The Sino -US game seems to be just a dispute between interests and ideology between the two countries, but in fact it reflects a more civilized conflict of background.

Recently, Sino -US relations have turned sharply.First, the trade war was upgraded step by step, then the rumor war in the crown disease, and then the special treatment of Hong Kong with the passing of the Hong Kong version of the National Security Law, and recently closed the opponent's consulate.

Not long ago, the U.S. government, the head of the U.S. government, the Guoan adviser Obrain, the joint director Chris Middot; Thunder, the Minister of Justice William Middot; Balt, and the Secretary of State Pompeo made a series of speeches on the threat of China.Pompeo summarizes the conflict between the Sino -US conflict as a conflict between the free world and the Communist China; Beijing has accused the US authorities of playing ideological cards to try to leave the CCP and the Chinese people.

From a larger perspective, this conflict between China and the United States is actually just a local manifestation of a greater civilized conflict.The scene of this huge civilized conflict is: the kind of modern western civilization that comes from the East and Islamism, and the modern western civilization with the concept of democracy and freedom is facing an unprecedented challenge.

Thirty years ago, with the collapse of the Berlin Wall, the Soviet -style authoritarianism that had swept most of the earth collapsed in Europe.This wave of waves, from the Baltic Sea to the east, is like bone cards, the disintegration of the Soviet Union, the Eastern European countries, and the former Soviet Union's joining republics independent and abandoned communism.

This wave has been advancing to the Far East, and the three countries of the Central, Vietnam, and DPRK suddenly became the residual Soviet -style political civilization islands.Although at this time, the power of this wave has become the end of the crossbow and no longer has the momentum of changing the dynasties, its impact on China and Vietnam has at least promoted the trend of reform of the Western learning from the West.

Besides the Arab world.Twenty years ago, the United States wielded into Afghanistan and Iraq and established a local regime according to American democracy.Ten years later, the Democratic wave, known as the Spring of Arabia, swept the Middle East.Britain and France sent troops to Libya, and the dictatorship of Western Asia and North Africa fell one after another. The Western world cheered, thinking that this was another victory of Western free democraticism.

But the good times are not long.

In Europe, in the Eastern European countries that embraced Western free democraticism, democracy retreated in some countries.Hungary, Serbia, and Monteneoro have become increasingly dictatorship in strong man in recent years and have been disqualified by human rights groups.

The most significant significance is that Russia, which has moved towards the democratic constitutional system, returned to dictatorship again.Russian President Putin has changed patterns since 2000 and has been in charge of national power.Not long ago, through the so -called constitutional referendum, it could be re -elected as the president until 2036, becoming the new Peter Emperor.

In West Asia and North Africa, the Spring of Arabia broke the secular autocraticism, which led to the flood of Islamic.The flowers of democracy are in the pan, or the civil strife is constantly, or the dictatorship is returned to the dictatorship like Egypt and Syria.

The Saint Sophia church in Turkey was changed to Catholic Church during the Crusades, changed to a Muslim Church in the Ottoman Empire, and went to Europe in the last century.This change is the most benchmark for the strength of the Western civilization and the strength of Islamic civilization, and reflects the current situation: the expansion of Islamic civilization.

In China, 40 years of reform and opening up is actually a process that opens and learn to the West and gradually west.Although this process has changed China's economic appearance, it has not decided its original political core.The growth of economic power nourishes the original political system and resurrees its blood, and finally leads to the reversal of the wind direction: the restrained and contracted route is replaced by the outside and aggressive route.

The passage of the Hong Kong National Security Law has the significance of the strength of strength and growth: that is, the marginal city between this Chinese and Western civilization, a city that once escaped into Europe, and a outposting base of Western civilization, is now on the BrexitEntry.

This series of incidents reflect a civilization reflection: the ancient civilization that was once defeated, after some kind of baptism and transformation, thanks to globalized blood transfusion nourishment, it is coming back to death, and it is trying to recapture it.Site.

From such a large background, the current conflict between the United States may have different thinking.

Trump's onto and Pompeo's declaration reflected the awakening of Westerners and saw the survival challenges facing Western civilization.

Some people want to copy the Cold War victory of the Western camp to the Soviet Union 30 years ago.But they ignored two points. One was the suicide state disintegration caused by Gorbachev's reform route that year. It was only a rare event. The other was that the entire Eastern World was very different from the economic power compared to the West.Today's situation is very different: first, the error of Gorbachev can not happen again; the other is that the comparison of economic power today is different from the past.

In the past 30 years, with globalization, wealth has continued to transfer from the west to the east. With the loss of enterprises, funds and tax bases, the West has lost blood.At that time, the United States, who was so rich in wealth, was also shy now. For a few small money, the international organization costs and military expenses in foreign countries, and compared with others.In the East, with the takeoff of the economy, a large number of new wealth emerges, and the national economic strength has increased greatly.The fading of economic power has led to the corresponding growth of political influence.

Recently, Pompeo acknowledged that it is difficult for the establishment of an international alliance for Beijing due to China's economic strength.He said that he was surprised and disappointed with so many countries that supported the Hong Kong version of Beijing.According to reports, although 27 countries in Europe and the United States oppose the National Security Law of the Hong Kong Edition, there are more than 70 countries that support the Beijing Hong Kong Edition National Security Law.

Although in the ultimate sense, the progress of political ethics is inevitable, and democratic freedom is also the goal of political and righteousness pursued by humans; however, this does not mean that history will be developed in a straight line.

Western civilization has come to the point where the survival challenges are facing the challenge of survival.The chaos and inefficiency of the western countries exposed in this crown disease epidemic, the national protest waves broke out due to the black incident recently, and the political correctness of political dictatorship, and in recent decades, in recent decades,Economic blood loss and hollow facing western countries reflect the serious problems existing in contemporary Western civilization.Before these problems are fundamentally solved, the Western world's ability to deal with challenges is limited.

Although, using the strength advantages that the West still has, adopting the strategies of differentiation between separation and vertical and crossing, and using a strategy error of a country's urgent work, you can make a targeted blocking and suppression of a country or regime.Individual countries or regimes may be frustrated as a result; but this strategic game may not be enough to change the situation of the whole situation.

The author is Chinese aesthetic scholar