Mao Yuelin: Who can clean up the mess of Trumps Zhengchuang?

Author: Mao Yuelin

In late July, China and the United States closed the consulate in interdependence, destined to leave a sum in the history of Sino -US relations.

On July 21, the United States suddenly asked China to close the Consulate General in Houston within 72 hours.Three days later, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs informed the U.S. Embassy in China on the morning of the 24th. China decided to withdraw the establishment and operation of the US Consulate General in Chengdu and put forward specific requirements for the consul of the Consulate General to stop all businesses and activities.

Because this storm occurred in the sprint stage of the US election in 2020, it had severe speculative colors from the beginning.It may be reflected behind it may be the mess left by the Trump administration.

Looking at the rhetoric of American officials since July 22, the outside world can see quite confusion and uncertainty.US State Department officials said that the Chinese Consulate General in Houston is the center of Beijing's incitement activities in the United States; a U.S. State Department spokesman said that closing the consulate is to prevent China from infringing on American intellectual property rights;Dissatisfaction with the new crowns in China has not seen China announced the confirmed cases and death numbers.

This kind of political explanation is not only rare perfunctory, but also a sign that the Trump administration's rotten stalls need to be resolved. It is reminding the outside world: not only the outside world does not know why Trump sacrifice this very means, TrumpEveryone in the Pu government is unclear.

When this problem that was almost in Augean Stables was finally exposed the eve of the election, it was worthy of the poor system and harsh style that Trump accused Trump in the four years.It is better to analyze who can immediately help the United States to clean up the old mountains and rivers.

Looking around the current political environment of Washington, there are only two choices that can be obtained from the outside world, that is, who can win the victor, who can win, who can win, will naturally take over the situation.It is just that each way will be different.

First of all, according to the folk situation of the US election, the confrontation between donkey elephants has different. For example, on the world's largest gambling website, Betfair, Biden's election odds have been reduced from 1.73 in June to 1.62, andTrump's odds rose from 2.25 to 2.86.This alternative indicator from gambling sticks is undoubtedly more than the actual shift of the election than polls.In this environment, the possibility of Biden wins, and the possibility of responsibility gradually exists and has become more prominent.

As far as improving relations are concerned, Biden is followed by chapters.Obama's first term is worth repeating.Data show that at the beginning of the first term of Obama, the former President Clinton's policy route had chosen to inherit the former President Clinton's policy route and fixed the tough route to China during the South China Sea collision incident during the ruling.

In addition, the new crisis in 2020 is similar to the 2008 global financial crisis.Like the economic crisis, the new crisis also severely damages the United States. The United States needs to maintain strong economic and stable growth in Asia, especially China, especially China to strengthen cooperation and expand economic and trade exchanges to alleviate a comprehensive recession with the United States.

Therefore, as long as Biden re -selected the Obama authorities to expand exports, increase employment, and strengthen the route with Chinese friendly cooperation.So even if the Bayeng regime was difficult to present the promotion of Obama's return to Asia's strategy in Asia in the early stage, as long as he could reproduce the honeymoon period of the friendship with China, then as the crisis was resolved, the messy stalls in the United States would also follow the followers of the United States.The possibility of improving the improvement of the environment.

But as far as the domestic political environment in the United States is concerned, Biden is not in hand.Not to mention the advantages of Biden mainly originated from the public opinion caused by the Trump authorities in June due to demonstration and epidemic, let alone his team is not unstable: the Biden team has not yet selected a reliable vice presidentCandidates, coupled with Bayeng himself, also have obvious symptoms such as Alzheimer's disease, which makes the Democratic camp may not have competitiveness in front of the Trump camp with vitality.

Washington's dignitaries cannot be aware of the status quo.The current position of the US president has become synonymous with trouble: it means that the winner needs to bear a series of responsibilities in recent years.

Earlier, under the U.S. priority governing concept, the American elites have used the status of the existing superpower in the United States more than once, and have adopted various unconventional means to change the rules of various game rules. Unfortunately, the four years of efforts have not promotedCapital return to the United States, let alone reshaping the political and economic pattern of the United States and international.Faced with serious downlink risks in the US economy, the national new crown epidemic broke out and upgraded the difficulty of increasing the recovery of the US economic recovery, and it was difficult for the government to continue to introduce a powerful stimulus plan.Trump himself to clean up the problems that had been left before.

In fact, Trump himself has a similar precedent, which is a series of actions that he personally improved with Beijing from 2017 after being elected in 2016 to 2017.During the presidential campaign, Trump used some overwhelming words for China. On the first day of his office, he threatened that China was listed as a exchange rate manipulator and imposed 45%tariffs on products imported from China.All of this is also regarded as its theoretical source of the China trade war.

However, Trump gradually changed the situation to China after April 2017. In September of that year, Trump announced its principled realist policy with priority in the United States.The interests of the United States are guided by results.The projection of this large foreign policy framework is a transaction and result -oriented method in terms of policy -oriented policy.This means that even though Trump is in the current situation, it is not difficult to turn it, but this is not impossible.

It is undeniable that the crackdown on the new crisis against the United States is not fatal after all, and the status of the city on the top of the United States can still be maintained.However, the current domestic politics and financial people in the United States have basically been consensus: if this trend will continue, the United States will not only lose its previous progress, but even see worse results in the future.This also seems to mean that whether Trump or Bayeng wins, they must clean up the American politics Ogias's bull circle as soon as possible, even if this may continue to waste four years.