01 Viewpoint

The United States has been raging in the new type of coronary virus since the beginning of the year. At least 5 million people have been diagnosed in the country, and 180,000 people are killed.The economic data of the United States in the second quarter could not bear to see it. The total production value of the nationality plummeted by 32.9%, surpassing the economic depression of 1929, and 1.1 million people across the country applied for unemployment assistance.Under such a disregard, any president must be the context of the crowd.According to usual, any campaign opponent's choice must be easily overwhelming.However, in many polls, the average gap between Trump and the average gap between the two people's transfer of Biden is now 8 percent.Pennsylvania 3. Arizona 2. North Carolina 1 is smaller than the gap between the previous and Hillary.

There is no doubt that Biden has the stars of the veterans from left to right spectrum from left to right.Vulnerable candidates.I still remember that when they participated in the Democratic President's preliminary election, the forum performance was fully advanced. In the first three battles, it was even more famous for the first battle.Then pull back a city.Later, Obama even stunned behind him and persuaded the rest of the middle school candidates to let a way to wake Biden, and then squeezed the momentum of Sanders on Tuesday.Recently, the media revealed that Obama has a very reservation of Bayon's ability, and told the people around him that he should not underestimate the ability to mess up things.

Please imitate the 2016 strategy

Since the fate of defeating Trump's historical responsibility on Biden's shoulder, the Democrats had to stabbing their heads with the power of the whole party, and the Republicans who fell down the whole party and fully urged the valley to choose the situation.Whether it is the former first lady Michelle, the left -wing senator Sanders, and the new conservative eagle Powell, the four -day Democratic National Congress has gone uniquely to cut the personality of Trump, reprimanded his lying, no morality, no morality, Self -selfishness, Democratic Democracy, Destroying the system, and depending on human life are like grass and mustard.The Republican Conference on Tuesday (25th) is also obviously targeted at this point. The tenderness of Trump, such as hosting the naturalization ceremony of five new immigrants, a amnesty of a amnesty of an African -American crime to make it a reunion for his family, and dispatched more.The first lady's Marania Rose Garden speech highlighted Trump's tenderness.

Trump's tender cards aim to explain to the public that it is not a child and demon in the Democratic population. It has slightly touched his immigration and racial policy, showing that he is not a racist.Trump's humanity.This main purpose is to grab the Democratic Party's African -American votes, but for white voters mainly for women.After 2016, the Democratic Party focused on the conservative and gentle suburban voters. In the middle of 2018, the Democratic Party was elected to the House of Representatives. This batch of white women in the suburbs was regarded as the hero.The Trump camp strongly shaped the soft image, and vigorously rendered the civil rights demonstration that appeared under the governance of the Democratic Party to make the society unstable and the corruption of public security.Whoever has the White House in the suburbs still seems to be appropriate.

However, Trump's popularization of Biden's camps still hit the personal characteristics of candidates, and there are very few policies and political platform discussions.However, on the second night of the Republican Conference on Tuesday, the Trump camp also began to invite the labor class to introduce a class perspective, and began to return to the 2016 campaign strategy.Among them, the Communist and Party invited a Democratic Party of Minnesota to attack the Democratic Party's trade policy, and they also praised Trusti to say no to say no, and revive the local steel industry.Minnesota is the state that has been attacked by Trump in this year, and in the middle of the month, he has played a local vote in person. He hopes to repeat the miracle of successfully grabbing the beach in the rusty area in the central and western parts.When Trump held the National Congress in Milwaki, Wisconson, it was obviously that he had to vote at the local conference. Obviously, he would have to swing the state to fight with the Bayeon Division.

However, in the face of Trump's frequent actions, the Bayeng camp chose not to act.Biden has almost been leaving home since the outbreak of the epidemic, and has been hiding in the cellar in his hometown in Travly for a long time.Federal Senator Amy Klobuchar recently accepted a BBC interview and scratched Trump to the state. He believed that large assemblies under the epidemic were not feasible.Ascending in polls, there is the meaning of the overall situation.Crobuche said that it may be reasonable. Under the epidemic, the ecosystem of the United States has changed sharply. It is difficult to estimate the effect of any election strategy.Extremely worrying, whether it will repeat the unexpected defeat of the previous session too much.

Trump began to reuse the economic nationalist discussion of anti -Elite anti -elites in 2016, which is also the weakness of Biden.I still remember that in the last campaign debate, Trump suddenly made a lot on the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), scolding this to sign the worst agreement in the history of the American history, which caused the US manufacturing industry to shrink 30 to 40 % or even half.Without the power of fighting back, I only understand that this is just your personal opinion.In fact, since the signing of the North American Free Trade Agreement, the United States has lost nearly 700,000 manufacturing positions. Since China has joined the WTO, the United States has lost more than 3.7 million jobs.Important pusher of normalization.The last Trump defeated Hillary in the Midwest with only the word NAFTA. This session definitely has the opportunity to repeat it.

It should be known that the voting rate of the US election is low in the Western democratic government, which is only less than 56%in the previous session.The polls show that most non -voters do not vote because they have lost trust in Washington. The reason is that the democracy and Republican parties have gradually homogeneous in the past decades.It is tired of Washington.Biden has traveled to Washington for more than forty years and is on behalf of the core of the core.Many of the 100 million non -voters are potential anti -building voters. If Trump can effectively take the line of anti -elite anti -elite, to defeat Biden for successful re -election.Although Trump is also the largest enemy of itself. After he came to power, he abandoned the anti -establishment position when he abandoned the campaign, and the disappointment of anti -epidemic policies can be made. However, this election is still far from the overall situation.