The battle between the United States and China is the most noticeable world in the world today.This is a fighter battle in the United States. No one knows how she will end, and no one seems to interfere.From the perspective of the trade war, the two tigers fought each other, and the result was that they were defeated.Therefore, the small country like Singapore can only want both sides to restrain, so as not to deteriorate or wipe the gun away.However, such a wish seems to be quite slim.
Has the new book of former senior diplomat Ma Kaishuo won?(Has China Won?) At this time, it was very important.This book has in -depth analysis and insights on the geopolitical game between China and the United States, which is worthy of our reference.The interesting observation of Ma Kaishuo is: The behavior of the United States today is like the Soviet Union during the Cold War, and China is like the United States that year.
He believes that in the Cold War era, the United States always showed flexibility, flexibility and rationality in decision -making; the Soviet Union was stiff, rigid and dogmatic.However, the United States after the Cold War was replaced by the role of the Soviet Union that year.Since the 911 terrorist attacks in 2001, the United States has consumed nearly $ 5 trillion in military expenditures in the Middle East war.The U.S. Navy currently has 13 aircraft carrier battle groups, and each battle group has a daily expenditure of $ 6.5 million.Does the United States really need so many weapons?Do you really need to fight so many wars?Why does the US military expenditure budget increase every year?
Although the answer provided in the book is not a new discovery, it helps to evoke a key factor in people again to pay attention to in US politics, that is, the influence of military enterprises.The author pointed out that the US defense expenditure was not formulated after the full consideration. What weapon system to buy depends on the complicated lobbying process of the defense contractor (military fire dealer).These weapon suppliers are also very cunning. They scattered various military factories to various major states, which affects the politics of these states.Military factories not only provide employment opportunities, but also provide political donations required for politicians.
From this we can understand why military firemen can control US defense expenses.National defense expenses are actually rice bowls of arms dealers. They must ensure that national defense expenditure increases every year. The greater the expenditure, the more they are full of money.The arms business is hundreds of millions of yuan, which is a real big business.For example, on March 1st this year, Huang Yonghong, Minister of Defense, revealed that my country will buy four US F-35 joint attack fighters, and then choose to buy eight of the same type of fighters; Between US $ 15 million (about 1222 million and S $ 155.5 million).
In order to obtain a contract of various weapons, the arms dealers have established a systematic interest network to bundle their own business interests with the political interests of parliament members, governors, etc., so that they can live in a favorable position when they vote in Congress.American politics has actually become a game manipulated by rich people and various interest groups, because politicians must raise a lot of funds, and the wealthy and big consortiums have become Funders and formed a gold right class (Plutocracy).The interest relationship is rooted and the defense policy is stuck, and it is difficult to reverse.
For the survival and development of the huge military industry, the owner of the military industry must continue to expand the market.In the case of limited domestic demand, the only way out is to think about continuously developing overseas markets to stimulate demand.If the world is peaceful, it is impossible to stimulate demand, so the United States must have enemies, disputes and war.Therefore, the United States will not miss any excuses to send troops, even if they do not have to try to create.The method is to exaggerate various external threats, which is the so -called threat information.
For example, the 2018 National Security Strategy Report, which is listed as a great country of revision, is a good example.It is true that China is a strategic opponent.The so -called revisionist power means that China and Russia try to subvert the current international order and international system.This is actually preparing for increasing military expenses.At the end of last year, Trump also announced the establishment of the new army of The US Space Force, which belongs to the US Air Force and is the first time that the U.S. military has established a new army for more than 70 years.This should be what the arms dealer wants to see the most.
After Trump came to power in 2016, in addition to the usual poor soldiers, the unilateral domineering style was added to the international relations level.As soon as he came to power, he immediately withdrew from the Obama era.
In addition, the United States has retreated one after another, withdrawn a number of multilateral organizations in one breath, including UNESCO and Human Rights Council to resist the World Trade Organization.Recently, the topic of the crown disease shakes the Chinese and the World Health Organization, suspended donations to the organization, and then announced the withdrawal.Trump also forced allies, such as Canada, Japan, South Korea, NATO member states through tough means, re -negotiating bilateral trade agreements, raising the annual military protection fees paid to the United States, and so on.
Trump's overlord style is reminiscent of a famous figure in Chinese history, MDASH; mdash; Xichu Overlord Xiang Yu.The impression of Trump to the world is arrogant, unreasonable, and unreasonable.In short, self -thought that the world is the first, no one can be enemy, and you can arbitrarily do it with your personal preferences.He even claimed to be the most capable and most active president in the United States. Although he was an international laughingstock, he was still complacent.Compared to the Xiang Yu's life stories described in Historical Records, it is almost completely opposite to Trump.
Xiang Yu came out of the world at the age of 24 who followed his uncle Xiang Liang at the age of 31.In this just seven years of war, it was murderer and blood, and even blood was full of blood, and even Liu Bang was almost killed while going to Hongmen Banquet.In addition to the poor soldiers, Xiang Yu was also used by himself, and he could not use people. The talented person who had a talented man was either killed or running. In the end, the only Aya Fan Zeng, the sub -Father, who could give him a reason to deal with Liu Bang.Liu Bang's personality is just the opposite.
Xiang Yu is also a leading leader who has receded the contract.Originally, King Chu Huai and the generals including Xiang Yu, Liu Bang and other generals made an agreement. Whoever entered the Qin Dynasty's capital Xianyang, who could be called the king, the result was that Liu Bang first arrived; the later Xiang Yu destroyed the contract, a torch, a torch handle, a torch handle, a torch handle, a torch, a torch handle, a torch, a torch, a torch, a torch handle, a torch, a torch, a torch, a torch, a torch, a torch, and a torch.Xianyang's palace was burned into ashes, and then he established himself as the Western Chu Overlord.This unbelievable domineering style is quite similar to Trump.
In the end, Xiang Yu was defeated in his domineering and arrogant personality.In the final stage of Chu and Han, he has always been superstitious and tried to fight Liu Bang.But Liu Bang smiled and answered: Wu Ning is fighting wisdom and cannot fight.Xiang Yu finally defeated himself.In summary, his domineering made him betrayal, lost his heart, and lost the world.But he was dying and obsessed.
In today's world, the United States has been in poor soldiers for many years, and has lost the hearts of the world early. In addition, Trump has been in power for more than three years, and has further lost its credit internationally.status.Today's world is obviously no longer the world that can get the world. The key to victory or defeat is whether it can win the hearts of the world.If Trump is Xiang Yu today, who is Liu Bang?
(The author is a former journalist, a former member of the Congress)
