Peng Nian

Recently, the border between China and India has risen again, and the waves are higher than the waves.First, the frontline officers and soldiers of the Border Defense Forces between the two countries confronted the Ladaka area near the Lawan Valley. Later, a violent limb conflict occurred. It was said that dozens of casualties of officers and soldiers on both sides have been caused. Specific data needs to be officially announced in China and India.

This is the most serious border conflict since the outbreak of armed conflicts (allegedly India -ornates) at the outbreak of the Outra Mountain Exit in 1967 (allegedly more than 540 casualties).event.Because of this, the international community has paid great attention to the conflict, and concerns about the expansion of the conflict upgrade have also increased.

Since the specific geographical scope of the actual control line (hereinafter referred to as the actual control line) of the border (hereinafter referred to as the actual control line) is not clearly divided. In addition, the military forces of the two sides in the actual control line deploy the dog's dental dental crossing.It may cause border confrontation.However, most of the borders are small and shorter, and there are no casualties, so it has not attracted special attention from the outside world.However, the cave confrontation, which was more than two months in 2017, highlighted the seriousness of the China -India border confrontation.

With the confrontation of Donglang as the watershed, the confrontation between the China -India border not only did not be effectively controlled, but also intensified, and eventually evolved into a serious conflict of casualties.In just three years from 2017 to 2020, the confrontation between China and India has risen to boundary conflict.This shows the new situation of security situations in the Sino -Indian border area gradually out of control.In fact, every confrontation and conflict will accumulate hatred and revenge, and it is also the motivation to confront and conflict.From this perspective, the confrontation and conflicts of the Sino -Indian border areas will be normalized in the future.

From the analysis of the academic community, the Modi government's tough position on the issue of the border between China and India, infrastructure plans in the border areas, the policies of the actual control line, and the high nationalist emotions in India have led to this border conflict.Important reason.In addition, China ’s infrastructure construction in the border areas has accelerated, and its military deployment has been strengthened. The military mobilization capacity has been greatly improved, which has also exacerbated India’ s anxiety.

China's soil in territorial disputes does not make India be annoyed, and India is worried.In the repetitive contest of tough and tough, infrastructure, and military in military, the situation of the Sino -Indian border gradually slipped to the edge of the out of control.Prior to the issuance of strong political decision and strong and effective crisis management and control mechanism, confrontation and conflicts in the border regions of China and India may become the norm.

Conflicting normalization crisis downgrade mechanism

At present, China -India has established bilateral and multilateral communication mechanisms at all levels, including informal meetings of China -India leaders, high -level communication mechanisms such as China -India strategic dialogue and China -India's leaders at the SCO, and the leaders meeting in the BRICS Summit, as well asSpecial representatives of the China -India border issues to solve and control border issues such as meeting and coordinating working mechanisms such as Sino -Indian border affairs and coordination work mechanisms.However, these mechanisms are lagging behind the new development of the border situation, and it is difficult to effectively control the border crisis.

In fact, as early as the Donglang confrontation incident in 2017, the existing mechanism between China and India had already shown the shortcomings of lack of practical utility.The final resolution of the Tonland Lang confrontation relying on Wuhan's Xi Mo, not a border affairs consultation mechanism.

In the early days of the confrontation between China and India borders, China and India also tried to use the existing mechanism, including the meeting of senior generals of the two armies to calm the incident.However, it is contrary to the wishes. After a brief calm, the two sides released greater energy, and eventually caused a conflict between dozens of casualties on both sides.This once again confirms the existing mechanism of China and India, which is not enough to cope with the new reality of frequent confrontations and conflicts in the border areas.

For China -India, of course, in the short term, it is mainly based on properly handling conflict events, and strives to minimize the damage effect of the conflict, and restore the peace and stability of the boundary area as soon as possible.However, from the long term, it is fundamental to build a crisis downgrade mechanism in normalization of conflict.

In short, since the border confrontation and conflict prevention are more difficult, it should be focused on building a control mechanism to reduce the level of conflict and weaken conflict overflow effects, and firmly control the negative effect of the conflict to a certain limit, so as not to let the conflict in the short termThoroughly changing the strategic balance of the border areas, thereby reaching peace and stability in Sino -India relations and even South Asia and the Asia -Pacific region.

At the beginning of the confrontation between the Sino -Indian border, US President Trump tweeted that the United States was ready to be prepared to be able to mediate and decide the Sino -Indian border dispute.On the 16th of this month, a U.S. State Department spokesman publicly stated in a statement that Trump and Modi passed the confrontation on the Sino -Indian border on the 2nd of this month.

This clearly shows that the US and Indian executives have maintained close communication in the confrontation of the Sino -Indian border.Considering that Sino -US relations are in the dilemma of comprehensive confrontation, the United States and India are completely likely to jointly pressure China on border issues.Engel, the chairman of the US Secretary of State Pompeo and the Chairman of the House of Representatives, has shown this trend with severe accusations on China.This is also the latest development trend of the China -India border conflict.

In fact, for the new moves of the United States in the border between China and India, foreign policy magazines have recently published an article saying that China is pushing India to the United States.Indeed, there are also opinions in China that the border issues should not be intensified to avoid India falling to the United States.But India has also seized this strategic consideration of China, and repeatedly crowded in the border.The boundary conflict will undoubtedly accelerate India's paceing step closer to the United States, and the three sides of the Sino -US India and India also face major adjustments.

All in all, the outbreak of the China -India border conflict once again indicates that the border situation has undergone important changes, and confrontation and conflicts will show a normal development trend.China and India should fully recognize this new change, the severe challenges brought by the border situation, the relationship between China and India and the three sides of China -US and India, and build the normal state conflict with high political decisions and strict implementation methods to build a high degree of political decision and strict implementation methods.The downgrade mechanism of crisis is left to the border with the vibration effect of the border conflict without spilling it into the relations between China, India, and even China and the United States.

The author is an associate researcher at the South China Sea Research Institute

China and India should fully recognize the severe challenges brought by this new change to the border situation, China -India relations, and the three sides of the three sides of China -US and India.The crisis downgrade mechanism leaves the vibration effect of boundary conflict on the border without spilling it into the relationship between China, India, and even China and the United States.