Shen Jinhao: What are the results of the US military aid association

Recently, because Ma Ying -jeou criticized Tsai Ing -wen to refuse to recognize the 1992 consensus, pushed Taiwan to the edge of the war, and proposed that the first battle, which was the final battle that it attracted the dissatisfaction of the Green Camp and the netizens of the green camp.Essence

The Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation recently made a poll. The polls explained Ma Ying -jeou's first battle as the start of the two sides of the strait. Taiwan could not wait for the U.S. forces at all, and the war ended and the mainland won. In this regard, 58.3 is 58.3.%Of the respondents did not agree, only 33.9%agreed.

In addition, the Chinese Folk Research Association also made a poll. 58.7%of the Taiwanese people believed that the United States would send troops to Taiwan during the cross -strait war.On June 9th, Green Media's TV show Zheng knew that Liang Dongping, a reporter from Taiwan Warfield, who had interviewed the Iraq war, said that it was not easy for the PLA to launch a war of crossing the sea.After 30,000 missiles, there was no way to land in Taiwan.

The author does not want to see the two sides of the Straits meet each other, but seeing these information and remarks on the media, I have to raise a few basic issues.

First of all, in what circumstances will the mainland start martial arts?The answer is simple, and the anti -split national law has clearly stated.

Secondly, will the mainland start martial arts without being ready?Obviously not, but it is not a trivial matter.The first battle with Ma Ying -jeou was the same as the final battle.

Third, will mobilize martial arts considering the US intervention factors?that's for sure.Leading, he was blocked by the U.S. military or rushed back to the mainland. How can the mainland stand this result?Today's world is not the world 70 years ago, nor the mainland of the mainland 70 years ago.Now, due to the development of information and intelligence, it can be estimated by what the combat power and the combat method of all countries and regions and regions.Therefore, there is no grasp of winning, and it will not be done.

According to the Middle -Time Electronics News on August 22, a article entitled by Ruomei intervention in Lu Wutongmei experts: Bing Pao Dao Mei repeatedly defeated the articles that could not support two weeks.And the deduction of soldiers and chess by professionals such as Rand think tank showed that the Blue Army who played the United States of the U.S. forces against the Red Army who attempted to commit martial arts committed for many years was ended with failure, and it was difficult for Taiwan to support Taiwan for two weeks.

Rand's national defense analyst, David Ochmanek, said that over the years, the Blues (representing the U.S. forces) have been unable to understand why they have a positive conflict with the mainland so badly and have shocked for many years.Of course, this result is only the saying of the US think tank. Whether it is reliable and whether there is a cigarette curtain ammunition ingredient.However, there is no doubt that before the mainland is shot, it will not only do military soldiers, but also will definitely do comprehensive soldiers including economic tolerance, international response, and unified governance methods.What about martial arts?

Fourth, how can Taiwan be able to carry it once in martial arts?Yes, Taiwan has a certain combat power, and is still studying to strengthen asymmetric tactics and obscure tactics.However, don't forget a core issue: war and not war, the initiative is on the mainland.

With the strength of Taiwan, there will never be a large -scale attack on land?According to military officers, the mainland knows what military facilities in Taiwan have made it clear and marked. Once the mainland moves, it will definitely destroy the valuable military goals of Taiwan and let the Taiwan military radar, airports, and glory be destroyed, Military Port, Electronic War Base, Missile (Missile) Base, etc., which can play combat power, cannot be used.The first wave of uninterrupted counterattack, the second wave of attacks will keep up.How many combat power can be preserved on the island?And it doesn't take much time to do it several times.

Fifth, return to the issue of US military aid to the topic.After all, Taiwan is not the core interest of the United States. Once it intervenes, it is difficult to say to what level of war upgrades.The United States once said that sinking its aircraft carriers, the United States used nuclear weapons.However, the U.S. military must use aircraft carriers to intervene, otherwise there is no vehicle.It is necessary to intervene in the aircraft carrier. Does the PLA's Dongfeng, Eagle Strike, Sword, and Giant Waves miss it at this time?Make your fighters comfortably take off and land to attack the PLA?If the U.S. military can't stand the sunk of the aircraft carrier and enables nuclear weapons, can China's nuclear weapons use it?Is the United States worth this for Taiwan and China, is it worth it?However, for China, in order to ensure that the country is not split, it must be countered like this.

Even if the United States really came to help, the Runhemannek in the Electronic Newspaper Article of the Electronics News: The PLA's strategy was to land on Taiwan before the U.S. military came to assist Taiwan.In the face of the Battle of Uikya Island, if Taiwan is occupied by the PLA, the scene that the U.S. forces must be retracted with amphibious attacks are unwilling to see it.

In the battle of Uikya Island, this sweet potato (Taiwan Island looks like sweet potatoes) in Taiwan is not scorched?Is unity really so terrible, rather would rather be unified in Taiwan?Politicians are unwilling to be the governor, and the people and soldiers have one tendon?Do people, Taiwanese businessmen on the mainland, and their families live well?Reasonable people must have figured out some of these.What's more, Suls Island, which is lonely in the Pacific Ocean and far away from Japan, has also allowed the US military to pay 6,821 lives; Taiwan, which is close to Fujian, can mainland rocket launchers in Taiwan, do the U.S. military go?Can you stay?

At this point, the people of Taiwan should understand that don't think of the US forces for help.In order to consume mainland China and the seeds of hatred between the two sides of the strait, it is possible to make some involvement and oil on the fire. However, taking Taiwan as the battlefield, it is unbearable in Taiwan.

(The author is a professor at the School of Humanities, Shenzhen University)