01 Viewpoint
U.S. Democratic President's primary election was raged under the nationwide of the new coronary virus and continued on Tuesday (17th) local time.Ohio voted after the epidemic, and the other three State Arizona, Florida and Illinois held the primaries as usual.The former Vice President Biden, who was like a Hong, took the three states to expand its advantages in the nomination votes and lead the federal senator Sanders for nearly 300 votes, almost locking in the election of the election at the end of this year to challenge the right to the current President Trump.
The outbreak of the American outbreak can be described as the black swan of this election.A group of political scholars pointed out that economic recession is one of the key factors for the election of the presidential election. In the past two weeks, U.S. stocks have been in a roller coaster and fell to stop several times.The U.S. economic prospects are extremely unclear. The economic growth forecast in the first quarter is 0.7%to zero. Once it is fell into a recession, it is almost definitely dragging on Trump's re -election opportunities.However, the epidemic does not seem to affect the election of the primary election. Biden focuses on the administrative experience of its eight -year vice president and the development of the Epolla virus.Voters believe that Biden has the ability to deal with the epidemic.
Sanders continued to focus on national medical insurance, reiterating the establishment of a public medical system that can ensure the low -class level, which is very important when the epidemic broke out.Even though mainstream media and opponents in the party have continuously attacked the national medical insurance over the past year, and they will go bankrupt, but many ticket stations surveys show that most voters support the national medical insurance plan operated by the government.It seems that this support does not seem to be transformed into a voting. Bynden, who opposes the medical insurance of the whole people, pressed Sanders, showing that the voters of this year's Democratic Party still defeated Trump as the main incentive for voting MDASH; mdash; Biden has always been held by mainstream media as the bestStrongly defeated Trump's candidates.
Democratic Democratic route
Since 1992, the governor of the southern Alkenan, Clinton, adopted the middle route strategy to defeat the old Bush, which is re -elected, and has been regarded by the Democratic Party as the equation.However, when the Democratic Party's policy tends to be pro -business, and even the policies that promote the interests of the working class such as free trade agreements and reduce welfare, the working class has also been rejected from the political process.Progressive clusters in the party and wounded with mainstream factions are precisely to pull the Democratic Party back to the left -wing route of the relatives of the former Clinton era.In addition, the progressive cluster takes Gor, Crey, Hillary and other examples, and anti -Democratic Party ’s victory in the middle line of Democratic Party does not exist at all.
Sanders proposed that to defeat Trump, he needed to abandon his former conservative intermediate strategy, and to encourage the enthusiasm of voters who have been rejected by the political agenda with bold and bold claims, and raised the voting rate to defeat Trump.To achieve this goal, the Democratic Party must show that it can challenge the political and economic structure of the chaebol for the benefit of the Chinese people, and attribute power to the labor class.In fact, in the polls, Biden Ruo Ruo touched alone with Trump alone. Compared with Sanders's advantages, there is not much difference.high.However, the mainstream media has always depicts the radical image of Sanders' edge, making it a great discount.
Four years ago, Hillary's Clementom Times route won at the Democratic Election of the Democratic Party. The labor class was deeply sold globally. They switched to the banner of economic nationalism, proposing trade barriers and Trump, who prioritized the United States., Wisconsin, Michigan, and other former industrial town in the central and western regions, the rust areas in the Central and Western regions, creating Trump's difference in the difference between a small number of votes but most voters.
Republican Party strives to grassroots support
Under this epidemic, Trump's election was not optimistic, and he launched trillion relief measures for three times.The most eye -catching person is to give about $ 1,000 to each American in two weeks for emergency.The creation of money for the whole people is extremely fresh for Americans, so many people remind many people to associate the national basic revenue of the national preliminary candidate Yang Anze's basic income.However, the basic income plan of Yang Anze is a $ 1,000 per month for each Chinese, while Trump's $ 1,000 of a $ one is a one -time rescue measure, and it cannot be confused.Trump has a lot of money, and naturally has its election considerations.The most beneficiary of its all -in -one money plan must be the laborer class with low income. It is also a voting that Trump has won the previous session.
When the Democratic Party is still keen on the middle route, it is a gentle candidate who has rich administrative experience and leadership, and strongly resist the change of changes in this way to win the votes of white female voters in the suburbs of the middle class.The support of the labor class, the era of reconstruction of the two parties has quietly begun.The paradigm transfer appeared in the last election was the southward strategy of the Nixon in 1972. With the conservative political platform, the Democratic President Janson signed a white conservative Democratic iron ticket to sign the civil rights bill, and successfully established the Republican Party to the southern whites, faithfuls, conservatives, and conservatives.Great League.
In view of this, Sanders also threw out the measures of anti -epidemic, saying that they would provide an emergency subsidy of 2,000 yuan per month for each American household.However, this late money -spenting plan helps to reverse the election.Under the epidemic, the general conference was canceled. The election atmosphere was not as good as before. The Democratic Party's system and liberal media have regarded Biden as the only choice, and Sanders almost turned around and hopeless.The two parties re -integrated in the great change in the great era. The situation of the general election was unpredictable, and the good show was still behind.
