Even according to the suggestions of Editor Hu, China increased the number of nuclear weapons to 1,000, and the gap between the number of US Russia was still large.Therefore, how much nuclear weapons need in China should be calculated according to the algorithm mentioned earlier instead of feeling.
Technology | Nuclear weapons and portion money
Author Li Bin, a professor at the Department of International Relations of Tsinghua University
The money with the portion is learned.In the village to do things, everyone does not always have to spread, often with high status and low status.If your status is in the second gear, then you have to see how much the big guy is, and to fold it according to the number of big guys, that is, the number of money of your portion.If the big brother has 1550 yuan, then, as a second gear, you should have not been commensurate at no less than 1,000 yuan.
So, the question comes: Everyone puts together the money of the out of money. In the end, the total amount of money is not too much or it is not enough. Why not calculate how much money it should pay according to the actual needs?Because, it seems that there is no distribution.The editor -in -chief of Hu Xijin said that this view is enough.
Editorial Hu recently advocated that China should expand the number of nuclear weapons to a level of thousands as soon as possible, but he did not explain how he calculated.I deeply doubt that he calculated with the logic of the money.If you use professional methods, how much nuclear weapons need a country can be calculated by pushing according to the algorithm below.
First of all, we should determine what the role of nuclear weapons can play. For example, using nuclear weapons to deter the nuclear attack is the role of Chinese nuclear weapons.Other countries may have other expectations for their nuclear weapons. For example, in the Cold War, the United States and the Soviet Union regarded their nuclear arsenal as the basis for its hegemon.
Secondly, according to the role of nuclear weapons, it is determined that how many nuclear weapons need to constitute the necessary damage effect on the enemy.This number is the number of nuclear weapons needed to eventually crack down on the enemy. Previously, the country's nuclear weapons would lose.
Third, according to the nuclear war model, the number of nuclear weapons suffered losses will be estimated.These losses include the national nuclear weapons that have been destroyed by the opponent's nuclear strike and conventional strike, and the national nuclear weapons that are intercepted by the opponent's missile defense.
Fourth, add the first two items (the number of nuclear weapons required for the damage to the enemy and the number of nuclear weapons lost), and obtain the number of combat nuclear weapons needed by the country.In fact, some spare nuclear weapons need to be added as redundant to deal with some uncertainty.The total number obtained in this way is the total number of nuclear weapons needed by a country.
The above calculations must also consider some constraints, such as the restraint of resources (whether there are enough funds, fission materials, etc.), technical constraints, etc.; Some optimizations should be made between different options.
According to the above algorithm, the total number of nuclear weapons required by a country can be calculated.If the actual nuclear weapon is more than this total, it is enough; if this number is not reached, it is not enough.The editor -in -chief of Hu Xijin seemed to look down on this concept, but this concept is actually very important, it is a professional idea.
Some reasons may cause the original nuclear weapons that are not enough. For example, the role of nuclear weapons has been adjusted, and the technical reasons have changed the results of the calculation of the combat model.If so, the editor -in -chief of Hu Xijin should clearly point out these reasons, rather than abandoning this concept.
Sun Tzu said: soldiers, great things of the country, the place where life and death, and the way of survival, must not be inspected.The demand for nuclear weapons is a very important issue involving national security. We should make this calculation trembling.The editor -in -chief of Hu Xijin determined that the number of existing nuclear weapons was not enough and needed to increase. This is understandable.He is not a professional, and we should not deal with the method of computing too much.What I am really worried about is to give him a friend MDash; mdash; if you have such a friend, it is too professional.
The first unprofessional place is that the concept mentioned earlier mentioned earlier; the second unprofessional place is that it does not accept the positioning of the original nuclear weapons in China, but it is not clear how to adjust this positioning;The three unprofessional places are that the editor -in -chief is completely unclear about the calculation ideas of the total number of aforementioned nuclear weapons; the fourth unprofessional place is that in the number of editors of Hu, only 10 of the total number of nuclear weapons are the most.Advanced Dongfeng-41, this is very puzzling.In fact, what I am most worried about is that Editorial Hu and his professional friends think that there are only 1,550 nuclear weapons in the United States and Russia.
1550 nuclear weapons in the United States and Russia are the result of a specific counting rules.This is like you see the big guy put it in the red envelope 1550 yuan, and then you think they only pay for the money of 1550 yuan, then it is wrong.In fact, the red envelope itself is gold -plated, and it is worth two or three thousand dollars. The money they paid actually had four or five thousand dollars.
The real quantity of nuclear weapons is the same.For example, in the United States, in addition to the number on the bright side of 1550, there are also nearly a nuclear warhead that can be loaded at any time, as well as non -strategic nuclear weapons, and the total number of together is about 45,000.Even according to the suggestions of Editor Hu, China increased the number of nuclear weapons to 1,000, and the gap between the number of US Russia was still large.Therefore, how much nuclear weapons need in China should be calculated according to the algorithm mentioned earlier instead of feeling.
