Deng Qingbo
Sino -US games are increasingly extending towards the deep water area. Whether China and the United States will slip into the new Cold War have become the focus of attention in the international community.Although the author still insists that China and the United States will not be a large -scale hot war, nor will it reconstruct the Cold War, and will continue to present non -war (see the relationship between Human Wen and the United States, and it will contain Lianhe Morning Post, February 19, 2019).
However, in the recent period, Sino -US relations have continued to deteriorate, and the possibility and danger of wiping guns and fires have indeed existed.Driven by multiple factors such as election and populist emotions, volume responsibilities, and internal contradictions, no matter who is democratic and republican candidates, it is foreseeable that the United States will take more tough curb measures in China.
From the current point of view, the United States authorities have been continuously increased by the containment measures for China, and they are getting heavier and heavy.Minister of Health visited Taiwan and so on.
The United States tried to stir up the situation around China from the Obama authorities, so that the Philippines, Vietnam, India, etc. as a former Huama died, because the Philippines, Vietnam, and even India could not be fooled, they had to be shirtless and sent a ship to the gate of China.By completely disregarding the body, tore off the camouflage of democracy, freedom, and the rule of law, and naked to block Chinese companies such as Huawei, plunder Tiktok, etc., and published a preaching of China with the meaning of the cold war.The more pictures of the poor dagger.
Former Chinese leader Mao Zedong once asserted that all imperialists were paper tigers, advocating to despise the enemy strategically and pay attention to the enemy tactically.Therefore, the Chinese academic circles and public opinion are scorching the voices of the United States and more and more poisonous tricks. They believe that although these tricks in the United States are vicious, although the strength of the United States is super powerful, it is not afraid.
Politically, the United States has a serious party struggle and chaos in political situation, and China is more stable, making US Secretary of State Pompeo want to induce the Chinese people to abandon the CCP's attempts in his speech and be criticized by scholars as ignorance. In diplomacy, the United States tries to win other countriesThe practice of blocking China is currently limited. Not only did Sino -Russian relations have not been separated, but even European allies such as Germany and France were unwilling to follow blindly; economically, the total number of China has not only surpassed half of the United States, but also in terms of purchasing power.The parity measure can be equal to the United States. Moreover, under the impact of the epidemic, China takes the lead in re -production and re -production to achieve recovery, and the situation is better than the United States. In public opinion, unilateralism of Trump authorities has been criticized internationally. The United StatesIn recent years, what has done has made it loses moral appeal; although the United States has absolute advantages, the United States must maintain global hegemony and use troops everywhere.It is far less than the United States, but it is enough to dispel an attempt to adventure in the United States.
Therefore, even though the United States' containment measures are constantly being upgraded, from simple trade friction to comprehensive suppression, China can still maintain calm and see the tricks.The more aggressive the United States, the more he rushed to the front line of the Chinese, and the more he witnessed that he was unpopular and poor.In the United States, there are no shortage of public opinion on the current US authorities' criticism of China. They believe that the United States abandon the contact policy against China and collects comprehensive containment. It will only be in vain.Essence
Killing is the heart battle
Will the United States' containment policies against China really have no effect and no danger at all?
In fact, the United States' containment of policies in China is not only on the surface, but it is not just a mighty and hostile. It is not just a specific trick, but also the huge murder behind it.It is true that from politics to military, the specific measures adopted by the United States may be successfully resolved by China. Some of them cannot be resolved for the time being, but the damage that can cause a large country like China is also very limited.For example, the recent series of curbing measures for Hong Kong issued by the United States has been considered very limited.
However, the real killing is that this series of measures in the United States will shape a strong atmosphere full of hostility to China; and this strong atmosphere will profoundly affect the psychology of Chinese society and promote Chinese society to continue to be more vigilant.It may lead to the occurrence of the phenomenon of internalization.This kind of heart war is the biggest killing of the United States to curb the China policy.
The term of the so -called internal volume is derived from the internal volume of the American anthropologist Clifford Gertz agriculture: The process of ecological changes in Indonesia (Agricultual Involution: The Process of Ecological CHANESIA) refers to a society of society. Or cultureAfter reaching a certain form in a certain development stage, it stagnates or cannot be converted into another more advanced model.
Professor Prasenjit Duara, the University of Chicago, in Culture, Power and the State: RURAL North China, 1900-1942 from 1900 to 1942, and proposed the internalization of the state powerThe concept refers to expanding its administrative functions by relying on improving the benefits of the old or new institutions, but relying on the relationship between the old or new institutions, but to replicate or expand the relationship between the old countries and society.In other words, there is no real new benefit improvement, but slides into conservative autism.
Historically, the Soviet Union, the Soviet Union, can be said to some extent.Under the barriers of the Cold War, the Soviet Union and its followers were infinitely vigilant for western countries such as the United States and built a variety of tangible and intangible Berlin walls to block things from the West.It has made many problems in national governance not be resolved for a long time, and it has accumulated over time.
When Gorbachev wanted to break the deadlock, he could only take care of the medical treatment and accelerate the collapse of the Soviet Union.Gorbachev itself is the product of the Soviet regime.In modern times, the Qing Dynasty in China can also be said to die in the internal volume, because of the fear of the West, and retreating the country, trying to maintain the rule of the heavenly dynasty, it can only be increasingly rigid and backward.
What China must prevent now is that when the United States has increased its containment and shaping the atmosphere faced by the Soviet Union in that year, China has repeated the same mistakes, and the social psychological tendency is psychologically.This table is now. On the one hand, due to the deterioration of the external environment, under the control of nationalism and other emotions, the people gradually lose their positive and optimistic attitude towards the external world and become excessive.Be able to maintain an open mind and learn from an open mind.
On the other hand, due to the need to counter the United States to curb incitement, the people are more inclined to identify with the advantages of their own social governance. For many incomplete places and contradictions that still exist, they can also tolerate, even see the courage and courage and reform of reform.Passion has weakened.In other words, the enthusiasm and initiative of the two people will be dumbfounded.This is the biggest achievement that the United States has made to curb policies in China.
To see that, as China is good at dealing with the problem of strategic and tactical levels, the United States' curbing policies in China may also have two levels of killing two levels of strategy and tactics.Specific measures in politics, economy, diplomacy, military, and other aspects are actually only a tactical level, just to cause short -term and surface interference; shape a comprehensive and comprehensive atmosphere, making the Chinese began to become full of doubts and concerns about the external world.Arrangement and rolling inward may be the strategy of the United States to curb the China policy.
The reason why contemporary China can rise rapidly, reform and opening up is a vital choice.It can be said that reform and opening up are the only way for China to enter the road of revival and realize the dream of a strong country.Therefore, if the US curb policy can induce or force the Chinese to lose their confidence and passion for reform and opening up, it is equivalent to fundamentally obstructing the path of peaceful development in China and breaking the path of China.This is the most fatal to ChinaKilling tricks!
Facing the comprehensive curb policy of the United States, in addition to seeing the dismantling, China must also maintain a strong strategic determination in the whole society, that is, the route of adherence to reform and opening up is not shaken.The more the United States, the more China, the more China wants to accelerate the expansion of the openness to break through the enclosure; the more the United States is curbing, the more China needs to accelerate the deepening reform to achieve self -improvement.
Fundamentally, China's reform and opening up are conducive to improving and safeguarding the rights of people's livelihood. It is conducive to mutual benefit and win -win with countries around the world. It is a real auspicious movement and the Kangzhuang Avenue that is in line with the trend of the times.As long as China can continue to deepen reforms and persist in expanding opening up, the New Cold War curtain in the United States cannot be pulled down or closed.In the long run, the time and advantages of the Sino -US game must be in China.
The author is Chinese current affairs commentator
Taiwan Strait Relations and Public Opinion Researchers
Driven by multiple factors such as election and populist emotions, transfer responsibilities, and internal contradictions, whether the democracy and republican candidates will come to power, it is foreseeable that the United States will take more tough containment measures to China.
