Author: Bao Chunliang
Many people say that the United States has launched a new cold war on China; for example, Professor Mills Heman, a professor at the University of Chicago, believes that the US national strength is still leading China for 30 years. Of course, it is necessary to block China. Of course, it is of course the Cold War.Many elites in the United States think like this, the Trump administration has undoubtedly launched public opinion, trade war, and scientific and technological war on China, and increased on issues such as Hong Kong, Taiwan, Xinjiang.The period is quite hostile.
The so -called Cold War is the siege of the Soviet Union in Western countries.Before the Second War, the communist Soviet Union had been excluded by the US and European imperialism.Although the Soviet Union was established in 1917, the United States did not establish diplomatic relations with it in 1933.During World War II, American public opinion touted Uncle Stalin, but before the war ended, the United States once again sought to prevent the Soviet Union.As far as the contradiction between consciousness and system is concerned, the so -called New Cold War is indeed similar to the old Cold War. The United States has only established diplomatic relations with the CCP for nearly 30 years.
However, there are still many contradictions between China and the United States and the Old Cold War.First of all, although the per capita domestic production of market prices is only one -sixth of the United States, and the overseas military projection capabilities of the United States and the United States are still alone in the world.Harvard Professor Elison has this theory with Hu Angang in China.Since China's industrial scale is almost twice the United States, the economic scale calculated based on purchasing power has exceeded 20 % of the United States, and the economic scale calculated at market price has also reached 70 % of the United States. This is not nonsense.
Secondly, although the total economic scale of the United States and its alliances far exceed China, countries have close economic and social exchanges with China, and even the economic and social interaction between the United States and China is still close.Blocking.The Five Eye Alliance is the first of the United States, but the European Union, Japan, and South Korea have not been assured of the United States, and the middle zone between the United States and China is still very large. This can be seen from the differences between various countries treating Huawei's attitude towards Huawei.
Third, although the vast sea area of East Asia makes the United States and China more likely to have military conflicts, the problem is that if the unfortunate conflict is unfortunate, it will not be the Cold War, but the fire war.The conflict is very different.In addition, Rand Corporation had reported that although the United States and China had great contradictions in East Asia, the cooperation was greater than the contradiction in other parts of the world, and the two armies were still quite exchanged.
In short, although the United States has adopted a lot of tactical actions, it seems to be very aggressive; from the perspective of strategic pattern, the United States is a contraction of isolation; Trump's immigration, industry, trade, and even Chinese policyIt has to be reviewed under this perspective.Many of the actions in the United States are more for self -protection, not expecting to subvert China.The so -called new cold war seems to be like the independence of the United States, and some policies even like the United States that launched a new cold war on itself.If the old Cold War was a tragedy, the New Cold War became a farce.
China Times Electronics News (the author is a researcher at the International Strategic Research Center of the National University of Political University)
