case, India has erupted in accusing China of populism. The Modi government just used this anti -China mood to transfer the national vision to the epidemic and economy.At this time, the China -India border conflict has just become a good shift tool for the Modi government.Acting for Chinese goods, prohibiting Chinese companies from operating in India, and prohibiting Chinese mobile games, etc., all of which have enlarged and vented the people's anti -China emotions, reducing the sway of the government's downward economic downlink in the government, and also made Hindu nationalism.The attractive Modi can still maintain a considerable support in such an environment.Without military secrets, it is difficult to say who the conflict was stirred up at the beginning, but since the conflict has begun, it is estimated that India will not be able to quickly resolve it in the short term.
Although India does not want to resolve the conflict for the time being, it seems that the Modi government itself is also known. If the military conflict is upgraded, it will not be much beneficial to India.Russia, the largest weapon supplier of the Indian army, has close strategic partnerships with China. At this time, it plays the role of the middleman.Russia has joined the mediation. In fact, the opportunity to upgrade military conflicts in China and India is very small.Regardless of whether China will start, but India does not have the possibility of fighting against China under the lack of Russia's military and military, and India does not even have room for letting go.In addition, the United States has always wanted to join the problem as a peacemaker, but it was rejected by both parties. Obviously, India itself also understood that it was not good for himself to drag the United States into this conflict.Chess pieces.Therefore, the conflict of China and India is likely to continue to upgrade like this, nor does it resolve it for a while.
Of course, India is not just using populist metastasis. The real purpose behind it is to use this opportunity to combat the development space of Chinese companies in India. Therefore, the real main battlefield of China and India is still in the economy.First of all, there are activities such as burning Xiaomi mobile phones to buy Chinese goods. The Indian government has taken advantage of the opportunity to transform emotions into policies and prohibit Chinese companies from expanding in India, such as stopping renting Chinese tankers, stopping buying China, and Iranian crude oil products with China, and again, and againIt is forbidden to include Chinese mobile phone programs such as Tencent's game PUBG Mobile.In fact, as early as the epidemic outbreak of China at the beginning of the year, India took the opportunity to call on enterprises to move the production of China to India.The real contradiction between China and India is that India is increasingly involved in the enemy of economic development, and more economic conflicts will occur in the future.
