Author: Wang Mingyi

Before the inauguration of Tsai Ing -wen, US Secretary of State Pompeo called Cai Yingwen to be re -office.Subsequently, the Taiwan Affairs Office of the Mainland China Office, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of National Defense and the official media issued a statement and social reviews, and strongly criticized the interference of external forces, and said that it would take necessary measures to take the wrong behavior of the United States.In the past, there were Japan -Russia War in China, and the Sino -US conflict of modern version was currently in Taiwan.

When the strategic conflict between China and the United States has intensified, the two parties continue to expand the disputes and confrontation against the epidemic investigation, responsibility, claim, and claims.The most sensitive political nerves.Therefore, the mainland involved in Taiwan, diplomacy, military, and propaganda departments, multi -pronged approach, and comprehensively counterattacked.

From the perspective of Taiwan -US relations, Pompeo issued a statement to congratulate Tsai Ing -wen in his office, calling the Meitai partnership, or congratulations to the leaders of the Parliament through videos. This is indeed a rare moment in 41 years in Taiwan and the United States.But behind this paper congratulations, is it the sign of the sublimation of the substantive relationship of the United States and Taiwan?Or the root of another wave of diplomatic disasters?When the Cai government is celebrating, they must not be careless.

Although Tsai Ing -wen still insists on maintaining the status quo policy, such as continuing to follow the regulations of the Constitution of the Republic of China to handle cross -strait affairs.However, in the situation of intensified strategic contradictions between China and the United States, Cai Yingwen's speech content is not as important. The key is that at the sensitive moment of rising conflict between China and the United States.tragedy.

Tsai Ing -wen did not accept the political foundation of the cross -strait negotiations in the 1992 consensus of the political foundation of the cross -strait negotiations obtained during the period of governance of the Communist Party of China.The position of dealing with cross -strait issues in one country and two is the bottom line of the Cai Yingwen government, and it is also a predictable policy statement.

These historical arguments between the two sides of the strait, or their respective expressions between the Communist Party and the Communist Party, or the political differences between the people, still have room for tolerance, but involves the strategy of China and the United States, and even rises to external forces interference, national sovereignty and territoryFully and other contradictions, Taiwan is between two major powers. If it cannot be properly responded, misunderstood misjudgments, it may eventually become a victim of the struggle of the great power.

Judging from Beijing's deliberate response model, statement strength, and the current complex external situation of the United States, which counter -control strategies will Beijing recently adopted, it should be a major challenge that the Tsai government's national security team should be cautious.In particular, the probability of China's military friction in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea has surged, and the probability of even local military conflicts has surged, and Taiwan should be careful to prevent cases of disconnection again.In fact, Beijing has realized that Tsai Ing -wen mentioned that the reform of national defense affairs mentioned that the future development of combat power will focus on maneuverability, countermeasures, and non -traditional asymmetric combat power;In the situation, this new direction outside the Taiwan traditional defense is in the future, it should be a new field of military exchanges between the United States and Taiwan in the future.

Tsai Ing -wen promoted the establishment of a constitutional amendment committee in the Legislative Yuan. This was originally the normal development of democratic constitutional government.Concentrate on unified independence disputes and provoke cross -strait opposition.This new trend of constitutional amendments may also be the uncertainties between the two sides of the strait.

China and the United States have fallen into political and economic disturbances, strategic conflicts, and diplomatic confrontations, which have become the main variables affecting the order of world political and economic order.The complex changes of the triangle relations of the United States, China, and Taiwan have become the fuse that is most likely to detonate military conflicts. Taiwan has a dilemma between power between power and crisis. How to avoid Sino -US conflict in Taiwan will be Cai Yingwen's biggest governance problem.

(The author is senior media person)