Recently, China's diplomatic friction has become more and more violent.On the one hand, China and the United States closed the consulate in China and the United States, and US Secretary of State Pompeo even delivered a long speech on Thursday (23rd), saying that Washington will not trust China and the attitude of Distrust and Verifynervous.On the other side, Britain also had serious contradictions with China on issues such as Hong Kong and Huawei.When China and the United States were hot, Britain seemed to fall more to the United States, which was not surprising in itself.The question is to threaten to counter the Chinese side of the UK. What is the strategy of Britain as a whole?
British backward to the United States is realism
Recently, the British and China moved to the British issue in BNO, and the diplomatic and swords of diplomacy appeared. On the one hand, the British opened channels to move the Hong Kong people holding BNO to the UK, attracting Hong Kong people with ability to work in the UK. China is also known asIt will consider not recognizing BNO to counterattack travel documents.However, the friction of Hong Kong issues may be just the tip of the iceberg of Sino -British relations.Not long ago, the United Kingdom changed its previous plan, announcing the ban on Chinese communications, Huawei, to participate in the British 5G infrastructure, and to remove domestic equipment in China before 2027.The United States has always called on allies to stop Huawei as a threat, and Britain's move is regarded as a manifestation of the United States.Relations between the two countries have fallen into the Xinjiang Bureau, which seems to announce the end of the Golden and British golden age.
China and the United States are in the most intense wrestling war in this century. At this time, the British pro -American abandonment is not surprising.In the past, Britain and China were based on Britain that Britain believed that China was the future growth that would drive Britain's economic growth.When Sino -US relations are relatively stable, Britain can naturally maintain ally relations with the United States on the one hand, on the one hand, the so -called golden age with China.However, when Miramid's wrestling entered the fierceness, especially when the pressure from the United States was getting bigger and bigger, Britain wanted to have a problem with the wishful thinking on both sides.
If the United States increases pressure on Britain and forced Britain to choose a side station between China and the United States, then Britain can only choose the United States under realist.In addition to the so -called traditional allies of the United States and Britain, or the so -called camp of Western countries, it is more important to have inevitable interest relationships between Britain and the United States.Taking international trade as an example, the United States is Britain's largest trading partner, and China is just the fifth.According to the latest statistics released by the British government, the total amount of goods and service trade between Britain and the United States in 2018 was 197.5 billion pounds (accounted for 14.9%of the whole), while Britain and China had only 67.2 billion pounds (5.1%).Times.In addition, in terms of trade accounts, the British and American trade Britain has a 44.2 billion pound surplus, while Britain and China Trade Britain has a 22 billion pound deficit.The mutual investment and personnel between the two places are also much higher than Britain and China.This is a big gap with Germany in mainland Europe.Since 2016, China has become the largest trading partner in Germany, and its trade account has also improved.Therefore, it is also realistic to make different choices between Germany and Britain to the United States and China.
For the United Kingdom, China has the cause of future growth. The current question is that when the British -American relations can be balanced, Britain is of course willing to get close to China.However, this previous question was broken under the wrestling of China and the United States. If the United States threatened that Britain was moving in trade disputes now, the United Kingdom, which was under economic dilemma, had no power to fight.At this time, the future of China is a bit out of reach of the United Kingdom, or it cannot save near the fire.Liu Xiaoming, a Chinese embassy in the UK, recently said on the Internet that Britain chose to be decoupled with China, which is decoupled with opportunities, decoupled with growth, and decoupled with the future.On the other hand, the British officials have repeatedly hinted that Britain's decision to Huawei is the pressure from the United States. It seems that the signal has deliberately issued a signal to push the responsibility of China to the United States and want to leave a line between Britain and China.
The key to Chinese crackdown on Britain is in Europe
Undoubtedly, China's strategy to counter Britain is quite difficult.Because in terms of relations with Britain, the US holding chips is obviously more than China, and there is no chance of winning than China.If China is getting more urgent to Britain, it will only make it more fell to the United States.How can China be digging the relationship between Britain and the United States under the calmness of China?
This problem is not in a hurry. Just as China ’s rise is also impossible, it is necessary to slowly change the form format with strength.Diplomacy is the extension of national strength. Only a strong enough force has a strong enough diplomatic strategy.The key to China's future response to Britain and the United States is in Europe.The EU is the largest economic system outside China and the United States.Compared with the Cold War of the United States and the Soviet Union, there was a big gap in the international situation. The GDP of the United States and the Soviet Union accounted for more than half of the world in the 1970s, but today the United States and China are only about 40 %.It was not serious that year, that is, strategic thinking cannot only stay on the polar confrontation.
China's most likely strategy is to win Europe as a powerful partner.This does not mean that the China -Europe will form an ally or completely let go of contradictions, but through understanding cooperation, communication contradictions, and economic development, China Europe is the best strategy to counter the British and American system.The United States has a serious economic downturn in the United States, and the new crown epidemic is not stopped. It is constantly relying on banknote to save the market. Even the US financial elite warns that they cannot grow.In order to continue to adopt unilateralism in the United States, Britain's future development will be greatly limited.The deepening of trade between China and the European Europe has allowed Britain and the United States to surround the stove. When the data changes, British politicians have to re -consider their position in China.
