David Shambaugh, a well -known American issue in the United States, believes that China's foreign relations will face six major challenges in the future. Among them, the deterioration of Sino -US relations is the top priority, and both parties must strengthen control.
George Middot; Professor Shen Dawei of Washington University was finally summarized for the new book China and The World published in December.He was invited to attend the lunch meeting of the Hong Kong Foreign press Conference yesterday, and delivered a speech with the topic of China's global role in the world.
He said that China ’s future challenges to the six major challenges in foreign relations, including Sino -US relations, Sino -Russian relations, China -Russia relations, China -Asian neighbor relations, Belt and Road Initiative, soft power failed to improve, and global governance. Among them, China and the United States, China and the United States, China and the United States.Relationship is the basic element of various challenges.
Sino -US relations have deteriorated until the Cold War stage
He believes that the deterioration of Sino -US relations is systemic and structural, and the friction, competition, and pressure of the two countries in the foreseeable future will become a new normal.The challenge lies in how to control it so that it will not develop into a comprehensive hostile relationship.However, he emphasized that the deterioration of Sino -US relations has not yet reached the Cold War.
He said: Unfortunately, in the past year, Sino -US relations have changed from cooperation to comprehensive competition and expanded to all levels, including economic, military security, technology, politics, media, media, education and scientific research, Indo -Pacific region and even space, etc.China and the United States take one side.
When answering the question, Shen Dawei adheres to the common interests of both China and the United States, and has cooperation needs in individual issues; but if you want to return to Sino -US relations with harmonious cooperation, you are dreaming.
Compared with Sino -US relations, he is more optimistic about the development of Sino -Russian relations. The friendship between the leaders of the two countries ... and Putin will go to the next level.This is a good thing, and there should be no disputes in the two major powers close to.
In the 2020s, what kind of gesture will China interact with the world, and is a good partner and a good neighbor?Or is it an isolated country, or is it a threatening power?Shen Dawei said that China's future affects the world.
After the speech, the first question Shen Dawei wanted to respond was Hong Kong's anti -repair routine storm. He admitted that he didn't want to talk more.However, he stated that he was opposed to violence and pointed out that the violent demonstration of the demonstrations of black clothes was unwise, and Beijing should also listen to the demands of Hong Kong people.
Shen Dawei predicted that China would collapse in 2015; but a year later, he changed his mouth and said: I am not a collapse, I don't want China to collapse, and I want it to succeed.In recent years, he has proposed competition to become the main axis of Sino -US relations.
