During the Summit of the Golden Group of Osaka, I visited Japan and held a head talks with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.(AFP)
Chinese President's visit to Japan from June 27th to 29th to visit Japan during the Summit of Osaka 20 (G20), Japan. This is the first time in China to set foot on Japan's land after nine years.According to reports, at the Sino -Japanese summit held in Osaka on the 27th, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe officially invited ... To conduct a state -owned visit, China also expressed an invitation.In May 2018, Chinese Prime Minister Li Keqiang officially visited Japan. This is a seven -year visit to Japan after the Chinese Prime Minister.In October of the same year, Abe officially visited China, and the two countries reached a consensus on third -party cooperation on the Belt and Road Belt and Road.Since 2017, Sino -Japanese relations have improved rapidly and have returned to normal track.In contrast, the competition between Sino -US relations in trade, high -tech and geopolitics has increased significantly.
Many analysts believe that the uncertainty of US President Trump in trade, alliance and other policies is the fundamental reason why China and Japan are approaching the rapid approach.The US factors are undoubtedly the biggest external cause of improvement in Sino -Japanese relations, but if that, the sustainability of improvement of Sino -Japanese relations is doubtful.In fact, in the history of the Cold War, we have also witnessed that Sino -Japanese relations have experienced reincarnation of improvement and deterioration, and the sustainability of improvement of Sino -Japanese relations has never been answered well.
This round of improvement of Sino -Japanese relations has occurred under new historical conditions. Unlike the previous improvement, the fundamental move is the result of the changes in self -awareness and mutual awareness of China and Japan in the past few years.If the two sides can seize the opportunity, the sustainable improvement and development of Sino -Japanese relations can be achieved.
Confidence that China enhances Sino -Japanese relations initiative
The total economic volume of China surpassed Japan in 2010 and became the second largest economy in the world. In the same year, manufacturing output value surpassed the United States.China has become the second largest country in the world. Self -new cognition, on the one hand, has increased China's confidence, on the other hand, it has begun to think more about what kind of China and what kind of international order to build.Under this new era, China ’s strategic strategicness of Japan’ s diplomatic thinking is clearer, the convergence of Sino -Japanese policy attention is increasing, and China ’s initiative in Sino -Japanese relations is significantly enhanced.
First of all, the relationship between Japan in China's strategic goals shifted from the original simple prevention of crisis to actively shaping bilateral relations in order to burst positive energy and exert subjective motivation.The 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China proposed the comprehensive establishment of a well -off society in the 100th anniversary of the establishment of the Communist Party of China, as well as two century -old strategic goals for the establishment of a wealthy, strong, democratic, civilized and harmonious socialist modern country when the New China was established 100 years.The 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China proposes that the next 10 years will achieve two historic convergence periods for the one hundred years of struggle, reform the domestic and international governance system, and achieve strategic goals through overall planning of two domestic and international overall situations.
After the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the construction of the Belt and Road Initiative, the coordinated development of the Beijing -Tianjin -Hebei, and the development of three major development strategies for the development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt.At the end of 2015, ... at the Central Economic Working Conference, we should pay attention to crossing two traps, that is, Xiu Xide trap and medium -income traps.The economic change method is changed to improve economic quality.The core of China's above -mentioned new strategy is to further expand opening up, focus on high -level two -way openness, actively participate in global economic governance and public product supply, and improve their institutional discourse rights in global governance.
After 2010, Sino -Japanese relations were very nervous because of territory, history, and security.With the clarity of China's internal and external strategic goals and the further increase of self -confidence, China has the ability to actively shape the strategic environment. New international relations have become strategic choices.Japan also has the dual attributes of large countries and neighboring countries, and Sino -Japanese relations that actively shape and build a new era have naturally become the policy agenda.Not long ago, the new Chinese ambassador to Japan, Kong Yanyou, said at a press conference that China and Japan are actively preparing for the Chinese leaders of Chinese leaders next year.Enhancement of Japanese diplomatic initiative.
Second, with the development of China, the social and economic gap between China and Japan is increasingly narrowed. The policy and social concerns in large cities and coastal areas in China have begun to appear in convergence with Japan.EssenceFor example, this time the G20 summit in Japan is different from the past, including aging and national health insurance, as well as the sustainability of the corresponding pension medical system, high public revenue and expenditure efficiency, intergenerational equality, and public fiscal sustainability.In developed economies, Japan can be said to be the most successful model of tolerance society.And these issues are practical problems that Chinese society has faced and urgently needs to be resolved.
For another example, the Chinese government's actively advocated garbage classification and toilet revolution, Japan also has many experience worthy of reference.At the same time, China, as a driving person who has later lived, uses new technologies such as digital technology and artificial intelligence to solve the new methods and new experiences of the above problems. Japan also has a place to learn.China and Japan can learn from each other in governing the country. In the past, China was a unilateral study of Japan. Now China has a lot of beneficial experience and is worth learning in Japan.
Japanese self -confidence injects new driving force into China
In 2006, after Koizumi Chunichiro stepped down as the prime minister, the Japanese politics experienced the turbulence period of the prime minister almost every year.In 2010, Japan was surpassed by China and became the third largest economy in the world.A large earthquake occurred in Japan in 2011.In 2012, it was seriously opposed to the issue of the Diaoyu Islands (known as Jian Ge is the island in Japan).During this time, Japan has obviously weakened confidence, and the weakness of civil strife has dominated Japan's self -awareness.After being elected Prime Minister again in 2012, Abe has achieved the victory of the House of Representatives and two Senate elections.In October 2017, after the victory of the Japanese House of Representatives, Abe said at a press conference that under the leadership of the same president, he won three consecutive victories. This is the first time in the history of the party for more than 60 years.
Although the evaluation of Abe's economics is divergent, at least the Japanese stock market is rising, the employment situation of young people is getting better, and the pessimism of Japanese society has a great improvement of the pessimism of economic prospects.In 2018, the public opinion survey of the National Life of the Japanese Cabinet Mansion showed that the proportion of satisfaction for life is 74.7%, which is the highest value since the survey since 1957.Although Japan has located from the world's second largest economy, in terms of quality of life, comfort and safety, Japan has re -realized that it is still a socio -economic power.This new self -confidence is the most important internal cause of Japan's policy changes in China.
When the Japanese people saw a large number of Chinese tourists in Japan and the product, they knew that the world's second largest economy still had a long way to go in terms of product quality.At the international level, there is no populism tendency to appear in other developed countries in Europe and the United States, and the economic and social order has stabilized.The Japanese Diplomacy Blue Book, published in 2016, began to appear in Japan as the international community. While advancing the interests of the Japanese national, it dominates the words of world peace and prosperity in the international community.
After the Trump administration decided to withdraw from the Cross -Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP), Japan officially stated that it will continue to negotiate with TPP member states outside the United States.Japan has reached EPA with Europe, and has reached a new cross -Pacific partner comprehensive progress agreement (CPTPP) with TPP 11 countries other than the United States, showing Japan's leadership in the field of international economic governance.Abe has been in power for a long time, and frequently visits, plus home diplomacy such as the Seven Kingdoms Summit, G20 Summit, and the 2020 Tokyo Olympic Games, etc.Enhance Japan's international presence.At the same time, Japan also recognizes that China's further development trend is a historical trend. China ’s fundamentals as future global powers and neighbor Japanese countries will not change. This means that the strategic relationship with China is an unavoidable strategy.question.
It can be said that the uncertainty of the United States has activated the process of self -cognition and mutual cognitive upgrades of China and Japan.Faced with a world of lack of leadership and the supply of deficits of global public products, China and Japan have re -realized that they are members of the international community, and they are responsible and obliged to actively participate in the process of global governance reform.After the Opium War, China ’s long -term self -cognition is a large country with poor poverty and weakness. It is a long -term strategic goal for developing the domestic economy.However, China has become the second largest economy in the world. To further develop, it is necessary to take the initiative to play international leadership.This is also the voice of the world.
After the defeat of Japan, it has long followed the United States in the lowest attitude of the defeated country in politics, and the centralized economic development represented by the Yoshida route is a strategic goal.However, in the face of a new era of changes in international order and the rise of China, Japan has also begun to realize that as the third largest economy, it is necessary to play international leadership, and these must be based on the foundation of a healthy strategic relationship with China.superior.
In the new era, both China and Japan have more confidently recognized their international role and are willing to contribute to the reconstruction of international order. The improvement of the relationship between China and Japan should be said to be essentially different from the past situation.Of course, many sensitive problems between China and Japan have not been solved, and Sino -Japanese relations are not impossible, but as long as the two parties can adhere to the overall situation of global and regional governance, strengthen strategic communication, control differences, and consolidate political and social consensus.Create the momentum of the development of Sino -Japanese relations, and the continuous stability and development of Sino -Japanese relations are guaranteed.
(The author is an associate professor at the National Niigata University in Japan, a senior researcher at the regional and global institute of Global Governance of Beijing Foreign Studies University)
