Sun Changguo: If Trumps logic is used on both sides of the strait

Author: Sun Changguo

The United States accounts for $ 500 billion in China each year.

Tariffs can bring more than $ 100 billion. We only need to spend $ 15 billion to buy agricultural products, and there are $ 85 billion for infrastructure and health insurance. China will slow down and we will automatically accelerate.

These are the focus of Trump ’s recent rounds of trade consultations in China and the United States.

The U.S. administrative departments and the enemy's rivals and the right to speak in the world have led to many countries and regions in the world, including Taiwan and regions.But if you really look closely at Trump's remarks, you will find extremely ridiculous.

Trump said that the United States is cheap by the mainland each year, and the real situation is that tens of millions of people rush to work in the factory every night, and tens of thousands of manufacturers including American companies provide relevant parts and services.It is generally believed that more than half of the more than 500 billion US dollars exported in the United States in the United States are related to companies that operate foreign trade operating foreign trade in Japan and Sixong.Are these products and services provided by tens of thousands of manufacturers, do they take advantage of the United States in vain?

In the past, the United States believed that with the US dollar made of paper in exchange for a large amount of physical objects, without the responsibility of managing and polluting the environment, it was relatively cost -effective to buy US debt from the mainland and maintain a loose interest rate environment.Trading!Therefore, from the perspective of the division of labor in globalization and the past, China and the United States, China accounts for $ 500 billion in US $ 500 billion each year, is actually the biggest lie in contemporary contemporary!If you can, every country in the world will want privileges like the United States, print banknotes to buy things, and then the banknotes can be recovered and continue to print money. The money owed to you will become less and less.

The claim that tariffs can bring more than 100 billion US dollars can not help further scrutiny.If the tariff is so easy to use, why not collect more?It should receive a 100%tariff enough, so that the United States will theoretically pay more than 500 billion US dollars of tariffs every year. Isn't it beautiful!But the fact is that as long as the trade war is really fully launched, the bilateral trade volume will inevitably fall. The original trade amount may be reduced from 600 billion yuan a year to 400 billion US dollars.Then the tariffs of more than 100 billion yuan are just mirage.

Now the question is!The unfair trade complained in Trump's mouth allows China to earn 500 billion US dollars every year .... Can help China establish economic glory and other statements, can it be used to look at bilateral or even multilateral trade?If the 31 provinces and cities and autonomous regions in the mainland make US $ 500 billion in the United States, then it is not more exaggerated to earn nearly 100 billion US dollars in the mainland every year alone?What storms and impacts will be caused by Trump's economic and trade logic and corresponding practices to cross -strait trade?

If most people in Taiwan think that Trump can undergo a fair trade and force the mainland to open the market and buy more American products, then the mainland requires Taiwan to open the market. Buying more mainland products should not be too much.However, the actual situation is that most people in Taiwan believe that cross -strait trade deficit is the result of the natural formation of fair trade and a win -win relationship.So why is the trade between the mainland and the United States unfair and not a win -win relationship?

This should be a logical issue that Taiwan should think deeply when the Taiwan -US trade war.Looking at the world with dual standards, it will be yourself!