Song Zhongping
Just as North Korea is looking forward to restarting negotiations with the United States in September, the United States throws South Korea -Japan nuclear military theory to pressure North Korea.Do n’t know that the United States knows this faint trick, which can only make North Korea more firmly support the nuclear position, and it can be seen that the real small abacus in the United States can be seen from it.
South Korea and Japan have sufficient technical capabilities to achieve nuclear militaryization. They have also tried in the past, especially in Japan's technology -strong country distance nuclear weapons are the distance of a wire.South Korea also has the ability to develop nuclear weapons quickly. Both ball missiles and cruise missiles are ready, and only a nuclear warhead needs to be added.Therefore, the theory of military and Japan's nuclear military is only a political problem, not a technical problem.
Once South Korea and Japan really break through political restrictions and insist on supporting the nuclear, it is bound to strengthen the excuses of North Korea's nuclear support. Especially the rivals Japan's nuclear support is the fact that North Korea is completely unacceptable. North Korea can only use anti -nuclear nuclear.Therefore, North Korea is not worried about the two countries to support the nuclear, which will only make the United States forced North Korea to abandon nuclear abandonment. The United States does not understand this simple truth.
The North Korean nuclear support is beneficial or harmful to the United States. To a certain extent, it is beneficial to the United States, but it is harmful to China.Once North Korea's nuclear support will inevitably open the Pandora nuclear magic box, not only South Korea and Japan, but Taiwan will also use nuclear support to seek independence. Vietnam, Myanmar, and Kazakhstan will successively become nuclear weapons countries. In addition, Russia, India and Pakistan Ben willIt is a nuclear weapon country. The United States can deploy nuclear weapons around China in minutes.
This nuclear chain response will inevitably lead to serious interference in China's national security, and then seriously frustrated economic development. China's external environment will deteriorate sharply. China will be forced to fall into a protracted nuclear arms competition.
Some people in the United States have long pointed out that North Korea should be allowed to support nuclear, which has led to the flood of Asian nuclear weapons countries, so as to contain China's rapid development and the United States takes advantage of the profit.Nowadays, the United States has once again released the theory of Korean and Japanese nuclear military theory that is completely sword refers to China rather than North Korea. One of the reasons is to ask China to persuade North Korea to abandon the nuclear as soon as possible. Otherwise, China ’s national security will be harmed.
In addition, North Korea has recently tested short -range ballistic missiles and long -range rocket launchers, and even reported that North Korea continued to develop its own ballistic missile plan.The content of the report should be true, because North Korea has both political necessity and technical necessity.
After Trump came to power, after unremitting efforts, North Korea finally ushered in a new round of loose period.Because Trump emphasizes his personal relationship with Kim Jong -un, he believes that only by himself can solve the problem of North Korea's nuclear guidance, it has released a certain kind of goodwill to North Korea, and it can be regarded as a certain Huairou.Eye.This is very good for Trump to win votes.Kim Jong -un also seized Trump's political speculative psychology, and then he frequently tested new weapons.
There are several goals for North Korea to develop new ballistic missiles.On the one hand, because of political needs.On the negotiating table, the more chips, the higher the price. When it comes to the end, you may retain short -range ballistic missiles and only abandon intercontinental missiles, which is more in line with the actual interests of the United States.
On the other hand, it is due to the needs of military technology.Today, South Korea is buying a large number of advanced weapons and equipment, including the F-35A/B fighter, which is bound to wide up the military gap between North Korea and neighboring countries.Once North Korea can have advanced and short -range campaign tactical conventional ballistic missiles, it can make up for the lack of conventional power.Therefore, in the recent frequent experiments, North Korea highlights the strike accuracy of weapons, and no longer rely on large -scale killing warheads. This is an important shift for North Korean ballistic missiles.Once North Korea's ballistic missiles carry conventional warheads, they are not within the category of being destroyed.
On the other hand, North Korea has always regarded the ballistic missile as the main weapon for exporting foreign exchange. The previous Mars short -range ballistic missile has been exported to many countries in the Middle East. Now North Korea develops similar to the Iskander missile.It can achieve long -range precision blows, such weapons will become a fist product for North Korea's future export weapons.
Therefore, since North Korea has not signed any agreement with the United States about nuclear guidance and can be implemented, it may wish to take advantage of this vacuum period to quickly develop various advanced weapons. This is the current active response strategy of North Korea.
It is also necessary to explain here that although the Fengxi Li nuclear test field has been blown, it does not prevent North Korea from continuing to develop new nuclear weapons. The development of the second -generation nuclear weapons on the basis of the first generation of nuclear weapons is more in line with North Korea's interests.As long as the agreement is not signed, everything in North Korea is free, which is also an important period of strategic opportunities in North Korea to play by itself.
The author is Phoenix Satellite TV commentator
