Regional political and economic situation observation after the Japanese Senate electi

Industrial and Commercial Times Society

Just as the parties expect, the ruling league led by Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe won over half of the seats on the Senate elections on July 21.And the South Korean President Moon Jae -in, one week before the Japanese election, the Japanese -Korean trade war harmed Japan's warnings that Japan would harm to South Korea.The background of the leaders of the two countries is different, affecting the awareness of their historical positioning. In the current special space -time background, the huge sparks that are crashing will affect the regional political and economic situation in Northeast Asia.

As the prime minister of the Golden Sun, the grandfather Kishimosuke and the uncle Sato Rong, the grandfather Abe, have been the Cabinet Prime Minister. The distinguished blood of these political families has a significant impact on his political personality.For the first time in 2006, he was the Prime Minister. The main political achievement in less than a year was to upgrade the defense hall to the province of defense.big.Becoming the President of the Liberal Democratic Party's history and the longest term, before Abe took office for the second time, the Democratic Party Prime Minister Noda Koyama's 2012 Diaoyu Islands' state -owned incident, let him go back to the presence of the prime minister, he must severely deteriorate and low to the bottom of the valley.The relationship was once a political problem without solution.For Abe, in 2013, he won the Tokyo to become the host city of the 2020 Olympic Games. After nearly a man can host the Olympic Games again, it will undoubtedly enhance his hopes to continue the peak of political career and serve as the prime minister to continue to host the great political politics of the Tokyo Olympics next year.attempt.

However, for Abe in 2014, it was a moment of suffering from internal affairs and diplomacy.On the one hand, the 5%consumption tax was increased to 8%in April 2014, and it would be increased to 10%in October 2015. However, due to the great rebound of public opinion, the two policy -based postponed implementationIt will officially go on the road in October this year (2019).On the other hand, at the APEC conference held in Beijing in November 2014, the President of the Communist Party of China ... his face was serious, and he wanted to talk to Abe Quyi, but he could not do it as expected. FinallyIt makes people remember.Although Prime Minister Li Keqiang of the State Council of the Communist Party of China attended the Sino -Japanese and Korean Summit in Seoul in November 2015, and had a talks with three years of interrupted South Korean President Park Geun -hye and Abe, who had been the east, the relationship between Japan and Mainland China had not improved.After the U.S. -China trade war began after the lunar year in 2018, after the CPC State Council Prime Minister Li Keqiang visited Japan in May, facing the tariff war of the United States to major trading partners, the relationship between Japan and Mainland China also took each of them to take each.The required situation gradually warms up.At the end of June 2019, the G20 Osaka Summit, the two sides improved economic and trade relations, conducted scientific and technological exchanges, and provided new opportunities for the Tokyo Olympics next year. For Abe, a perfect period for Abe.

Last month's G20 Osaka Summit, Japan and South Korea did not hold bilateral talks.The reason is that, in addition to the major political issues that are unbearable and unbearable to South Korea, the consolation woman is the fuse of the Japanese and Korean trade war. It was the Supreme Court of Korea., A compensation for hundreds of millions of won per person.Since the judgment of the Supreme Court of Korea is together, the suspicion of the two countries extends from politics to the economy; and the dissemination of negotiations between the two governments in early July has also caused the Japanese government to implement it from July 4th.South Korean semiconductor material export restrictions.President Wen Zaiyin's warning on July 15 called on the Japanese government to relax the control. As a result, the Japanese and Korean trade aggressive G20 Osaka Summit became the most important international incident before the Japanese Senate election on July 21.

South Korean President Moon Jae -in, who took office two years ago, had obvious contexts of political personality; after 1987, the Korean government amended the constitutional regulation that his personal policy was under the unique system of 5 years and was not re -elected.Ideal, it also clearly affects the style of governance.Because it was once the personal factors of Secretary Roh Moo -hyun, whether it was against the United States' blockade and sanctions on North Korea, required the U.S. military to withdraw from Seoul, recovering the highest military command during the war, or the development of a balanced diplomacy for the development of the United States, China, Russia, and Japan.President Roh Moo -hyun's thinking in the general direction.

Such a political pattern also implemented the deployment of the Sade anti -missile system with mainland China the previous year. During the noisy political incident at that time, President Moon Jae -in proposed to mainland China that was impressive.Systems; without joining the US missile defense system; and security cooperation in the United States, Japan and South Korea, will not develop into a military alliance in the Three Kingdoms.And even more remarkable, since taking office, through the hosted by the Pyeongchang Winter Olympics in January last year, the thawing of the two Korean relations, the Cultural Fair of the two Korea leaders in April last year signed the so -called promotion, prosperity and unity of the so -called peace, prosperity, and unity of unity.The Panmunjom declaration is self -evident for the political significance of the Peninsula's denuclearization and ending the state of the war.

Based on the above analysis, the national leaders' political calendar and political personality, the trade war in the current environmental conference and rubbing, is both based on the colonial complex and historical memory of the two countries before World War II.The inevitable result of the macro -strategic thinking of the south.A president who amends foreign policy to the United States and Japan and pursues the peace and reunification of the two Koreas, and a prime minister who pursues the unique position in the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japanese political history.It will not be unlimited to become a long -lasting war, or even the breakdown of a comprehensive relationship, but the political grievances between the two countries are enough to destroy the Asian strategic outlook of the Pacific Ocean, which is far from the US government, which is unquestionable.