Social Theory May 26, 2020
U.S. President Trump announced on the 21st that the United States intends to withdraw from the Open Skies Treaty, because Russia has continued to violate the treaty.According to the exit conditions of this treaty, the United States must meet with Russia and other treaties within 60 days to discuss. If a new agreement cannot be reached, the United States will officially exit six months later.
The United States' exit threatening the security, peace and stability in Europe, the resident representatives of NATO signed countries held an emergency meeting on the 22nd, and German Foreign Minister Mas said it would make efforts to promote the United States to re -consider the above decision.
As Russia and the United States accused each other, the Washington Post reported on the 22nd that the Trump administration discussed on the 15th of this month whether the first nuclear trial since 1992 has played a deterrent effect on Russia and China.
After Trump came to power, the United States has withdrawn from the Iranian nuclear agreement and the two military control agreements. Restart of the nuclear test means that the United States may change the national defense policy.Nuclear tests, as analysts pointed out, this is equivalent to the first shot of the nuclear arms reserve competition.Essence
The United States withdrew from the United States and the Soviet Union to eliminate medium-range missiles and medium-range missiles (IntermarmediaTe Nuclear Forces Treaty (Introduction Treaty for short) last year.China is not restricted to develop and deploy weapons prohibited by the guidance treaty.
After a six -month transition period, the 30 -year -old Treaty Treaty was officially invalidated on August 2 last year.The sky treaty, a new round of military reserve competitions are faintly visible.
At the past, nuclear weapons have been used as a strategy of deterring the hostile to the hostile. Nuclear countries have also used nuclear weapons to achieve national interests and political purposes.There are two obvious examples. The Seventh Central Military Commission of the North Korean Workers' Party has held the fourth expansion meeting recently to formulate a new policy for further enhanced the deterrence of the national nuclear war.In a short period of time, the number of nuclear warheads was increased to a thousand, and a larger nuclear arsenal was required to suppress the strategic ambitions of the United States.
Open Sky Treaty is the product that former US President Bush and Secretary of State Baker negotiated with Russia after the disintegration of the former Soviet Union in 1992. There are other 32 countries that signed this paper treaty for NATO members.With the consent of each other, flying over another country's air reconnaissance, taking pictures of military facilities and military activities of the affairs, collecting the emotional capital of each other, understanding each other's military operations to reduce misjudgments.
This international air reconnaissance agreement must be carried out on the basis of mutual understanding and trust, but the United States is dissatisfied with Russia's prohibition of US Air Force aircraft from flying over certain areas.In March of this year, US Secretary of Defense Esper accused Russia of banning the United States and other signed national reconnaissance planes. Feiyue believed that Kaliningrad, a city with a nuclear weapon that can hit European nuclear weapons, and was not allowed to cross Russia's major military exercises through the US aircraft.In the airspace, the United States believes that Russia violates the treaty and it cannot continue to obey.
The United States ignored the opinions of other NATO member countries and other contracting countries, and decided to withdraw from the open sky treaty, which may lead to tension in the internal relationship between NATO's military alliance, and created division and doubts within the allies.European signs may continue to abide by the treaty. However, once the United States withdraws, Russia may ban planes in European countries in Russia.
The competition between the United States and China has spread to the military. Trump has repeatedly stated in the past year that unless China joins, he will not extend the expiration of next year. The New Start signed with Russia (New Start) will be signed with Russia.EssenceThe treaty that was officially effective on February 5, 2011 limited the number of nuclear missiles in the United States and Russia, which was valid for ten years, and allowed only one time to extend for five years.
Investigating the military facilities and military intelligence of a country can now be obtained through the military satellite of the outer space, but once the open sky treaty fails, all parties will undoubtedly have another mechanism to maintain mutual trust, thereby raising the opposing atmosphere or even wiping guns and getting angry.risks of.This is also the reason why NATO member states and Ukraine have a common border with Russia. They have always persuaded the United States not to quit.But the United States and European allies, which are determined to choose unilateralism, have been drifting away, and the possibility of restarting the global nuclear arms competition has become more and more realistic.
