01 Viewpoint

Since North Korea and South Korea signed a declaration of Banmen Store in April 2018, the relationship between the two countries has turned the wind and wind, and the outside world generally approves the gentle route of South Korean President Moon Jae -in.However, two years have passed, and North Korea's original return, such as relaxing international sanctions, has not been realized.At the same time, those who escaped the northern borders in recent months have spread anti -outfield leaflets, which not only aroused the strong rebound in Pyongyang, but even threatened to re -guard in the non -military zone (DMZ) army.This round of situation is not only caused by North Korea's anxiety about the stability of the regime, but also the dilemma that appears in the process of nuclearization as always.

In mid -April, Kim Jong -un's whereabouts in North Korea became a mystery, and suddenly disappeared from the public's sight. At first, many rumors pointed out that he had to undergo surgery due to health problems and was on the verge of illness.When the outside world had speculated how North Korea's political power changed, Kim Jong -un suddenly appeared in the completion ceremony of the phosphate fertilizer plant more than 20 days after Shen Yin, crushing the outside world's rumors of his health.Although Kim Jong -un's appearance represents Pyongyang's power vacuum and power fighting, the diplomatic situation seems to be a lot of affairs.

Military alert status

Kim Jong -un's sister and the first deputy minister of the North Korean Labor Party, Kim and Zheng Zheng Zheng criticized South Korea in poor handling of the dissemination of the anti -North Korean leaflets on Saturday (13th), saying that not only cut off the North Korea and South Korea hotlinesThe power of power to the military seems to be to break with neighboring countries.Kim and Zheng's remarks are not virtual. The North Korean military also stated on Tuesday (16th) that it is planning to re -garrison in the non -military zone between the two Koreas and emphasize that the army is in a high alert state.Any decision.

To understand why North Korea's response to the borders spreading anti -North Korean leaflets is so high -profile, they must also look at these anti -North Korean leaflets as the inherent contradictions of the two Korean relations, rather than random incidents that directly stir up North Korean nerves.Looking back at South Korea, after the two northern parties in the Free Korean Movement and Daquan, after spreading the anti -North Korean leaflet with a hot air balloon, the Wen Zaiyin government not only did not spark North Korea, but also contributed to its hostile attitude.The gentle routes control the two northern people to control the law of violation of the exchange and cooperation law, and revoke their legal person qualifications, and try to dry and restless the Fuping Jin's regime.Even in the face of the media, Kim Yougen, director of the Korean National Security Conference Affairs, said that the dissemination of the sequel by the north has no help to achieve the efforts of the peace and prosperity of the Korean Peninsula.But since South Korea has released goodwill and tried to ease the situation, why did Kim and Zheng still insist on pouring in the fire and gamble on the future of the Panmunjan declaration?

North Korea's fundamental demand

In addition to South Korea's promise to prevent the dissemination of anti -DPRK leaflets, more importantly, Pyongyang feels disappointed with the process of stagnation of the Panmunnian declaration.In 2018, the two Korea used the sports diplomacy of the Pingchang Winter Olympics to laid the trust foundation signed the declaration of the Banmen Store declaration. After that, the US President Trump and Kim Jong -un met at the Sentosa Hotel in Singapore.However, the Special Gold Club has reflected the fundamental contradictions between North Korea and the United States, and the crux of the nuclearization of the Peninsula: On the one hand, North Korea requires the international community to cancel some sanctions in exchange for permanent stop nuclear weapons and missile tests, as well as verified waste nuclear measures.On the other hand, the United States insists that North Korea must declare nuclear facilities, missiles, and nuclear warheads in order to relax sanctions.In other words, Kim and Zheng are frequent and confused in strategic countermeasures in recent days. It can be regarded as revenge on South Korea without pressure on the United States to relax the sanctions.And it is regarded as a bargaining chip that bargain in the future.

Although this edge negotiation is full of possibility of wiping guns, the fear of standing in North Korea is the only way to force the international community to listen to.Since Kim Jong Il's guidance has been guided by the first military politics, North Korea has always regarded nuclear weapons as a defensive weapon to ensure the survival of the Golden Regime. Therefore, this is the trajectory of the heating up this situation.When the official Korean TV station announced the first time in 2005, it announced that the country had nuclear weapons. In the same year, North Korea had issued negotiation conditions to the United States and asked to join the non -diffusion nuclear weapon treaty. However, under the premise of insisting on abandonment of nuclear, the negotiations eventually ruptured and forced North Korea to accelerate the development of nuclear weapons.EssenceIn other words, the Jin's regime has gone through three generations of leaders, and its foreign policy is only exchanged for international political autonomy with nuclear weapons and reducing the opportunity to overthrow the regime.As North Korea bombed the North Korea -Korea Liaison Office on Tuesday, the interaction between the two Korea and the international community reproduced the cycle of heating up.At this time, the leader must maintain reasonableness, take the other party's requirements carefully, and negotiate under the guarantee of not invading the treaty, and resolve the crisis of the peninsula again.