Taiwan Economic Daily Society
The United States not only broke the epidemic, but also continued to spread on racial conflicts, which led to a miserable green performance. Almost all indicators were negative. According to historical experience, the situation in the face of this situation 100 days before the election was extremely detrimental to the current President Trump.Mastering the Democratic Candidates Biden's U.S. Economic and Trade Policy Change, it is no longer a previous deployment but a compulsory course.
Trump and Biden were originally stuck, but the support of Biden recently increased steadily, and Trump continued to decline.Even the surveys made by Trump's Foss TV all the way show that the gap between Biden's leading lead has expanded to 9 percentage points, and several key swing states such as Florida, Michigan, etc. BidenBoth have exceeded the deviation of the investigation.Three months of elections on November 3, the Trump team will make every effort to turn the tide.Although the epidemic and police are actually the power of the state government, they must not blame Trump, but the problem of economic collapse will still make Trump's reversal.So Biden, who was played by Trump as Sleepy Joe, was likely to lie down and win.
Under Trump's completely escape traditional style, people who have decades of legislation and administrative experience such as Biden are easily classified as the institutionalists.However, in the field of economic and trade and foreign policy, Biden's past characteristics seem to be similar to Trump, that is, there is no obvious ideological or value -dominated, but a pragmaticist who enhances the interests of the United States.In 2021, the United States and the world have changed dramatically. After Biden takes over, how will it be adjusted according to its pragmatic worldview, which will directly affect Taiwan and the world.
The most concerned issues from all walks of life are naturally US -China relations.Biden was classified as an engagement of China Policy. He had repeatedly contacted Xi Jinping with the then Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping during his tenure.Mistake decision.But at the same time, in addition to condemning China's restrictions on human rights in Xinjiang and Hong Kong, Biden also highly regulated that China stole American technology and intelligence power, and tried to change the direction of global industries and economic development with the national team.More eagle policies.
Comprehensive observation, even if Biden was elected, I am afraid that he would not press the reset button to let US -China relations return to the past.No matter how hate the trade war Biden, after all, the first phase of the agreement has been fully implemented, and the global supply chain has begun to move (more accelerated after the new crown pneumonia).The chance of returning to zero is not high.As for the US -China technology confrontation, it has been brewing as early as the second term of the Obama/Bayeng government.At that time, the White House science and technology consultant had reminded to pay attention to the issues of 2025 subsidies and overseas mergers and acquisitions in Made in China, and called on the United States to raise investment in science and technology and talents.These directions Trump have already started, and Congress also has cross -party consensus, let alone show signs of reversal after Biden's administration.
The more obvious changes may be that the United States will gradually return to the region or even multilateral architecture from only taking care of its unilateralism.Biden has repeatedly emphasized that the United States wants to play a good role in world leaders, and the same value allies with the same value are threatened to fight against totalitarian countries.In the Obama era, Trump took off the Cross Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP), which was immediately withdrawn from Pacific. Biden said that returning is not the point, but to connect the TPP members with other FTAs in the United States, becoming a U.S. -led and forced to force itChina's new trade rules system.However, on issues such as climate change and nuclear weapons may also return to cooperation with China.
However, Trump has also led to internal division of the United States for four years. Education, health insurance and infrastructure important issues are heavy. In addition, the epidemic has created the US economy. Therefore, Biden is likely to take the lead in rectifying the domestic and rebuilding economy as the first priority.The international economic and trade order may not be able to see changes quickly.
During Trump's tenure, Taiwan -US relations came to a record high. Unfortunately, the government could not grasp the opportunity to successfully start the Taiwan -US FTA or participate in any regional integration mechanism.If Biden Guozuo really re -governs the Democratic Party, the establishment faction, and pragmaticism, the United States and China are against the overall situation but the tension may be reduced. What does it mean to the supply chain structure in the change?Taiwan -US relations cool down but the US -China technology fights continuously. How can Taiwan be on it?How to adjust the entry point of Taiwan and the United States FTA even joining the CPTPP?Both the government and enterprises need to start deployment.
