Ancient Chinese Yun: People use food as the sky.Last week, North Korea's seemingly irrelevant action once again proved this and became one of the hot spots of reports of international media.

Following the deputy chairman of the North Korean Labor Party on June 4th, Kim and Zheng threatened South Korea: at the hesitation to stop the North North who sent anti -North Korea to North Korea by legislative way, North Korea announced unilaterally on June 9 to cut off and break all in South Korea.The official communication connection includes a telephone hotline that allows leaders of both sides to talk directly.On the same day, the South Korean side could not connect to all the contact calls of North Korea. All this made the Wen Zaiyin government's two years of reconciliation policies over the North Korea.Not only that, North Korea ’s anti -Korean demonstrations have risen one after another since Monday, and even developed in Yanbian, Jilin, China, and deliberately publicized the work against South (South Korea) into the enemy.In fact, it is not a new thing that the propaganda war between North Korea and South Korea and attacking the opponent's country is not new, but why did North Korea make such a big action this time?

As long as we analyze the situation since the epidemic since this year, we will find that the fundamental reason for North Korea's action is that the lack of food and economic problems brought by the epidemic, and the emotional turbulence caused by the people, rather than some expert analysis analyzedWhat North Korea's strategy.

The more tight the economy of the North Korean economy, the more you need to talk about class struggle

North Korea's strong reflection of South Korea is the result of the global epidemic.Because of the epidemic, North Korea ’s foreign trade is almost interrupted, which has caused North Korea’ s economic dilemma and scarce, especially food, which is a strong sense of insecurity for a closed country that produces its own food and many products that cannot meet their own needs.I am afraid that outsiders are difficult to understand.And the more you can't get out, the stronger this kind of horror.Therefore, the old way of class struggle is going to pick up again.

After the start of China's epidemic this year, North Korea first blocked the border between China and the DPRK and the China -Russia at the beginning of the year, and stopped foreign trade, especially the largest trade with China. All this also made the North Korean border blocked by China and Russia.After a few months, North Korea first announced the restoration of foreign trade in April and aimed at China first. The first trade delegation to be sent is also very urgent to visit China.However, at that time, China did not really end the national epidemic, and North Korea's goals were not achieved, because fundamental speaking, in the epidemic environment, no one dared to go out to do business with North Korea.

After that, although the national epidemic was eased, the return of Chinese overseas Chinese in Russia has seriously affected the epidemic in Northeast China, especially the epidemic situation of Heilongjiang and Jilin affected Liaoning Province.The restaurant and other service facilities in Dandong have been restored, but there are no guests, which makes it difficult for North Korea to restore.According to the Chinese personnel from Pyongyang, the supply of soy sauce even began to be tense not long ago. Later, although the supply was slightly eased, the price rose greatly; especially, North Korea's grain supply began to have more and more serious problems.

According to a report from Korean civil society, the State Chairman of the State of Kim Jong -un mentioned an exception at the recently hosted Politburo Conference of the Labor Party, mentioned the issue of living security in the capital (Pyongyang) citizens.According to the internal investigation of the group, the economic situation in Pyongyang has gradually deteriorated since the Border of the North Korean DPRK.

According to relevant sources on June 10, the final food supply of some work units in Pyongyang was March, and it has stopped for about three months in June.In addition, when it was supplied in March, it was not rice, and the corn from the 12th month of the 12th month with the per capita monthly weight.

According to sources, the price of 1 kg of rice on January 1 was priced at 4,350 dollars, but the price on June 8 was 4,900 yuan.In mid -February after the border was blocked, the price of food soared to 5,630 dollars. Later, with the government's control and military food, the price fell some decline.

The source believes that this year has been put in military food twice this year.In the case of lack of grain, the troops cannot continue to put military grain from Pyongyang.

Anyway, for countries such as North Korea that cannot rely on self -produced food to meet the needs of residents and cannot leave foreign trade, it is difficult to get economically.

But for countries like North Korea, the more economically nervous, the more the class struggle, the year of it, the month, the month, and the day.The BBC reporter in Seoul, South Korea, Laura Bull; Bick analyzed last week that Kim Jong -un still failed to bring the economic development he had promised many times to the Korean people, and the rumors of the new type of pneumonia in some parts of North Korea were lingering.Kim Jong -un created an imaginary enemy abroad to help unite the domestic people.

Since the end of last year, the North Korean Labor Party ’s National Conference has been emphasized in the country and the entire party across the country, and the epidemic has turned all this into a bubble.So we see that since the epidemic this year, especially the exterior of Kim Jong -un's health, one of the characteristics of North Korean politics is that cadres have been adjusted frequently.Stability; at the same time, it also shows that both domestic cadres and residents have a unstable movement.This time, the northern parties in South Korea issued anti -North Korea's leaflets to North Korea, providing North Korea with a good time to use anti -South Korea to transfer domestic contradictions and apply domestic pressure.

North Korea is trying to obtain some economic income of some non -security bannings as much as possible

Another reason that North Korea took South Korea's surgery this time was that in the context of the current difficulty of the economy due to the epidemic, the economic income outside the scope of the security association ban is obtained as much as possible.The BBC reporter in Seoul, South Korea, Laura Bull; Laura Bicker held last week that North Korea's move was not only related to the SEP's leaflets of South Korean social movements, but North Korea tried to create a crisis to make South Korea make more concessions.

So, what is the concession that North Korea wants to give in South Korea?It is impossible to be related to the North Korean nuclear, because North Korea never believes that the North Korean nuclear needs to talk to South Korea, which is something between North Korea and the United States; it is impossible to stimulate the United States, let the United States make concessions on the Nuclear and North Korea sanctions and sanctions on North Korea.Because Trump is now long, but the presidential campaign is re -elected, it is impossible to make any concessions on North Korea on issues such as North Korea and sanctions on North Korea, not to mention that the domestic epidemic in the United States is becoming more and more serious.Therefore, the benefits of North Korea to get are of course only economic aspects, especially daily use products outside the Security Council sanctions and sanctions, especially food.

The UN sanction of North Korea has a detailed sanction list directory, including more than 300 products, involving various products such as industry, military, energy, and even seafood.Humanitarian aid, as for daily necessities such as soy sauce and hand paper, it is not a sanctioned category.However, due to the constraints of the Korea -American Alliance, South Korea has been restricted by the United States even in the supply of the above -mentioned products. This is also one of the important reasons for North Korea to be dissatisfied with the Wen Zaiyin government, which often hit South Korea.The North Korean government believes that in addition to using the status of the Korean and American Alliance to curb US military crackdown on North Korea, it is of little significance to deal with such a Korean government, and the US military strike against the North Korea is extreme.However, the lack of supply in North Korea is now serious. It is also a good income to obtain some products that can obtain some non -security sanctions units through pressure. Besides, by pressureing South Korea, the political purpose of strengthening stable control in China has achieved.

According to the author, if Wen Zaiyin ignores the consideration of the United States, it can provide North Korea with the unexpected parts of the United Nations sanctioning units that can do it, especially the food, daily necessities and medicines of people's livelihood.At the same time, if South Korea and the relevant United Nations agencies work together, it is more likely. For example, on the grounds of North Korea's lack of grain, it cooperates with institutions such as the United Nations Food Department and openly operate.The question is that Wen Zaiyin dares to adverse the will of the United States, and what kind of plans he holds in the North Korea's nucleus, these two points are the key to the problem.

(Note: The author is the Secretary -General of the International Public Opinion Research Center of the Chahar Society and Research on the Peninsula Peace Research CenterInquiry.This article only represents the author's personal point of view.Responsible for the mailbox [email protected])