Hong Kama
Graham Allison, a professor of international relations at Harvard University in the United States, published a doomed battle in 2017?Can China and the United States avoid the Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides Trap? "Thucydides mentioned in the book is an ancient Greek historian.He was analyzing the 30 -year -old Berlonnenian war between the two strong Greece and Spartan, and pointed out that the hard -working Spartan actually defeated the prosperous Civilization Athens, the emerging city -states defeated the ancient city -state.
This responds to what the ancient Chinese said: there is no two days, and there is no two king.It can be seen that the ancient and modern Chinese and foreign countries are full of examples of hegemony. This is the trap of Jushi, who emphasized that the two strong outbreaks of the two strong outbreaks.
Yin Jian is not far away. Today, China, known as the glorious and rising rise of China in the past, is not only planned to become a world factory in 2025, but also wants to use the Belt and Road to challenge the status of the United States global hegemon.It is suspected that warships and fighter clusters are gathered in the United States in the Asia -Pacific region.
When Aireson proposed the danger of Sino -U.S.The ability and ambition of hegemony.However, the situation quickly changed.After Trump was the president of the United States, the US -China trade war broke out, and even expanded to technological warfare, financial war, information warfare, and ideological warfare, causing unprecedented stress relations between the two countries.
In the meantime, the Communist Party of China set up a re -education camp in Xinjiang and was accused of millions of Uighurs in prisoners. The news spread out of the world.Later, Hong Kong was sent to China demonstration, the Hong Kong police violently dispeld the people, and the recent release and implementation of the Hong Kong National Security Law (the arrest and parole of Li Zhiying and others) particularly shocked the world.
In the past six months, the diffusion of coronary viruses has caused heavy American epidemics, and other countries in the world have also suffered a serious disaster.As a result, the American officials and civilian anti -Chinese flames soared, and China and the United States changed from competitors to fighting enemies.For a while, Xiu Xide's trap said that it was very arrogant, and there was a lot of China and the United States from the cold war to a risk of fire.
However, instead of the current tension and serious conflict between China and the United States, it is likely to be a trap that has been trapped in Xiuxiandide. It is better to put this word more appropriately in recent months.In mid -June of this year, above the Ladaku Valley in the Ladaku area in the southern foot of the Himalayas, the Sino -Indian border guard patrol team was on their own actual control line. Due to a severe quarrel on the removal of the whistle station, the Indian army was ambusted at night.Although the two sides did not use guns, they pushed and started fighting.As a result, 43 officers and soldiers in China died, and India also died 20 people.
After the incident, the foreign minister of the two countries was mediation in Russia, and the phone on the phone showed that they did not intend to expand the dispute, so that they would not be able to meet each other.However, when the death officers and soldiers were buried in India, they triggered the masses to protest demonstrations, destroyed Chinese Indian -selling daily necessities, and added a chapter to the historical resentment between the two sides.
The China -India border conflict has a long history. Before this conflict, four times (1962, 1967, 1975, and 1987).There are at least a few backgrounds of the conflict: First, the strongest two countries in Asia in the past were Japan and China, but since the 1990s, Japan's economy has declined, and the status of the world economy has fallen thousands of feet.Taiwan, Hong Kong, overseas funds and theft of scientific and technological information of European and American, and China, which has developed rapidly, is not the same as it.
Conversely, India, which has risen in industrial, economic and military forces in the past ten years, has become the most powerful hegemony in the Indian Ocean and South Asian national strength.Under the surging wave of modernization and science and technology, the battle of Asian hegemony is even more unavoidable in the future.
Second, the CCP uses the Belt and Road Initiative to build a brilliant port in Myanmar, build Hanshta Port in Sri Lanka, and establish the port of Gwadar in Pakistan to form a triangular copy.Yangwei Indian Ocean.The CCP has developed railways and highways on the Tibet Plateau, builds civil and military airports, enhances the military and military facilities in Tibet and its surroundings, and seriously threatens India's security.
What's more, the water source of the Holy River in India and nearby water channels comes from the Yarlung Zangbo River flowing along the southern foot of the Himalayas.China is under its jurisdiction in its territory, and even 500 dams in buildings in Nepal, trying to control water sources and block the livelihood of downstream Indians, which is the reason why Indians are extremely dissatisfied.Even India's deadly enemy Pakistan and Nepal, who have always guarded the neutral, also enhanced their troops on the Kashmir and Indian border under the support and instability of Beijing, or invaded the 300 -square -kilometer of land on the map, causing the Indian border security threat.Sino -Indian relations are tight and not difficult to understand.
Third, due to the spread of coronary viruses, India's live property losses are serious.As of mid -August, the number of Indian infections has reached 2.53 million (fourth in the world) and more than 49,000 deaths (third).The Indian Law Society is the world's first civil society to claim from China.It can be seen that the Indians were the first to outbreak in China and then spread to neighboring countries. Finally, they were strongly dissatisfied with the global dissatisfaction.Some people believe that the conflict between the Sino -Indian border is suspected of being drumming and drumming, but ignores the plot of strategic confrontation between the border between China and India for 50 or 60 years.
Besides, the Berlonnenia war analyzed by Xiu Catabader happened between the borders.In the past half a century, the Cold War of the United States and the Soviet Union could not be transformed into a hot war. At most, it was only the outbreak of the agent war (the Korean War, the Vietnam War, and the Afghan war).The new cold war relationship between China and the United States today.Therefore, the dispute over the dragon elephant with 1.3 billion people with a population of 1.4 billion and 1.3 billion people may be more in line with the warning of the Xunxidd trap.
The author is a lifelong lecture professor at Taiwan Jiaotong University
