Yu Zeyuan: What results can Yang Jiechi and Pompeo talk about?

Early

Ji Yan Chunqiu

The United States CNN disclosed that US Secretary of State Pompeo will talk with the Political Bureau of the Politburo of the Communist Party of China and the director of the Central Foreign Affairs Working Committee of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China and the director of the Central Foreign Affairs Working Committee.Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian did not deny the relevant report the day before yesterday, saying that if there is further news, it will be released in time.

This means that both China and the United States are likely to negotiate with Yang Jiezheng and Pompeo's meeting, and Yang Peng is expected to be staged in the near future.

Many people will feel wondering: Sino -US relations have fallen into the bottom of the valley that have not been seen for many years. The friction between the two sides in politics, economy, trade, science and education, military, military, etc.The contradictions on the problems are also upgrading. Pompeo is the famous anti -China pioneer. Not long ago, he was criticized by Chinese official media. How could he suddenly hold talks with Yang Jieyi?What results can Yang Peng talk about?

This is the complexity and paradox of Sino -US relations.China and the United States have structural contradictions in terms of politics, economy, and ideology. The conflict between the two parties is only divided into size, and it is impossible to avoid.On the other hand, as the world's first and second largest economies, there are too many interests between the United States and China. Even if the two parties intentionally decompose, it is impossible to really do not communicate with each other.To put it bluntly, don't look at the troubles between the two sides, and finally have to sit down and talk.

For US President Trump, the election in November this year is the top priority, and striving for re -election is the best goal.However, since March this year, the U.S. epidemic has not been shown in control, and the economic downturn has led to more than 40 million people unemployed. In the past few weeks, it was killed by police from African Americans Freud, which caused a national protest.The support rate of polls has fallen sharply, so far there is no sign of rebound.The Trump administration must take a different way to add points to itself, and it is a good option to play the Chinese card from another angle.

Therefore, Yang Peng in this plan may be initiated by the United States.Through talks with senior Chinese officials, the Trump administration can achieve the following goals: when proposing to China to propose hot issues such as Hong Kong, epidemic prevention and control, and implementation of bilateral economic and trade agreements, while reducing the concerns of the US business community's concerns about the deterioration of Sino -US relations,To boost the confidence in the restoration of the United States, and establish a new image of the Trump administration not only dare to put pressure on China and be good at dealing with China.

For China, Sino -US relations have always been the top priority of foreign relations.As long as the United States is willing to conduct non -prerequisite negotiations, China is willing to respond positively.Once China and the United States sit down and negotiate, China's internal and external pressures will be alleviated, which will be more profitable to China's economic growth and social stability.

CNN reports that Pompeo will discuss extensive issues with Yang Jiechi in Hawaii.As for whether the two parties will discuss those issues, it is unknown whether it can reach a specific agreement.

To be sure, the United States will focus on the concerns of the Hong Kong National Security Law, urge China to keep restraint on the Hong Kong issue, and maintain transparency on the issue of epidemic prevention and control.Open flights and so on.China will emphasize that Hong Kong is an internal affairs of China, requiring the United States not to interfere with the formulation and implementation of the Hong Kong National Security Law, urge the United States to not send an error signal to Taiwan independence forces, and do not adopt discriminatory regulations on Chinese students.

Yang Peng may also involve problems such as the Korean Peninsula, the Sino -Indian border conflict, and Iran, but these problems will not be the focus of Yang Peng.

In recent days, some Sino -US relations have signs of some transfer: the Ministry of Transport of the United States announced on June 15 that four flights to China will be performed every week to return to and from the United States.The number of flights is the same; the U.S. Department of Commerce also announced that American companies and Huawei will cooperate to formulate 5G standards.

According to the Wall Street Journal of the United States on June 15, in April this year, the US -China bilateral trade volume increased to US $ 39.7 billion (about S $ 55.5 billion), an increase of nearly 43%from March, and surpassed the trade amount of the United States and Mexico and Canada again.EssenceIn recent months, China ’s procurement of crops such as corn, wheat and soybeans has increased, exceeding the level before the trade war.In the five weeks of June 4, China ’s procurement accounts for about two -thirds of the total US soybean sales.

These rugs may create the necessary atmosphere for Yang Peng.For Sino -US relations in a frozen state, one or two senior official talks cannot resolve many realistic contradictions.But even the talks that are greater than the content are stronger than the sword -pull confrontation.From this perspective, Yang Peng will still be worth looking forward to.