Author: Hong Xincheng
With the changes in US foreign policies and the fluctuations in the global structure, the discussion of the New Cold War is endless.In recent years, the Trump administration ’s national defense and national security documents will generalize the strategic competitors of Russia and medium nations. Pence’ s speech at the Hudson Institute is well known to the New Cold War.
However, people's use of the heavy vocabulary of the Cold War may be too easy.Recently, the Brucks Society published an article published by Ouhanlong and Gelage today in the United States, entitled no, we and Russia and China are not on the edge of the New Cold War.Discussion.In their opinion, this way of thinking for foreign relations is neither accurate, but also dangerous.
The author said in the article that even if Russia and China have been more threatened in recent years, the US foreign policy has shown an excessive reaction, which may cause self -realization predictions.Taking Russia as an example, the author believes that no matter how hostile Moscow is in the eyes of Washington today, it cannot be compared with the global ambitions of the Soviet Union.Secondly, the Cold War perspective ignored the cooperation between the United States and Russia on some major global security issues today.
Therefore, in the author's opinion, even if the world today looks uneasy and risky, those people who compare the status quo and the Cold War may forget how dangerous it was in that era.The description is as close as.
Interestingly, the comments specifically mentioned the joint letters of public letter from hundreds of American experts and scholars and former diplomats to the President Trump to popularize parliamentarians.This China is not a concentrated on the context of the Sino -US trade war. The people of the United States, especially businessmen, and academic circles, have reached a peak in terms of the number of participants and representativeness.
The co -branded people advise the Trump administration to treat China as an enemy and try to decompose China and the global economy. It will harm the US international role and reputation, damage the economic interests of countries around the world, and does not meet the interests of the United States.
From the Brucks article to the joint letter, it reflects the cooling demands of the US folk's foreign policy on the Trump administration.These sounds are mainly based on the logic of two aspects: First, they should not exaggerate the strength and ambitions of Russia, China and their threats to the United States; second, the United States still has enough ability based on its own and allies.The rise of the rise should not abandon the international system because of caught in the Cold War discussion.
However, it is better to say that this is the voice of some pro -Russian and pro -China.They did not deny their negative views on Russia and China, and believed that the United States needed a strong response, but they worried that Trump's approach would not lose.
These people are very clear. Compared with the Cold War, today's US Russia, the United States and China relations are more diverse, and the mutual dependence of the global economy has reached the level of killing the enemy by one thousand.Chimerica).Therefore, it is impossible for the United States to limit China's growth without suffering from major losses, and the idea of decoupling with China's economy is extremely risky.
Of course, these persuasion has a certain reason, but now the problem is that the foundation of Trump's rise and governance does not believe this set of discussions. Sichuan fans would rather believe that their president is helping them to snatch their lost jobs.The international system has caused them to be abandoned by globalization.
It seems that the Democratic Party is not enough to challenge Trump's strong sticks, and traditional diplomats are suffering from being unable to influence decision -making, and it is difficult to look forward to their appeal to change the existing tone of US foreign policies.
In terms of joint letters, its biggest significance may be to break the US perception of the United States' strategy, and it has the effect of alleviating bilateral tension.From the perspective of China, the US strategic world's persuasion to the government also means that the United States is not a iron plate to the Chinese attitude, which will help avoid the continuous deterioration of mutual perception of China and the United States.
The current situation can only be said that the Cold War can not be said, but it is not optimistic.
(The author is a think tank researcher)
