Imagine that in November 5 months later, Trump's re -election failed and Cheng Yisuke. At that time, Trump was full of his mind, how could it be the individual and the family's own interests not affected?

Today, the people of the United States, and many countries and people all over the world, suffer pain, tearing, panic, anxiety, restlessness, and damage because of such a businessman who is about to protect their own interests 5 months later. The great American peopleCan you do what the people of the world to prevent the next five months, because someone seeks personal re -election and punch the election for the far -reaching damage of the United States and the world?

Trump may be used in despair when he is in despair.The author believes that the people and the people of the world should be alert to the far -reaching deepening of the United States and the world for the next five months of Trump, which will be out of office for the next five months.The American people and the people of the world should use the US Minister of Defense Esper to refuse to send the army to prevent the army from being united to prevent the world of the United States and the world on the planet.

First, various groups and agreements are torn, destroying the cornerstone of the peaceful and stable results of the United States and the world.

Recently, Trump's punch waved around, withdrew from the World Health Organization, exited the open sky treaty, exited the guidance agreement, not to mention the Paris and Iran nuclear agreement that had been withdrawn from the previously withdrawal, provoked the World Trade Organization of Trade War Paralysis World Trade Organization and so on.Waiting for behavior.The author wondered, is the previous government that was so stupid?At that time, the signing of such agreements to join various organizations was not for the far -reaching interests of the American people?The signing of a hard -to -build agreement will be conducive to the happiness of peace and world peace in the United States?As a businessman who has never had experience in politics, Trump suddenly became president. His strategic considerations are far better than the elite collective wisdom of the American government?Obviously not.And the simple rough approach to abandoning all this will be extremely far -reaching to the destruction and blows of peace and happiness of the people and the people of the world.It can be said that it is unprecedented to destroy the cornerstone of the peace and stability of the people in the United States and the world.

Second, in order to re -election, the domestic racial and populism of the United States sacrifice domestic unity in the United States.

In order to re -election and awaken the long -term racism and populism in American society, in the face of protests, Trump not only did not take any measures to ease the current situation, but continued to publish irritating remarks on social media to anger the people,Intensification of contradictions.Trump's words and deeds that were against the people who protested by the blacks, shot, and sent troops to suppress the words and deeds. I was thinking that at this time he must have forgotten that he was also the president of the American black. He must forget that he should unite all the United States, including blackspeople.Rather than the behavior of some people under his leadership, it is harmful to his interests, he can give up these people, and he can use the army to shoot with the most fierce dogs.This is obviously not a qualified presidential thinking.However, this is the election president created by the system disadvantages of the US election system.This president is currently weak to better deal with complex situations such as epidemic and riots.And when the situation began to deteriorate, he was unwilling to bear any responsibility.I think the people in the United States are not fools. They know right and wrong, and have their own judgment.When all the country is peaceful and peaceful, ordinary people can be the head of state. When there is a complex situation, President Fang Xian's power and wisdom are also the time to test the president's ability to control the country. At present, the complex situation in the United States, the United States’s in the United StatesHas President Trump been tested?

On June 4, German Chancellor Merkel said in an interview with the German media that murder of Freud was terrifying.Merkel pointed out that the United States is currently divided seriously, and she hopes that all parties will reach a consensus.The host immediately said, but Trump did not do so.Merkel replied that her dialogue with Trump could not say in public, and once again emphasized that the United States was severe.

3. Re -election of the supreme epidemic prevention and control, focusing on American society and economy

The eager to re -resume labor from the outbreak of the new crown virus is a difficult choice for American economic decision makers.The inaction and negative response of the early stages of outbreak of the epidemic have laid the root cause of the current US epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development.The current economy and society in the United States can still be described in one sentence: defense, unable to prevent; resistance, cannot resist.The US economy and society have been forced to be almost unsolvable by the new crown virus.

Trump has poor response in dealing with economic danger.Since the beginning of March, more than 40 million Americans have applied for unemployment insurance.According to data from the U.S. Congress Budget Office, even if all rescue funds are used to alleviate the impact of the epidemic, the US economic loss will reach US $ 7.9 trillion in the next 10 years, which is equivalent to the total domestic GDP (GDP) of the total 10 years in the past 10 years (GDP).3%of the amount.

According to the data of the financial information company IHSMarkit, the unemployment rates in Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Nevada are above 16%. The unemployment is expected to continue until at least in the first quarter of 2021.twenty one%.The unemployment of these swing states may bring severe challenges to Trump, who is pursuing re -election.Markzandi, chief economist of Credit Rating Moody, also believes that the US federal government should be responsible for such a high unemployment rate.He said: It was very late to admit the threat brought by the new crown virus, and then transferred most of the crisis management work to the state government and each politics, so that the response to work was slow.

In a report issued by the Small Enterprise Administration, the Governor of the Small Enterprise Administration found that the Trump administration ignored ethnic minorities, female companies and rural enterprises in the process of implementing the economic stimulus bill.Despite the second round of funding through the plan, small companies are still suffering.Some predictions estimated that if an enterprise is forced to withstand the economic impact of the outbreak alone, the number of closures of small enterprises may be close to 7.5 million.

The epidemic has caused a sharp decline in the US economic aggregate, which will greatly reduce the influence and sanctions of the United States.In the second quarter, in order to provide support for the economy under the epidemic, the United States borrowed $ 3 trillion in debt, which led to the rapid increase in national debt to $ 25 trillion, which helped the federal deficit to soar to the Federal deficit toHigh.Some economists have warned that such a high level of debt will only make the United States more and more difficult to get rid of economic recession.At the same time, with the debut of the new economic data, the impact of closing the closure of the new crown epidemic has become more obvious.In April, JPMorgan Chase released a terrorist prediction that claimed that the GDP in the United States (GDP) in the current quarter will shrink by 40 %.Other forecasts also include that the US economy may lose 47 million employment highs, causing the unemployment rate to climb to 25 %.It would be worse, Dalio pointed out that the Great Depression last year lasted for several years, and the current decline may last relatively short, but the recovery time may cost three, four or five years.

Fourth, failure to deal with the epidemic, rough control and pressure on domestic riots, the pride and glory of the United States are no longer

When the demonstrations of the police were dealt with, the police were rude, and the president's various people, the media, the political parties, and various individuals spoke and spoke, and staged a ugly performance comparable to classic blockbusters all over the world.The epidemic response, China does not work in the United States.It reflects the high and low governance capabilities of China and the United States.To deal with the epidemic, Trump's self -consciousness was negative, and he did not fully deal with it from beginning to end, which led to gradually get out of control in the US epidemic situation and pushed the responsibility.At present, the U.S. epidemic has confirmed a total of 1.92 million people, and a total of 110,000 people have died.It can be said that the prevention and control of this epidemic in the United States has been thoroughly controlled. Whether it is the number of diagnosis or the number of deaths, it will continue to increase.With the recent resumption of work and protests, the daily diagnosis data in the United States has significantly risen.Most of the other countries in the world are dismissed before the control of the epidemic, and Trump restarted to control the control and restarts.

The United States is trapped in the quagmire, the unable to recur, and the inaccessible epidemic. It does not rule out that the subsequent epidemic continues to be seriously caused by the serious economic crisis, financial crisis, people's livelihood crisis, political crisis, and severe riots.situation.

This American epidemic and riots, as well as a series of simple and rough response from the US government, will reflect everything, which will allow the United States to largely lose their former pride and glory in the world in the following eight aspects.

The first is the self -confidence of the national governance system MDASH; mdash; the failure of serious crisis response;

Second, respect for human rights mdash; MDASH; it makes people think it is superiority;

Third, the election president of one person and one vote Mdash; mdash; it will cause the end of the selection that cannot cope with the complex situation;

Fourth, the disadvantages of multi -party governance mdash; MDASH; political parties split the interests of the country and the people in the interests of political parties;

Fifth, the foundation of democratic losses of Mdash; mdash; difficult to have public opinion high ground;

Sixth, the pain of free flooding mdash; mdash; populist is scattered, the president cannot command the people and states;

Seventh, the modernization of the United States MDASH; MDash; the gap between the rich and the poor and the unequal social class, it is difficult to be envied;

Eighth is that the country's unity no longer mdash; mdash; racial conflict is fierce, and each state only takes care of themselves.

5. Study in China and the United States to fight against China to attack China, challenge the hostility of the American people to China, and sacrifice the most important relationship between China and the United States in the world.

The U.S. Industry and Security Agency (BIS) announced a plan on May 15th to protect the national security of the United States by restricting Huawei's ability to design and manufacture its semiconductor abroad by Huawei.

On May 21, 2020, the American Senate passed the Chinese Company Oversight Bill (China Company's Supervision Act, China Stock Act).

Reuters reports that the restrictions on the 33 Chinese companies and institutions listed in May will be officially implemented on June 5.

To attack China to fight domestic election campaign, provoke greater misunderstandings and hatred for the American people to China

According to Politico on the United States on the 24th, the National Republican Senatorial Committee has sent a 57 -page memorandum to the campaign agency, suggesting that Republican candidates have actively attacked China to respond to the new crown epidemic crisis.The memorandum is written by a senior Republican strategist, which includes countermeasures from how to associate Democratic candidates with the Chinese government to how to deal with various issues such as racism.It emphasized the three main attack routes: one is that China covers the truth and leads to the spread of the virus; the other is that the Democratic attitude towards China is weak; the third is that Republicans will promote sanctions against China because of the spread of this epidemic.The new crown virus is a LSquo in China. Hit -and-Run rsquo; then covering the facts, causing thousands of people to die.This memo said.

The above -mentioned re -election of the aim of China, sacrificing the most important power relationship in the world, MDASH; MDash; Sino -US relations will definitely provoke the hostility of the American people to China and intensify the confrontation between China and the United States. This is not this.The content that humans should see on the planet are not what the American people are willing to see, but just Trump's interests.

6. Tear the global industrial chain, making many multinational companies, including major US companies, become cannon fodder worsening the relationship between major powers.

Trump's various demands of US companies to relocate, banning American products to Chinese companies will undoubtedly tear the global industrial chain and make many multinational companies in the United States a deterioration of the relationship between major powers.

The relocation of American companies with the industrial chain will accelerate that American companies are eliminated by the world market.For decades of global economy, the formation of today's world industrial chain division of labor is the inherent promotion of corporate fundamental profit.Politics is often not economically correct.The reason why it is chosen in China is because of the Chinese market and the cost of China, which can bring the best income scale and profit composition to enterprises.The reflux of market -oriented political reasons will inevitably cost high labor costs and leave the market. The ending will accelerate it to be eliminated by the world market.The relocation of American companies is the best way to reduce the influential influence of the United States.

Sanctioning Chinese companies will promote the segmentation of the global industrial chain.Sino -US economy and technology and technology will be decoupled.Economic globalization may be sharply regressed. Future globalization may be a world and two markets.

However, there is no second China in the world.

Without the Chinese market, US companies not only accelerate their deaths, but the influential sanctions and economic aggregate in the United States will also be accelerated as a result.

The relocation of American companies with the industrial chain will accelerate that American companies are eliminated by the world market.In a large country, the competitiveness of economic influence and technology is mainly driven and supported by large pillar companies. If Boeing, Apple, Qualcomm, and Intel are large -scale companies such as U.S. and Intel, it will greatly accelerate the decline in the United States.The world's largest market will be the Chinese market. Those who have won the Chinese market, the people who lose the Chinese market, are small or dead.If multinational companies follow Trump's footsteps, it will undoubtedly become a cannon fodder. This is also the recent article of the British Financial Times last week.

The Chairman of the Chinese EU Chamber of Commerce, Woodkeck, said at a press conference that the epidemic will challenge the future business model of EU companies, and companies may seek diversified investment in Asia to disperse risks.But we will not consider leaving the Chinese market.He said that the second China could not be found in the world.

At the same time, the United States' blockade in China in the field of high -end technology will help China ’s high -end industrial chain to the United States.According to a survey of the US -China Trade Commission, 94%of the sales of Huamei Enterprises are for the Chinese market.According to the statistics of the Chinese Ministry of Commerce, the US company's sales in China in China in China in 2018 exceeded US $ 70 billion and profit was about 50 billion US dollars.If American companies withdraw from China, these will basically lose.

Can we get higher sales and profits in the United States?GM established 10 joint ventures in China.In 2019, it sold in China of 3.09 million units, accounting for 7.74 million units in its global sales, surpassing its local US sales.The universal slogan is: where to sell and where to produce.Because its European subsidiary Obress has authorized to France PSG, there are only two major markets in the world: China and the United States.Boeing's global sales of 806 civil aircraft in 2018, of which 233 were sold in China, accounting for 28.9%.In 2019 (the company's fiscal year was the second quarter of 2019 to the first quarter of 2020), Apple sales reached US $ 267.683 billion, profit was US $ 57.326 billion, and profit margin was 21.4%.According to Goldman Sachs's 2018 research report, if Apple will move all production and assembly to the United States, its production cost will increase by 37%. Apple will no longer be the most profitable companies in the world.Losing the Chinese market, Apple will also fall into a crisis of survival.In 2018, the sales dependence on the Chinese market in the Chinese market is 80%in order: Skyworks Solutions, 63%in Gauchu, 52%Micron, Broadcom 50%, Intel 23%.If they evacuate, their global sales scale will be greatly reduced.

The decourse of the United States to China, its ending will only accelerate the decline in the United States.To do one thing, if a fundamental error occurs in the direction, its ending will be tragedy.Just like: in the face of unknown infection, if you choose to study and confirm the specific situation of the infection, start to deal with disposal, which is the directional selection error of the officer,

In October 2019, the World Bank issued a 2020 World Development Report: Global Value Chain, which promoted development with trade.The report shows that more than 50%of the current world trade involvesBall value chain.Among them, the three major regions of East Asia/Pacific, Europe/Central Asia and North America are focusing on each other and intertwined each other.However, the common point of the first two center of gravity is to participate in the global value chain in the area, followed by the area, followed by the two districts to participate in each other; the proportion of the regions participating in the global value chain in North America is lower, and the dependence on the first two areas isHigher.The other four regions, Middle East, Northern Africa, Latin America/Caribbean, South Asia, and Southara, Africa. The value chain in the area is not large, and the dependence on East/Pacific and Europe/Central Asia is quite high.

According to Chinese customs statistics, in the four months of 2020, Asia accounted for 51.6%of our global trade, 19.6%in Europe, and only 15.6%in North America.The United States has a small proportion of the global value chain and China's foreign trade.

7. People and people in the world can unite to prevent Trump from destroying the United States and the world

A tradition of American politics is that once the president is out of office, it is generally rarely directly criticized to criticize the current government and president.However, the four presidents, including Carter, Clinton, Bush and Obama, have publicly issued a statement publicly, criticizing the current racism of the United States, and actually shows that they oppose Trump's policyEssenceThis is also an unprecedented matter in American history.

US Secretary of Defense Esper also publicly refused to send the army to listen to Trump to suppress American riots.Now the Democratic Party has begun to fully support the protests. Even the security of the White House, the police station in Washington City is unwilling to be responsible. The mayor of Washington City has publicly expressed his opposition to Trump's policies and the support of protests.The domestic society in the United States has actually been torn, and the polarization is constantly differentiated. Some of them are still OK. Such contradictions have now begun to be unavailable, and they have erupted.Whether it is economic recession or outbreak of the epidemic, or the current racial hatred, it will cause a major blow to the United States.

According to the New York Times, former President George Middot; WMIDDOT; Bush (Bush) and Utah Republican Senator Mitdot; Romney will not support President Trump's re -election.The condemnation of Trump's actions has been separated from the US Constitution.Comprehensive US media reported on June 7 that several Republican leaders were arguing whether they supported him in the current president's re -election campaign. Some people considers supporting or voting to Democratic Presidential candidate Biden.Previously, former National Defense Minister Mattis also opposed Trump.

The US Broadcasting Corporation said on the 6th that there were still five months before the election, and some Republicans were worried that voters would be lost by Trump.Republican strategist Terry Middot; Shalvan analyzed: People are very disgusted with the current situation.Even the most supporters of Trump's most hardcores were exhausted.

The author believes that Trump, who is about to step down, may be overhead in the last few months. It is similar to lame ducks.He stepped down and said that all over the United States, the whole world, will wait for him to step down, and then discuss it from a long time.

Before Trump stepped down, he would punch him around in the past few months. What he wanted was to attract attention to preaching his influence on the world to the American people. The more concerned about him, the more he was mobilized by him.The people and the people of the world should be alert to the upcoming Trump's next five months to the far -reaching damage to the United States and the world for the various extreme behaviors made by the individual.The American people and the people of the world should use the US Minister of Defense Esper to refuse to send the army to prevent the army from being united to prevent the world of the United States and the world on the planet.

Author: Peng Shengyu

The author is a strategic researcher

The article only represents the author's point of view, does not represent the website position