Hunsheng paper description
When I arrived in China 30 years ago, the people were curious and enthusiastic about foreigners.This atmosphere is gone, and even this year, I even think I am unpopular.
When he visited several foreign executives who had worked in China for many years last week, one of them talked about the dilemma of his encounter since the epidemic occurred.For example, he was asked separately because of foreigners when traveling. Before visiting local officials, he was even required to do nucleic acid testing. Even if he stayed in China in the past six months, he also held a green health code.
But than for personal encounter, this executive is even more worried that the internal cycle of frequent news in recent times indicates that China will further decompose with the world.Foreign companies that have cultivated in China for many years, and foreign entrepreneurs who intend to develop the Chinese market may be affected.As China has not restricted loosening for foreigners' entry, coupled with the increasingly tense relations between China and Europe and the United States, some foreign operators simply gave up their business in China.
He lamented: China still has huge development potential, but if the market is no longer connected with the outside world, is it forced to be isolated from the world in China?
This is also one of the main concerns of the outside world since the concept of internal circulation is proposed.There are even some opinions that if the Chinese economy turns inward, it is a retreat of the country in disguise.
The full name of the internal cycle is a large domestic cycle. The more complete expression is a new development pattern of mutual promotion of domestic large cycles and the mutual promotion of domestic and international dual cycles.When this concept was proposed for the first time in May this year, it did not cause much discussion when it was proposed for the first time.However, Chinese President Xi Jinping has reiterated this concept twice on different occasions. When the Standing Committee of the Politburo Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China on July 30 proposes internal circulation, public opinion has interpreted it as China's economic policy in the second half of the year and even the next five five five five years.The new main line of the annual plan.
The advent of the internal cycle is inseparable from the current international political and economic situation.Sino -US relations have turned sharply, and Chinese companies such as Huawei and byte beating have repeatedly encountered walls overseas; the crackdown on global trade in the crown disease has also made China's export industry face unprecedented pressure;The consequences of the US dollar are constantly depreciating.According to Cheng Shi, the chief economist of ICBC International, strengthening the internal cycle can help China to resist the external impact under the global chaos and achieve benefiting from being abroad without being restrained.
In fact, China's new economic industries such as travel, express delivery and e -commerce have formed a relatively mature internal circulation growth model. In the country, there are both a complete supply chain and huge consumer groups., Effectively drive economic growth.Chinese -funded enterprises have obvious advantages in these fields. Most foreign competitors are difficult to become climate, and they have even been squeezed out of the market early.
However, most areas obviously do not have the conditions to build internal circulation, and they are still subject to both ends on the supply and demand chain.Taking the high -end industry chain such as technology as an example, on the one hand, raw materials and key technologies are controlled by people. On the other side, the domestic market is not capable of digesting these products, and it still needs to rely on exports to open sales.Over the years, residents who have relying on export -oriented economy have high savings, low consumption, and uneven income distribution, which has also caused domestic consumption to have limited economic streaming effects, and it is difficult to connect domestic demand cycles.
This is why the Chinese government continues to support foreign trade and attracting foreign capital while proposing a turning circulation.In addition to comprehensively opening up the financial market and building hardware projects such as Hainan Free Trade Port, the Ministry of Commerce of China also revealed last month that it is prompting the formulation of new measures to stabilize foreign trade and foreign capital to maintain densely labor -intensive foreign trade enterprises and small and medium -sized and micro companies to promote the Chinese economyAccelerate heating.
Some analysts pointed out that China's current situation is similar to the United States in the early 20th century.After experiencing the Great Depression, the United States has cultivated a huge middle -class consumer group and a stable local industrial chain by reducing the gap between the rich and the poor and promoting the commercialization of science and technology.Lile the firm chassis of the world's largest economy.
According to this idea, China will also work at the same time from both ends of supply and demand to build a closed -loop economy chain from independent research and development to independent production in China.The blockade of the United States in terms of technology and finance has more forced China to accelerate the pace of self -reliance and reduce dependence on the outside world.
Some foreign companies in China have reported that foreign employees employed by Chinese -funded enterprises are more likely to apply for visas to enter China. From the perspective of the industry, laws and information are considered unnecessary industries, which is more difficult to apply for visas.Some enterprise representatives are worried that with the turn of China to the interior, the living space of foreign companies in specific industries will become smaller and smaller in China, and it will eventually be completely replaced by Chinese companies.
In the short term, China cannot take the initiative to abandon external cycles, and it will still drive economic development through open cooperation.However, with the increasing expansion of China and the United States in the fields of capital and technology, some industries are inevitable in the middle and long -term decoupling.The internal cycle is equivalent to the retreat to lock the country. It is undoubtedly an excessive judgment, but in the future, China opens to the world a door or a narrow seam, which is still unknown.
