Lin Yifu, the dean of the New Structural Economics Research Institute of Peking University and Honorary Dean of the National Development Research Institute, said that China is not unable to make the GDP growth rate of 15%in the second half of the year, but it is not necessary to implement the policy of super -standard fiscal currency stimulus becauseLeave policy space for next year.
According to Sina Finance, Lin Yifu made the above statements at the Chinese Practice Conference of Consumer Coupon yesterday (15th).He said that in order to achieve a well -off society in an all -round way and achieve the goal of GDP in 2020, the GDP growth rate will reach 5.6%this year, which means that the second half of the year must reach 15%of GDP increases increased in the second half of the year.speed.
He believes that the epidemic has seriously impacted the macroeconomic. Although China has resumed work, the prevention and control of the epidemic still needs to be normalized. It is expected that the economy in the second quarter is only signs of slow recovery, and comprehensive growth depends on the second half of the year.
Lin Yifu said: If the economic growth rate can reach 10%in the second half of the year, the economic growth rate can reach 3%throughout the year, but there is still a distance from the 5.6%growth rate of 5.6%... We do not say that there is no such (a complete goal (complete goalAbility.
Lin Yifu emphasized that the current development of the new crown epidemic cannot be predicted that the possibility of the second wave of epidemic in the epidemic situation will still exist next year. Therefore, China should leave policy space for next year.
He said that it is acceptable to extend policy goals until next year. This year's global economic growth forecast is only -3%. We can reach 3%of the economic growth rate this year.A percentage point is already very great.
Lin Yifu emphasized that the epidemic affects not only the demand, but also the supply surface; not only affects the countryside, but also the city; not only affects the country, but also the international.Therefore, in addition to traditional infrastructure projects, the relief policy of protecting enterprises and families should also be introduced.
For enterprises, the government shall introduce preferential policies for tax reduction and exemption, and provide them with funding support, allowing loans to delay payment, etc.; For rural families and migrant workers, they must improve the relief standards for low protection and ensure their basic living needs.
