Source: Zhongshi Electronics News
Speaking of irony, Song Chuyu may not have thought that he did not expect that in his life, he once again became a person who could change history again.Whether the veteran played again, or traded with Ke Wenzhe to let Ke Jiao compete for the presidential throne, a decision of Song Chuyu, it may really change the history of Taiwan.
Song Chuyu is an indispensable figure in Taiwan's political history.He has participated in four presidential elections in the past 19 years, and he was almost elected for the first time and the second time.Although it is just a small party chairman, it is also a small party with a party group with a party group who receives more than 39 million political parties a year. The strength is not strong and the resources are also available.
However, it is now facing a rotation point, and the president and legislators election will come again. Once there are no district votes less than 5%, there will no longer be no partition seats.If there are less than 3%of the partition votes, even the qualifications for the annual subsidy of the party will be lost, and the party will almost finish playing, and even the value of the United Front will be lost.
In front of Song Chuyu's eyes, in fact, there are three ways: the first way is that Song does not choose or recommend people. This is the same as abandoning the political influence, and the probability is almost neglected.The second way is Song again, looking forward to the hens with chickens, similar to the effect of 2012 and 2016.
However, this effect is difficult to achieve.The Democratic Party itself will naturally advocate that the last Song took 1.57 million votes. This session of South Korea ’s Yu is not strong.However, at this time, the Democratic Party was a political party with tendency to teach in foreign provinces and military. In the last ethnic group, there was room for the Song Lilun to change the pillar.However, these two ethnic groups are now very Korean. Songs came out to choose the public enemies of these two groups. The election situation cannot be as smooth as the Democratic Party is now saying.Even if it is 5%, it is almost impossible to have party groups.
The third way is to give this ticket to others.At present, there are indeed a large number of ethnic groups in the middle, blue and light green ethnic groups who are dissatisfied with Tsai Ing -wen, and are not satisfied with South Korea ’s Yu. This will undoubtedly give the third forces a chance to appear in the lifeboat.
In the article "Guo Dong's fear of keeping middle tickets, green camp tickets and young tickets", it was mentioned that if Guo Taiming was running for president, it would be difficult to keep these three types of votes, and so that the polls were maintained in competition with Cai and Han Han for a long time.s level.On the other hand, any potential candidate who wants to rely on the Civil Party ticket must be able to keep these three votes in order to be elected.
The only person who may do this at the moment is Ke Wenzhe.Ke Wenzhe is not Guo Taiming. Ke has much light green, middle and young votes that are far more than Guo Jian, and it is not as if Guo Taiming has a complex Chinese mainland political and business relationship.Essence
Song Chuyu and Ke Wenzhe, one had no chance to be elected, one had no ticket but had a chance to be elected, and the common characteristics of the two were full of desire for power.It is possible to make each other with each other more than 5%, but there are two more small party chairmen (the parental Party is almost impossible to have the party group, and the votes of no partition may not be enough).In addition, the Kuomintang and the Democratic Progressive Party can only play their influence.Considering this, the two seek a big position together, and there are too many positions in the center to divide the resources. This is undoubtedly a cause of the Song and Ke.
Remember who is Song Chuyu's partner in 2016?It was Xu Xinying, the chairman of the Republic of China at that time. In the end, the Republic of China did not have more than 5%, but this actually demonstrated a possible cooperation model.If Ke became the presidential candidate and grabbed the media section, then why can't the Democratic Party not be able to stuff a vice presidential candidate to Ke, and the Democratic Party will use the vice presidential candidate to be a hen to fight for the party's partition election election.Woolen cloth?If you have possible vice presidential candidates, the layout you can grab must be much more than the presidential candidate who cannot be elected.
Song Ke's cooperation can be achieved, and there is no conclusion now. After all, Ke is not a steady victory, and may not dare to bet on this one.But these two people may make cooperation choices as they look at the dissatisfaction of Tsai Ing -wen and South Korean Yu.If the two can really cooperate, no matter whether Ko is elected, they will make the 2020 election a great variable, and the election campaign will boil again.
(The author is an online media worker)
