Industrial and Commercial Times Society
U.S. President Trump announced last month to launch a re -election activity, and then went to the G20 Xi special talks about the Sino -US trade war.Although this talk has reached a number of positive conclusions, the Sino -US trade war can be temporarily retained, but it is inevitable that Trump's election considerations are inevitable; for example, Trump may talk to ChinaNext year, the American election will be in the end of the hot battle stage to show their wrists in their systems and make voting chips.The US election influenced the Sino -US trade war, which may make this trade war endless.China should recognize this situation, and to deal with it calmly without having to dance with the Trump campaign.
This Xi Special Conference was held at the end of June G20 (G20 (Group 20) Osaka Summit. The conclusion roughly followed the Chinese requirements of the Chinese and American trade war.In addition, Trump agreed that US companies would resume the sales of products to China Huawei, and no longer fully blocked Huawei's business involving the United States.
The result of such talks made China a winner.On the eve of the Osaka Summit, the Chinese leader had a wishes to Xi Tei and was unwilling to be taken advantage of Trump at this meeting.Negotiations and cancellation of Huawei companies to purchase US technology product orders.These conditions were accepted by Trump at the Xi Special Conference.
The first time after the Xi Special Meeting, many experts and scholars directly recognized Trump to make a significant concession to China, and the problem of the Sino -US trade war was resolved.However, this optimistic judgment faded later.It is a question from all directions. It mainly believes that Trump's concessions this time may be a measure of power, and there will still be variables in the future.
For example, Trump's promise of the trade war has not set a time limit, and lacks the enthusiasm of completing the trade negotiation as soon as possible.In addition, Trump has only been brought in a word in restoring the supply of Huawei.
As for mainland Chinese officials, the results of the Xi special conference are not happy.The first official media Xinhua News Agency commented that solving the problem of Sino -US economic and trade issues requires more sincerity and actions, and to keep the usual intention to restart the consultation between the two parties;Simple speculation and judgment.
Trump's personality has repeatedly impermanence, and old love has changed his hexagrams. China has already tasted suffering and has a deep impression.However, the current China must notice that there is an additional Trump variable behind the Sino -US trade war, which is about 10 days before Trump announced about 10 days before this Xite meeting.Division, with the next presidential election of the United States.In the future, Trump may hit the Chinese side of economic and trade affairs involving the United States at any time in order to improve the support; China must be prepared for this.
Last US Presidential Election (2016), Trump regarded China as a ticket machine for economic and trade issues in the United States.American employment opportunities.This political opinion is quite simple and easy to understand, and has a very popular style. It is an important factor in Trump's defeat of Hillary and the White House.
In the future election re -election, Trump will definitely re -applied his skills and also use the demands of the economic and trade system to win the support of voters.But it is worth noting that since Trump took office, it has strengthened the connotation and upgrade in the economic and trade system.
In the last campaign of Trump, Trump only criticized the Chinese side to seize the opportunity of Americans by unreasonable trade surplus; but shortly after he won the election, he aimed at the economy chasing the United States in mainland China, the development of science and technology, and the growth of state -owned enterprises.Essentials, and began to brew the trade war with the rise of China's rise at the beginning of last year, and fired in the middle of last year.In contrast, the difference between the Sino -US trade between Trump Nianzz in the past is not the core issue.
From this point of view, in the process of re -election in the election, Trump will cooperate with the needs of the election, and at any time, he will hit the Chinese economic key at any time, such as the research and development and upgrading of enterprises, and the operation of the state -owned enterprise system.To this end, Trump is likely to extend the time of Sino -US trade negotiations to the US presidential election next year without rush to seek an agreement.
Therefore, although the Xi special meeting was quite smooth, China still had to be prepared to fight a long -term war.The domestic demand market is bigger and stronger, the vitality of domestic enterprises will be improved, and the expansion of foreign investment can make China have a long -term expansion of the China -US trade war. It is also the focus of China ’s future economic policy.
In May of this year, Trump suddenly changed his face and announced that the second batch of 2 billion US dollars of goods had increased taxes on China, and the tax rate increased from 10%to 25%. It was a China -US trade war.event.In this kind of thing, China should make every effort to prevent it again.In addition, China has to prevent 325 billion US dollars of goods from US sanctions, which are included in the scope of tax increases.
And the Chinese side to prevent the United States further increase taxes, in addition to striving at the negotiating table, it is also necessary to fully show the determination and ability of the battle to fight, so that the United States is convinced that the next hand must be hurt by self -harm.It can stabilize the overall situation.
