Shao Zonghai: What about the two sides of the Taiwan Strait on the edge of the two Kor

Author: Shao Zonghai

At 2:49 pm on the 16th, the North Korean authorities suddenly bombed the South Korea and North Korea Liaison Office located in the Kaicheng Industrial Zone in North Korea.The largest political significance of this 4 -story building that opened only 19 months was to commemorate the South Korean -DPRK relations that started in 2018 to thaw again.After the Heping House held a talks and signed the Banmen Store Declaration, on September 14, the two parties officially established the North -South Common Liaison Office in the Kaicheng Industrial Zone.

What is the reason, to let North Korea be so moving to explode the liaison office?It is really difficult to understand the outside world. North Korea has escaped from North Korea who escaped from South Korea to surpass the 38 -degree line border to distribute some anti -outfield leaflets, but South Korea has not taken action to prevent it.

Until June 11, South Korean President Moon Jae -in began to alert, saying that it would hit the leaflets to send the leaflets, but it was too late.As early as June 5th, the spokesman for the United Front Department of the North Korean Labor Party had spoken saying that North Korea will close the South Korean Jelly Office in Kaicheng as the Anti -DPRK led by North Korea from South Korea.In less than 4 days, North Korea officially announced the cutting channels of all communication links with South Korea; then the official title was Jin and Zheng, who was only an alternate member of the Political Bureau of the Central Political Bureau of the North Korean Workers, and announced that it would be closed to close all the connection channels of military and politics between South Korea and politics in South Korea.And on June 13, it was declared that the Korean and North Korea had reached the moment of farewell and made a hint that might move martial arts.

In a series of revenge measures, it is more impressive that North Korea has to move against South Korea.The Ministry of Staff of the North Korean People's Army announced on the 16th that it would send troops to return to the frontline military buffer that has been lifted, and to send troops to enter the non -military district of the two Korean borders.Wait until the 17th that North Korea stated that it will restore a variety of military activities near the Kaicheng Industrial Zone and the two Korean border.

Seeing that the Korean and DPRK only sent the leaflets to the Vietnamese, it was possible to erupt the fire. It was assured that the current situation on both sides of the strait. After Taipei 520, there are some subtle measures that may cause Beijing to be the same as North Korea. It feels sensitive and sensitive and feels like North Korea.When you ca n’t restrain yourself, you will also provoke war in the Taiwan Strait?

Of course, whether the opposite shore will use martial arts in Taiwan, there are already legal texts in the anti -split national law without re -description.Even in the leadership population, such as Xi Jinping deliberately highlighted the 1992 consensus in the two sessions in 2015, saying: Once the foundation is not solid, it will move the mountain.At the time, when the 10th anniversary of the anti -division national law passed the 10th anniversary, Beijing still lost a non -peaceful way that did not use words in martial arts. The subsequent development made the outside world concerned.In the two sessions of this year, in the government work report, the word peace was not mentioned. Although it was supplemented afterwards, it can be seen that Beijing's policy against Taiwan.

In addition to such a explanation, is Beijing's practical sensitivity to some of Taipei's minor and last quarter?At least this possibility will not be ruled out.For example, in the inauguration speech in May this year, Tsai Ing -wen mentioned that he would negotiate the establishment of a constitutional amendment committee in the Legislative Yuan.Although there is a great gap between the constitutional amendment and the constitutional constitution, Beijing has made it clear that the DPP authorities have completely distrust.

Will this trend be contagious?In fact, the Taipei Presidential Palace has stated on June 16 that the development of the Guoan team is closely concerned about the latest development of the situation, and carefully evaluated various possible development and responding strategies.In fact, even if the anti -repair case in Hong Kong, Wu Zhaoxuan said in an interview with the US Fox News on May 27 that Beijing may move against Taiwan in the next step after promoting the formulation of the Hong Kong version of the National Security Law.Therefore, if you use an idiom to describe Taiwan's current mood: the wind and crane is not an exaggeration.

Of course, Xi Jinping also emphasized that the peaceful development of cross -strait peace is a correct path to maintain the peacefulness of cross -strait peace, promote common development, and benefit compatriots on both sides of the strait.This is indeed the tone of Beijing's Taiwan policy in recent years, but Xi Jinping also pointed out that peace needs to be maintained, which may show that this requires the mutual understanding of both sides of the strait.

(The author is Honorary Professor of Macau Institute of Technology)