Early North to read
Han Yonghong
As the crown disease epidemic shifts from Wuhan, China to Western cultural districts such as New York State, will this disaster will leave many new lives for humans nine months later, and it will suddenly become a topic in the West.
This picture is conceived like this: In order to block the virus spread chain, many couples were forced to stay at home. They had a few times at home Qingqing, and I interacted intimately to dispatch boring. So nine months later, the babies were born!
NBA reporter Kismius joined this chorus. He suggested that the baby that was born in the Coronials that was born nine months later was called a quaranttens.
Don't think that this is just a joke of a few good things. Ukrainian President Zeleziski asked citizens to stay at home on TV last month. In addition to fighting against the virus, young people should also seize the opportunity to fight against the severe population crisis of Ukraine mdash; MDASH; manufacturingNew family members.
A coronary disease forced people to leave home, destroy the global economy, and even derive secondary disasters such as poverty -stricken people and domestic violence.In addition to these badwoods, if the epidemic will indirectly drive the fertility rate, for countries that face the problem of aging and declining childization, such as Ukraine, or Japan, China, and Singapore in Asia, it may also be considered a small harvest hellip; hellip; I want to be beautiful!
Because American public opinion has always been fascinated by the topic of post -disaster fertility, the local academic community has decades of research on this, and the results are quite abundant.Professor Li Cha Ivans at the University of Chicago recently wrote a text that scholars have studied this topic since the 1960s. Its research motivation originated from the New York Times that after the power outage of New York City in November 1965, in August 1966The number of registered newborns rose.However, the academic achievements published in 1970 believe that the statement of large power outage drives the rate of conception is statistically lack of strong evidence.
Professor Ivans himself and colleagues also conducted a survey in 2010. It turned out that if a small meteorological disaster occurred, the fertility rate would increase by 2%after nine months, but if it was severe disaster, the fertility rate would instead the fertility rate.It will be reduced by 2%. Professor Ivans explained: How can you be a person to escape?
In fact, the research of most Western scholars confirmed that famine, earthquakes, or tsunami will drag the fertility rate, but it will rebound later, which is the same in Chinese and Western.For example, Hong Kong broke out in 2003, and the fertility rate after nine months decreased, but the next two years rebounded.
Experts from the relationship between family structure and marriage, evenly, believe that the anti -epidemic houses will bring a tide of infants.Some scholars pointed out that even if the couple who live in the same living have more opportunities to be a person, they will be offset by other factors.Secondly, when facing economic depression and uncertainty and fear of the future, humans generally do not want to have children, but the risk of abortion will increase.Furthermore, the epidemic has led to the high tension of medical resources. Pregnant women went to the hospital to check that their bodies were infected with crown diseases. Therefore, some American doctors suggested that couples have considered childbirth when they are more stable.
Participating in this big discussion psychology brings a solemn reminder: Don't imagine human beings like animals, trapped together will happen.Some psychologists warn that schools have been suspended under the epidemic. Parents have to take care of children with vigorous energy and urge them to learn, coupled with the economic pressure, unemployment pressure brought by the epidemic, and the long -term test of husbands and wives.Baby waves need to pay more attention to the trend of divorce.
This phenomenon has appeared in China.Some wives found that their husbands stayed at home, not only did not help to do housework, but also referred to the order to give the order, but also the couple realized that they finally saw each other think that they would spend the rest of their lives and no longer.
Therefore, the tide of crown diseases seems to be an imagination.The terrible thing is that in case the epidemic is protracted, the crown generation is really synonymous with the next generation. I am afraid it will be a sad noun. The growth of a generation will accompany the economic downturn and the turbulence of the international political situation, panic and loneliness.
Having said that, I felt very novel about the post -disaster fertility rate for the United States for decades.Today, the news of the epidemic occupies the main length of the Western media, but unlike most Chinese media, the West colleagues often organize some living stories in addition to those who describe Li Min's suffering, disadvantages and names.Chat (video) love the way of love, etc.
These personalized and even private topics are a bit abrupt and incompatible in the great narrative in the era of serious and sadness. They may be criticized as out of time in oriental culture.However, I also saw a resolute attitude of maintaining private life in the West. They fiercely resisted the boundaries between individuals and the country, and rejected the individual being completely wrapped in the collective narrative and sadness, and used jokes to maintain the spirit of spirit.
Will this individualist tradition lead to the decline of the West in the epidemic?Some people think so, but I think the battle of humans against the virus has not yet reached the end, and the best cultural issues are still beautiful, not to be higher than a high or set off a civilized conflict.
