According to the Taiwan China Times, Taiwan President Tsai Ing -wen has won the re -election with Hong Kong today in Hong Kong. Tomorrow Taiwan, opposing one country, two systems, with an absolute advantage of 8.17 million votes. In less than half a year, the Hong Kong National Security Law was announced. Even western countries collectively condemned and sanctions.However, it is impossible to shake the factual fact that Hong Kong returns.In recent years, the International Crisis Organization has listed the Taiwan Strait as a major deteriorating area of politics and security in recent years. The Hong Kong National Security Law is one of the factors.The Taiwan Strait has risen, and Mainland China has once again become a collective shadow of Taiwan's martial arts.
The New York Times reported that the mainland has highly controlled Hong Kong, which is equivalent to announcing the future model of Taiwan. This is an objective and accurate observation.According to the analysis of American scholars, Tsai Ing -wen has a considerable correlation with the CCP's acceleration of the Hong Kong issue accelerated and warned Taiwan.The Hong Kong National Security Law clearly lists four crimes including collusion with foreign or overseas forces to endanger national security. Among them, foreign countries take the United States as the primary goal, and overseas forces are mainly targeted at Taiwan.
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The Taiwan Strait has not been included in the crisis observation list of the International Crisis Organization for a long time. In June, the military aircraft defense identification zone in Taiwan frequently appeared in the southwest corner of the Taiwan air defense identification zone. The US military aircraft flew around the south of Taiwan to enter the South China Sea on the south.Factors such as the Hong Kong National Security Law and other factors, the Taiwan Strait is listed as a major deteriorating area of the overall political and security situation, highlighting the situation of the Taiwan Strait situation, but the common cognition of the international community.
The Hong Kong National Security Law takes effect less than 1 week. There are still many blurred and gray areas in the 66 chapters of 66 chapters. The specific implementation results and the impact on Hong Kong are still unclear in the future.Without the ability to fight, well -known democrats and Hong Kong independent clearing lines have advocated that the organization of Hong Kong independence announced the dissolution.More importantly, whether the mainland will quote the Hong Kong model to deal with sensitive issues such as Taiwan and the South China Sea, which will have a profound impact on the competition of power in the Asia -Pacific region and the United States and China.
Hong Kong and Taiwan's sovereignty positions are not comparable. Taiwan has certain defense forces to maintain the safety and stability of the Taiwan Strait and Taiwan.The three major core interests were touched. The three -sided relationship between the United States and China, which was originally very fragile, was even more crumbling. The mainland broke the two systems to change the status quo.If through legislation, without a soldier, one soldier can suppress Hong Kong's internal opposition to voices and the pressure of the international community, Taiwan will also bear greater pressure and challenges.
The increase in military misjudgment in the United States, China and Taiwan
According to reports, more than 70 countries such as Russia and Cuba spoke in the 44th meeting of the UN Human Rights Council to support the National Security Law of Hong Kong, and emphasized that Hong Kong affairs were Chinese internal affairs. 27 countries such as the United Kingdom asked China to withdraw the Hong Kong National Security Law and say that the law was destroyedAfter the freedom of Hong Kong, the United States has withdrawn from the Human Rights Council in 2018 and has no right to speak. Therefore, internationally, the CCP is not at a disadvantage.
Regarding the Hong Kong National Security Law, the United States administration and Congress expressed a strong position. Secretary of State Pompeo said that the law destroyed Hong Kong's autonomy and reduced one country, two systems to one country and one system. China devoured Hong Kong.But so far, the actual measures of the United States are limited to suspending Hong Kong's export permit exemption and stopping the insignificant export of defense materials and military and civilians.The bill adopted by Congress is strict, and to what extent the administrative department will be observed.Hong Kong is the golden chicken of the United States. In 2018, the total bilateral trade in the goods and service industry was as high as US $ 67 billion. The United States enjoys a $ 31 billion in goods trade.Tariffs and anti -dumping duties, the mainland takes retaliation measures, and the losses that the United States has suffered far more than mainland China.
In addition, there are more than 10 bilateral agreements covering aviation, judicial mutual assistance, port safety, counter -terrorism, and tax information exchange in more than 10 bilateral agreements, which have made the Trump government taboo device.
Cross -strait relations are approaching the critical point, and the military actions of the three parties of the United States, China and Taiwan are constantly.The aircraft carrier battles have been drilled in the South China Sea on the 4th. The Western Pacific Wuyun is densely set. Even if there is no intention to launch the war, all parties continue to raise the military situation and form a military reserve competition. The accident and misjudgment will inevitably increase. Zhongshi Electronics News
The Hong Kong National Security Law enables Taiwan issues that originally belonged to long -term and chronic competition. They may change into explosive confrontations at any time. If the DPP government consumed the issue of Hong Kong issues cannot be alert to adjust the current cross -strait and foreign policies in a timely manner. Today, Hong Kong borrows mirrors for Taiwan.
