Source: United Daily

North Korea has recently cut off the military hotline of the two countries on the grounds that the South Korean government has released the north to launch the air balloon, and then bombed the two Korea contact office located in Kaicheng.At the same time, North Korea's talk will tear up the military agreement of Banmen Store, re -deploy military power on the border, restart military exercises in the West Sea, and then prepare to spread punishment for the leaflet to South Korea by humiliation.South Korea is not willing to show weakness, claiming that it will no longer tolerate the unreasonable provocation and requirements of North Korea.This playback has risen the situation of stable Korean Peninsula.

In fact, North Korea and South Korea have a long history of giving each other's air balloon. This is part of the political propaganda and psychological warfare of the two Koreans on the political propaganda and psychological warfare of the people.Today, on the grounds of the north of North Korea, on the grounds of the 20th anniversary of the two South Korea Declaration, the liaison office with a symbolic significance of the COSCO reconciliation can be observed from the level of internal economic and external political factors.

First of all, the United States imposed severe economic sanctions on North Korea in 2018. The following year, under the pressure of trade in the United States and China the following year, mainland China had to follow up and cooperate with sanctions to close many Chinese companies closely related to North Korea.In this way, it has been a significant impact on North Korea's renewal trade with China -DPRK joint venture as white gloves.At the end of last year, the United Nations completely banned North Korea from exporting labor, which caused North Korea to lose important sources of foreign exchange.In addition, in order to avoid the spread of the new crown pneumonia this year, North Korea has completely blocked the border between China and North Korea. The border trade that North Korea thinks of the life is even more worse, causing serious scarcity of supplies, and the bottom of the foreign exchange deposit is almost bottomed.

Since the Pingchang Winter Olympics, Kim Jong -un was willing to cooperate with Wen Zaiyin to perform the Wenjin talks three times, and signed a declaration of the Panmunjom Declaration symbolizing the Da Counseling with South Korea. It mainly hopes that Wen Zaiyin can play a bridge to promote the economic sanctions against North Korea.However, in more than two years, Wen Zaiyin has played the role of the US -DPRK's transfer not only nothing, but in the Banmen Store agreement, he promised his economic assistance to North Korea and did not fulfill it.North Korea has turned to South Korea's tough policy. One is punishing Wen Zaiyin's benefit of North Korea, and the other is to increase the external conflict to transfer the domestic dissatisfaction with the economic difficulties.As a result, Li Duxun, the chief Nuclear negotiation of South Korea, went to the United States to communicate urgently, hoping that the United States would relax sanctions.

Secondly, the Korean Peninsula has always been the forefront of the strategy of the great power. Once the tension occurs in North Korea, it will usually affect the political wrestling of the two major countries in the United States and China, and even affect the growth of the United States.Previously, Trump has always regarded the Sichuan Gold Association as his important diplomatic achievements, which is the goal that the US president could not achieve in the past.Today, North Korea chooses to create a North Korean conflict when the Trump polls lag behind Bynden, and also scares that terrible things will occur before the election, and the intention will affect the US election.Loose economic sanctions.However, Trump did not seem to be appreciated, but announced extended sanctions on North Korea for one year.

From the past experience, when the opposition to the United States and China rises, North Korea often plays the role of assisted in the Chinese gods, making itself a topic that cannot be ignored on the US -China negotiating table.On the 17th, US Secretary of State Pommo and the State member of the Communist Party of China Yang Jiechi held talks in Hawaii. On the eve of the two people's talks, North Korea deliberately ignited the 38 -degree line; although the United States and China still had disagreements on the issues of Hong Kong and Xinjiang, North Korea issued issuesUnexpectedly, it became a lubricant for both sides.Maintaining the stability and peace of the Korean Peninsula is the largest number of conventions on the United States and China, which has led the United States and China to continue to deteriorate in the Hawaiian talks in a very time -to -see constructive conclusion.

It is worth observing that in the confrontation of this wave of North Korea and South Korea, Kim Jong -un's sister Kim and Kim and Zheng gradually moved to the stage to play a tough role in the Korean eagle.In contrast, Kim Jong -un kept in these two waves of conflicts.The Korean media recently called Kim and Zheng as the Party Central Committee, showing that the situation of her successor has become; in the future, the brothers and sisters of Kim ’s brothers and sisters will become the new normal in the post -Kim Jong Un.According to the past, North Korea's successor usually highlights its own qualities with toughness; in this way, North Korea will also add conflicts and unpredictable North Korea's policies to South Korea.

It is foreseeable that before the United States and North Korea do not concession, before the end of the US election, North Korea will gradually increase the conflict of the region with the means of war.Of course, the tension of the Korean Peninsula usually affects the situation of the Taiwan Strait, but I don't know if the Cai government is prepared?