Author: Shao Zonghai
Source: Zhongshi Electronics News
The military confrontation between the two sides of the strait began to heat up, and the Taiwan National Defense Minister Yan Defa once said in the Legislative Yuan that the Taiwan army would never launch the first blow.Therefore, the military has ordered that if the pilot does not receive an order from the Air Force's combat headquarters, the first shot cannot be fired without permission.
Surprisingly, Hu Xijin, the editor -in -chief of the Global Times of the Eagle School, who has always been marked by the Eagle School, also posted on Weibo on Weibo on August 13 that not only the Taiwan army should strictly observe the order, the PLA, the U.S. Army, and the Taiwan Army in the Taiwan Strait areas all allThe principle of the first shot should not be adhered to.
This is between the two sides of the strait. Since the crisis of the possibility of rubbing the gun and getting angry, the Taiwanese military has gone away from the provocative style and made a self -restraint.It is said that the Liberation Army should abide by the conversation of the first shot principle.
Hu Xijin is just an official media supervisor. Generally speaking, his style should be more like officials who execute policies, not members of the official policy. Such an important declaration should basically come from a higher level of leadersThere are only counting in people's mouth.However, the author still believes that Hu Xijin's statement still has a certain amount of weight. Because of the criticism of Hu Xijin's past criticism of the United States and Taiwan, he may have already surpassed his position.Without a conversation of the first shot, it also involved the power of the Central Military Commission. If he was not authorized by the central decision -making, the content of these speeches should not be able to be released.
However, at the time of affirmation, we must also think honestly and not to turn on the first shot without authorization. Can we really ensure that the two sides of the strait will respect mutual promises and maintain stability of the Taiwan Strait peacefully?The author first gives a few examples of peaceful maintenance with the cross -strait commitments in history. Let's talk about such a self -restrained peaceful theory. Does it really have any effect?
The first example is the so -called mid -line or central line of the Taiwan Strait. The midline of this bar is unilaterally drawn by the United States in 1951. Then the two sides of the Taiwan Strait use this as the Chu River and Han realm.However, routes from Taiwan to Kinmen, Matsu and other islands are exceptions.
Gu Chonglian, the retired general who once served as a legislative member, said in the question that the central line of the Strait was the attachment of the Planning Plan of the United States for the United States in Taiwan in 1951. It means that Taiwan should not be provoked by the mainland.But the last tacit understanding was also abolished with the termination of the China -US joint defense treaty in 1979.Chen Weikuan, a researcher at the Chinese Society of Strategy in Taiwan, pointed out that the central line of the Strait is just a false world line, and the focus is that there are no legal documents that determine its address.However, the military planes and ships on both sides of the strait should not exceed the tacit understanding of the middle line of the strait since then. After the interruption of China and the United States in 1978, it still maintained for many years. However, after the DPP took office in 2016, the Chinese Communist Party fighter aircraft surpassed the midline many times.EssenceThis indicates that there is no legal document that determines its address. It is difficult to maintain it by tacit understanding.
Another example is that in 1979, the National People ’s Book of Taiwan’ s compatriots specifically mentioned that the Chinese government has ordered the People's Liberation Army to stop the shells of islands such as Kinmen from today.Therefore, Beijing believes that the discussion with the Taiwan authorities end this military confrontation state.
On the other hand, in Taiwan, Lee Teng -hui announced on April 30, 1991 that the mobilization period will end at 00:00 on May 1 of the same year.This announcement is no longer regarded as a rebel group on the other side. Since the beginning, the two sides have begun to carefully consider whether to sign an agreement to terminate the hostile state.Although it has not been developed so far, the Golden Gate artillery war is no longer.
Therefore, the author feels that Hu Xijin's other conversation is worthy of deep test. He said: The three parties of China, the United States and Taiwan should adhere to the principle of the first shot, and to inform each other through the official channel.The importance.As for Hu Xijin's special mention that the principle of not opening the first shot is not applicable to the red line of the DPP authorities that hardly split the national law, or the Taiwan Strait has other fundamental incidents of split countries.You cannot touch the bottom line of Taiwan independence.
