Author: Su Yonglin
How to understand the background and meaning of Beijing's formulation of the Hong Kong version of the National Security Law?How to understand the status of Hong Kong in the current international pattern?The Hong Kong film equator released in 2015 is an excellent observation angle.
In the film, Korean biochemical weapons flowed into Hong Kong unexpectedly. Zhang Jiahui, who played the Hong Kong police, once believed that the recovery of the weapon was transferred to the Korean side to complete the task, but Wang Xueyi, who played the senior management of Beijing Guoan, was resolutely not allowed.Zhang Jiahui believed in the preferred discussion of Hong Kong people, but ignored the university professor played by Jacky Cheung as a villain equator. He was regretful and was killed.At the end of the film, Wang Xueyu and Jacky Cheung had a positive trick between the ice and snow in the third country, and the story stopped abruptly.
The equator is a few films that have touched Hong Kong's theme of international political wrestling. The film's main team is the same as the classic police bandit film that is very close to reality.It can be said that the reality reflected by the equatorial plot is very helpful for today's understanding of Hong Kong's political turmoil and the National Security Law of the Hong Kong version of the Hong Kong version last year.
It must be acknowledged that the free rule of law, multiple openness, and professional governance formed by Hong Kong in the past 100 years has become a benchmark for global development. After 1997, Hong Kong's opposition has a certain amount of legal activity space, which also keeps Hong Kong politics dynamically balanced, which is conducive to Hong Kong.Promotion of democratization of political system.Excellent assets such as the value of the above system are attributed to the efforts of the Hong Kong people from generation to generation, but if they are global and historical perspective, this is just the compromise arrangements of both parties under the buffer area under the competition between China and the West.
Therefore, from the perspective of Taiwan, from the level of morality, emotions, history,, of course, the impact on the Hong Kong version of the National Security Law will be highly concerned and even worried.But in fact, we must calmly realize that after the Cold War of Hong Kong, it is just the intersection of the strategic interests of mainland China and Europe and the United States. We must be more soberly to see the international wrestling behind the situation behind the situation in Hong Kong and the unchanged game.
First of all, the core point of the Hong Kong version of the National Security Law is that Beijing's central national security department will legally perform power in Hong Kong. In comparison, other details, systems, or trials are not important.In fact, during the Hong Kong and British periods, the British love agencies set up the Political Department in Hong Kong, including the activities of various shares of the Communist Party of China in Hong Kong.However, considering the situation of the Cold War at the time, and the British was the earliest Western countries with Beijing, the British side subtly handle the balance of Hong Kong's factions from beginning to end.
After the revocation of the Political Department in 1997, it is rumored that it still maintains various contacts and influence on Hong Kong. Accordingly, due to the local legislation of the Basic Law in 2003, the mainland has never been able to get the British side withdrawal.Law authorization.In addition, the mainland has just entered the WTO and still seek to establish a cooperative relationship with the West. Therefore, in the 20 years after 1997, Hong Kong became the most political power layout and the most complicated affected cities in the world.
The reason why the mainland chose to take a shot at this time was of course stimulated by the anti -repair incident last year, but on the other hand, it is also an inevitable product of the current international power comparison.From the current point of view, even if the Hong Kong society has a fierce resistance, the Hong Kong version of the National Security Law should be passed and executed without controversy.Open bone cards.
Hong Kong will inevitably become turbulent in the next period of time, and the decline in economic and financial indicators is inevitable.However, does this mean the loss of the three major financial center status of New Lun?Does it mean that the Hong Kong dollar and the US dollar joint exchange system is over?Not necessarily.Hong Kong is always a buffer of the strategic interests and strengths of China and the West. This legislation is just a transfer of dominance. I am afraid it will not shake the positioning of its buffer.
(The author is a think tank researcher)
