Chen Yixin: Cai Yingwen 520 speech, dont show mistakes

Author: Chen Yixin

The World Health Conference (WHA) will be held on May 18th and 19th. Unless there is a miracle, Taiwan will not be in this time.However, President Tsai Ing -wen's 520 inauguration speech is a big deal. Not only will the mainland hold the CPPCC and the National People's Congress on the 21st and 22nd respectively.After that, a new policy of Taiwan is proposed.

Although the United States and Japan have publicly support Taiwan to participate in the WHO this year, Taiwan has not yet received an invitation letter, which is obviously more fierce.Since 2017, because of the continuous deterioration of cross -strait relations, from the Cold and Cold War, it has been even more disgusting last year. Of course, the Cai government also knows this.

On the occasion of the new crown epidemic, after the media war, spy war, diplomatic warfare, hidden epidemic wars, responsibility and claims of the media war, spy wars, diplomatic warfare, diplomatic warfare, diplomatic warfare, hiding epidemic warfare, and claims, they returned to the trade war and science and technology war. The Trump administration even threatened to sayIf the mainland fails to faithfully performing a contract, the United States will re -re -heal the US -China first -stage trade agreement.In addition to the Huawei 5G issue, the two parties have broken their faces. The United States also plans to block mainland telecommunications companies to purchase US telecommunications products and use administrative orders to not allow the federal government to invest in Chinese stocks as a threat.

In the United States and China, Taiwan is best to adopt a balanced strategy in order to collect the effects of left and right.Even if you can't do this, don't irritate the mainland at least.However, Cai Yingwen obviously did not even run counter to this.Last year, in order to re -election in the election, it was even more interested in the people's anti -Central and revenge emotions.

Major General Qiao Liang, Major General of the PLA, wrote on the Sino -US Impression website on the 4th that from the perspective of the situation in Taiwan, Wen Tong is hopeless and can only be martial arts.Comparison of strength.Qiao Liang's point of view is obviously more rational, but it does not mean that in addition to digging the corner of the platform and blocking Taiwan's inter -space, the mainland is completely helpless.

It is not enough to scare the supporters of the righteous and the regiment -style Tsai Ing -wen in the mid -line of the Taiwan Strait by the aircraft and the military aircraft. Without the situation that Wu Tong cannot be slightly advanced, the national security director Qiu Guozheng is worried that the Chinese mainland may be suspended after the epidemic is slowed down.The Cross -Strait Economic Cooperation Architecture Agreement (ECFA) has been leaked as the pressure of claims by various countries to prove that scholars and experts who discuss this issue have increased every day.

The International Monetary Fund estimates that Taiwan ’s GDP growth rate this year is only -4%. If the mainland’ s suspension of ECFA, the Cai government ’s new southbound policy has burned a lot of money in the country, but even a free trade agreement is not signed. In addition,Participating in the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (RCEP) and the Cross -Pacific Partnership Comprehensive Progress Agreement (CPTPP) are far away. The Indo -Pacific Economic Plan invited by the Tsai government is only false and does not have substantial significance.

At the beginning of the outbreak of the new coronary pneumonia virus, the scholars of Taiwan think tanks made three suggestions to the Cai government to use this epidemic: First, make every effort to improve Taiwan's epidemic prevention capacity and squeeze into the global public health power;; 3. Through the allies, the United States, the United States, Japan and other AIA to enter WHO and WHA.Although Taiwan has become a public health country, it is still a foreigner who is WHO and WHA. Fortunately, in recent years, the people have long been used to nature, which is nothing.However, Tsai Ing -wen's 520 speech content is related to the Taiwan policy and the US policy after the two sessions of the mainland. The use of words must be used to use words.The development of the cross -strait situation in May has a significant impact.

(The author is a lecture professor at the Department of Political Science of China Cultural University)