Society: Tsai Ing -wen is easy to turn pages, new rolls on both sides of the strait

United Daily News Agency

Tsai Ing -wen's inaugural speech did not give a consensus on the 1992 consensus, and only reiterated to follow the regulations of the Republic of China and the regulations on cross -strait relations to handle cross -strait affairs.Chen Mingtong, chairman of the MAC, said that the history has turned one page, and the 1992 consensus does not have to be discussed.The official response of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council has condemned the DPP authorities to refuse to acknowledge the 1992 consensus that reflects a China principle, and unilaterally destroy the political basis for the peaceful development of cross -strait on the two sides of the strait.Many scholars on both sides of the strait have strongly questioned that Cai Yingwen's constitutional amendment may be the climax of the two countries.

It is worth observing that coinciding with the two conferences of the mainland, the mainland leaders' conversation with Tsai Ing -wen is quite low -key.In the opening report of the CPPCC Chairman Wang Yang, there was no consensus on the 1992, but to deepen exchanges and exchanges with party sectors of Taiwan ’s islands.In the government report of the State Council, Li Keqiang, also did not adhere to the 1992 consensus for the first time, emphasizing that he resolutely opposed the split behavior of Taiwan independence and improved cross -strait exchanges and cooperation.Although Wang Yang re -entered the 1992 consensus two days later, Hong Qichang, chairman of the former Sea Foundation, interpreted. This is the olive branch of cross -strait leaders who have tacitly tossing olive branches.Essence

Observing Tsai Ing -wen's inauguration speech and the personnel layout of the New Cross -Strait seems to be preparing for the reserved space for restarting dialogue on both sides of the strait.Because the Constitution of the Republic of China still belongs to a national positioning of China; the regulations on cross -strait relations regulate the cross -strait exchanges with the principles of national unity.These two can be described as the bottom line of cross -strait relations.The problem is that when she turned over the 1992 consensus, she did not propose a new road diagram or bridge strategy for the new bureau of cross -strait relations. At least the outside world could not see the catalyst of cross -strait relations restarting.It is easy to abandon the 1992 consensus, but how difficult it is to write a new page on both sides of the strait; especially after four years of the Cold War between the two sides of the strait, the two sides lack basic mutual trust but have more skeptics and doubts.Variables affect the improvement of cross -strait relations.

One of the variables, the change of the situation in Hong Kong is the first.In order to stabilize the situation of Hong Kong's political and economic situation, Beijing jumped over 23 legislation of the Hong Kong Basic Law, and suddenly proposed the Hong Kong version of the National Security Law.This move is that Beijing has to legislate to end the rebuilding chaos for more than a year in Hong Kong, showing that Beijing's national security independence in Hong Kong has been higher than economic integration.As soon as the news came out, Hong Kong stocks plummeted, dissatisfied, and democratic factions, one country, and two systems.This measure reflects the will of Beijing's blockage of Hong Kong independence and Taiwan independence, and will also strengthen the anti -central complex of the people of Taiwan and become the resistance of cross -strait recurrence.

The second variable is Tsai Ing -wen launched constitutional amendments.Although Cai Yingwen's possible direction of constitutional reform has maintained a certain amount of elasticity and blur, as long as the constitutional amendment procedure is started, the concept of independence, concepts and reality will inevitably come out.At that time, the constitutional amendment cannot be limited to only eighteen -year -old citizenship. Once the national positioning, constitutional structure, and re -positioning of cross -strait relations are stirred up, it is bound to add conflict risks to the lack of consensus.A little carelessly, it may become a grade that is like the Hong Kong version of the National Security Law.

The third variable is the United States' strategy and the use of Taiwan.In the past two years, the US -China trade and science and technology war launched by the Trump administration have been in the second consecutive. Now Trump is facing the pressure of re -election, which will inevitably expand the use of various excuses to ignite this issue to win the selection.When Trump launched a comprehensive offensive offensive against the Chinese Communist Party, Taiwan became Trump's described fire sentinel.It is clear that it is to be to be able to seduce the Communist Party of China.On the incident of Tsai Ing -wen, the US Secretary of Shadow Pompe sent a congratulatory message to the President of Taiwan. It is explaining that the United States treats Taiwan as a burning point for testing the explosion of the mainland pressure cooker, which also caused a strong response from Beijing.Will Taiwan a victim of the conflict between China and the United States, Cai Yingwen must be extremely conscious, otherwise it will be the upper body.

Tsai Ing -wen's inaugural speech was written and listened: It is necessary to start a new economic pattern with more integrated gold flow, more lively flowing people, stronger industrial strength, and more closely linked Taiwan in Taiwan.However, if there is no clear guidelines for cross -strait new paths and new international strategies, these beautiful words are just empty slogans, and they are all feasible.After the epidemic, the world bureau must be chaotic, and the hearts of people after the epidemic must be fragile; therefore, to resolve cross -strait and their respective dilemma, leaders on both sides of the strait must jump out of their existing thinking frameworks and opinions.Unnecessary conflicts and differences, the statement of the Constitution and Cross -Strait relations regulations of the Republic of China only set the stop loss point, and it must be the unprecedented constitution of the country.As for a new bureau of peace and stability for the two sides of the strait, I am afraid that there must be more specific actions.Otherwise, the history is over a page, but there is no new chapter on both sides of the strait, and the result will be a blank or worse graffiti.