The cold attitude of the Britain and the United States had previously responded to the new crown pneumonia's epidemic situation caused a lot of controversy. Among them, the chief scientific consultant of the British government had previously proposed that group immunity was more angry.Johnson finally announced the suspension of England yesterday, and then Scotland and Wales followed.The British and American media pointed out that the tight attitude of the two countries is part of the report submitted by the scientific team of the Empire College of London. The report is estimated that if the original relief is used instead of the inhibitory method, the virus may cause 250,000 in Britain and the United States, respectively.People and more than one million people died.Unfortunately, Ferguson, a scholar who led the research team, also experienced a symbol.
Model calculation to relieve resistance to resisting resistance
Neil Ferguson is an expert in epidemiological diseases. He is good at the proliferation of infectious diseases in human and animals with mathematical models. He used this method to judge the relevant data of H1N1 pig flu in 2009 and the outbreak of the Western Aprilla virus in 2016.He led the COVID-19 against the Empire Academy of London this time, and then provided the British and American governments with relevant calculation models. The latest report was announced on Monday (16th) to study and judge the two strategies of Mitigation and SUPPRESSION.Breaking the situation.
Refers to the imitation of China to try its best to suppress no choice
According to the report, the research team modified it with analog model that was originally used for influenza response, but adopting a relief strategy (referring to the delay rather than stopping the spread), even if all patients were treated, it is expected that the UK will experience 250,000 in the UK.People die, and the United States dies 1.1 million to 1.2 million, but does not know the time span.As for the inhibitory strategy, the epidemic is likely to be resurrected after the measures are canceled, and then the period explodes periodically until the development of the vaccine (generally 18 months, or more time).Ferguson acknowledged before the report was announced that in addition to imitating China to try its best to suppress the diffusion, Britain had no choice.
The British and American media believes that the report has shaken the original Anti -resistance policy of Britain and the United States.Although the Johnson government insisted that the strategy has not changed, until the report was announced, the only official guidance in the UK was to call on the public to wash their hands frequently. The chief scientific consultant of the government proposed that Herd Immunity caused a rebound in public opinion.Recently, the government has finally renamed the people to stay at home, especially those over the age of 70, pregnant women, and patients who are separated at home for at least 12 weeks at home. Johnson announced yesterday that England had suspended classes yesterday, and his position was obviously turning.After Johnson's announcement, the Scottish and Wales administration also announced that it would be prepared to suspend classes at the latest on Friday.Northern Ireland has announced at least 16 weeks on Saturday (14th).
The US media quoted news that there was a decision that affected the US government.The White House anti -epidemic response coordinating official Deborah Birx stated that he was cooperating with the British team and other global experts to study the calculation model.Ferguson acknowledged to CNN that a report was submitted to the White House special responsibility group last weekend and copied to the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) on Monday, but I do n’t know how much influence is.
The New York Times pointed out that Ferguson's hall is the key.Other experts pointed out that many of the reports of this report, such as overwhelming medical systems and the government's must be closed, have been seen in other reports in the past, but the key is that this new report was published by Ferguson's team.Devi Sridhar, an expert in Edinburgh, said: Many things have nothing to do with what they say, but who says these things.Ferguson has a huge influence.
Lead the study of the experts of the Empire Academy now
Ferguson disclosed yesterday and suspected that he was also infected. He wrote in Twitter that a slight continuous dry cough has appeared since Tuesday.Infect.
