Jiang Tiegang: The more and more worries about Sino -US relations

As the two largest economies in the world, or the two countries with the strongest comprehensive strength, the relationship between each other is not only concerned about the people of the two countries, but also affect the nerves of other countries in the world.As the Sino -US trade war intensified, many people became worried, and they did not know what extent it would deteriorate in Sino -US relations.This mood can be understood, but some concerns are actually unnecessary, which is completely worried.

First of all, there will be no new Cold War between China and the United States.Many people see China as the Soviet Union in the past, thinking that they would fight the Cold War with the United States like the Soviet Union.Different from the hot battle that wants to fight and dare to fight, the Cold War is to fight.Why do you want to fight?Because the Soviet Union and the United States have ideological conflicts, socialism and capitalism are not as good as the east wind or the west wind or the east wind.Why not dare to fight?Because the Soviet Union and the United States have nuclear weapons. Once the war began, it was destroyed by each other, and no one could bear such a large price.

Nowadays, China and the United States also have nuclear weapons, and dare not fight.Do you want to fight in China and the United States?This involves the nature of the Sino -US conflict.

Sino -US conflict is not a conflict of ideology. Although the ideology of the two countries is different, it can be done in parallel, and there is no problem with you dying.In fact, this is still heavy, and the words are too grand. The ideology of the two countries is not only conflict. It is just carved by a mold. Capital employment labor can be popular, but the vests we wear are different.

The nature of the conflict between China and the United States is a single -polarized and polarized conflict.The United States hopes to maintain a single polarization world, but the reality of the world is the heroes of China, the European Union, Russia, India, and Brazil.It's just that in the trend of polarization of the world, China as a single country's economic volume, or the fastest growth of comprehensive strength, so gunfire hit the headbird, China has become a nail and meat in the eyes of the United States.quick.In this way, the conflict of monocularization and multi -polarization is concentrated as the conflict between the boss and the second child.

Facing the threat of the second child in the United States, do you want to fight?Maybe I want to fight, but unfortunately I can't afford the hill.The conflict between the United States and Sutchoms during the Cold War was not a conflict between the two countries, but the conflict between the two hills.The Soviet Union pulled Huoyo, and the United States pulled NATO.The reason why these two hills can pull up is precisely because of ideological reasons, and the interests of the same countries with the same beliefs form a hill.The conflict between China and the United States is only a conflict between the two countries. For other countries, the best choice is to eat on both sides, not the choice station.For the dispute between the second and second and second elders of China and the United States, which country will do such a stupid thing?Now that between China and the United States, even if you want to fight, it is a fantasy, of course, there will be no new cold war.

Secondly, China and the United States will not be decoupled.The Cold War between China and the United States cannot be played, and the hills can't pull up. Isn't it relying on other countries?Foreign trade has not been done, foreign investment withdraws, and personnel exchanges have stopped.Some eagle politicians within the U.S. government may really work like this.Unfortunately, this is not back pain standing. They plan to do so, but whether they can do it depends on whether their backstage owner agrees.

The background owner of the US government is the business community represented by Wall Street.Without exception, capitalists are based on making money.The duty of the US government is to serve the money of capitalists, which is no different from the governments of other capitalist countries.In the past, China was linked to the country and did not link to capitalist countries. As a result, capitalists in these countries could not make money. They were anxious to China. By encouraging their government to launch a war, they signed an unequal treaty with China, and forced China to open a business port.

Now that the United States will be decoupled with China, it will cause the US capitalists to spit out the money they earn again. They are definitely even more urgent, but this time the urgent target is not China, but some eagle politicians within their government.Once the background boss is anxious, there is no choice for the housekeeper at the front desk, so the decoupling of China and the United States is pure.

Third, the Sino -US trade war will not become a long -lasting war.Since the outbreak of the Sino -US trade war last year, with the launch of the between governments between the two countries, the trade war continued to increase.As a result, many people began to worry that the Sino -US trade war will not become a long -lasting battle?

The outbreak of the Sino -US trade war is closely related to the characteristics of US President Trump's businessmen.The characteristics of the businessman are that the killing business can be done, and the loss of money cannot be done.Trump is doing a business war as a killing business, that is, he wants to take a danger and use a stick to invest in tariffs to force China to be sample.The most effective response to China is of course to convert this killing business into a loss -making business.The cycle of pressure, countermeasures, and re -control between China and the United States is here.

As a result of the Sino -US trade war, both defeats were defeated.Therefore, the Sino -US trade war will definitely not become a long -lasting war.What is troublesome now is that on the one hand, the United States' perception of China has a deviation. China originally put the bottom line MDASH; MDASH; required cancellation of all tariffs, requiring trade procurement figures, and the way of requesting text expression.It was accepted, and it all showed publicly, but the United States still did not believe it; on the other hand, China's attitude towards the United States had a deviation. What the United States thought was to break through China's bottom line in negotiations. China must adhere to the bottom line, but it does not understand it.Tell the other party that if the United States thinks so much, he does not have to talk about it. Instead, he always emphasizes talks and opens the door; fight, accompany to the end.As a result, the talks between China and the United States, talked about it, and the deeper and deeper, causing the situation that both sides are unwilling to see.

As long as the United States is not so greedy, don't be so stuck in China, the Sino -US trade war is not far from the end.We all look forward to the early arrival of this day.

(The author is an independent scholar in Beijing)