China Focus

At present, the global Coronatte epidemic in 2019 is facing a serious out of control, accompanied by major life, economic and time costs.Although the trend of China's domestic epidemic has eased, the sequelae and the risk of re -starting are still overcast.

Although the source of coronary disease is currently no official final conclusion at the scientific level, the starting point of its large -scale outbreak infection is in Wuhan, China, which should be a few controversial facts.It is particularly worth pointing out that this epidemic is a concentrated outbreak of Wuhan, that is, from the perspective of early warning and geographical prevention and control of diseases, it should be relatively easy to isolate and curb it, rather than many cities, regions or countries.As a result, the situation of being lost and invincible.

However, the epidemic in Wuhan was out of control, which caused the panic and stopping of nearly one and a half months in China, and then infected and eroded the entire world.Time nodes can be divided into two key month and a half month: early December last year to mid -January this year, mid -to -late January to early March this year.Some people will say that the Wuhan epidemic is out of control, but the current world's epidemic is out of control and should not blame China, because from the end of January to early March this year, China has provided the world with sufficient early warning response time.

However, it is necessary to remember that this is the difference between early warning and insufficient prevention and control, and its nature is simply different.That is, from the first case of crown disease in the early December last year to mid -January this year, Wuhan was basically in a state of warning and prevention of non -public epidemic.Related prevention and control measures.Of course, now it seems that the intensity and breadth of these measures are far from enough.

An official from the US State Department recently told the author that the U.S. government had stopped sailing on Chinese travel, and was accused by the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs.The suspension of sealing has led to a heavy price of the United States for this.

Considering the spread of geometric growth in the epidemic infection, the prevention and control point of the upstream outstream starting point in the early days is significant, which can be described as the whole body.As a result, China, the world, and history will be particularly focused on the first and a half months. Why did not have early public warning and prevention and control measures in Wuhan?

There are also three well -known details, so far there is no complete explanation answer.First of all, since the 2003 Shatas epidemic, Chinese government departments have made huge sums of money to build a advanced network direct reporting system, which can quickly report the major emergencies directly to the central authority.In the early days of the Wuhan epidemic, this system was completely inherently unprepared, and it was false.

There is also a strange phenomenon that, while Wuhan officials have continuously denied the situation of the virus person, a group of professionals in China have published a series of research papers in international medical magazines to provide specific parameters and cases.Essence

Another is the doctor of Wuhan Dr. Li Wenliang and the Shanghai Virus Research Institute. Both the virus issued early warning, but Li Wenliang was trained and was notified by CCTV; the Shanghai Virus Research Institute was ordered to rectify.Is such a major fallacy caused by the fault of the grass -roots public security police station?

Even though Wuhan took great measures to seal the city on January 23 this year, at the time, 5 million people spread to the country and all over the world. Many of them were virus carriers, which eventually led to the out of control of the crown disease.

In the face of such a global mistake and out of control, from the history of modern China and the Chinese Communist Party, there are three cases that can be used for reference.The first was that in the mid -1930s, the fifth anti -siege defeat in the Soviet area was defeated, and the Red Army was forced to evacuate the base.It was not until the Zunyi meeting and subsequent series of meetings, and the wrong military and political routes made a liquidation change before turning the danger.

Then it was the fifth battle of the Korean War in the early 1950s. The United Nations army led by the United States launched a fast defensive counterattack against the Chinese and North Korean troops, resulting in out of control of the battle of the China -DPRK coalition forces. After paying a high cost of blocking, the main force was out of danger.However, China and DPRK have changed their strings since then, and have never launched offensive battles, which is equivalent to the default Korean war.

In the late 1970s, China's ten -year Cultural Revolution caused the national nation to collapse almost control. Finally, it relied on the gangs of four people and reform and opening up.

Yin Jian is not far away.

The author is in the United States

International Cultural Strategy Research and Consultation Experts